::: TSR Weekly Report
2021-01-09 | NO.45(02) epaper |
Note to Readers
TSR announces newly published books about Taiwan and East Asia on its website and in its weekly newsletter. If you're a scholar or your book will be published by an academic press, please send the title of your book and a link to the publisher's web site to TSR's Executive Editor, Dalton Lin (dalton.lin@inta.gatech.edu). 
Cross-Strait Relations
Taiwan Condemns Arrest of Hong Kong Democracy Activists (2021-01-06)
(CNA, By Lai Yan-hsi, Yeh Su-ping and Evelyn Kao) Taiwan on Wednesday condemned Hong Kong police for the arrest of over 50 democracy activists and harassing pro-democracy media outlets earlier that day under the territory's controversial national security law.

China Says It Will Respond to Planned Taiwan, U.S. Defense Talks (2021-01-06)
(Reuters) - China said on Wednesday it would make a “necessary response” to a planned military dialogue between the United States and Chinese-claimed Taiwan, saying it firmly opposed the event.
U.S.-Taiwan Relations
Taiwan and US Set for Sensitive Dialogue – and Reveal the Timing in Advance (2021-01-06)
(SCMP, By Lawrence Chung) Taiwan and the United States will hold talks on political and military cooperation in a move certain to draw protest from Beijing two weeks before the change of government in Washington.

US Sending UN Envoy to Taiwan, Sparking Warning from China (2021-01-07)
(Associated Press, By Edith M. Lederer) U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said Thursday he is sending U.N. Ambassador Kelly Craft to Taiwan next week to show “what a free China could achieve,” an announcement that sparked sharp criticism from Beijing and a warning that “the United States will pay a heavy price for its wrong action.”

U.S. Eases Restrictions on Officials’ Dealings With Taiwan (2021-01-09)
(WSJ, By William Mauldin) The U.S. on Saturday eased restrictions governing diplomats’ and other officials’ dealings with Taiwan officials, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said.

State Dept. Moves to Ease Restrictions on Meeting With Taiwan Officials (2021-01-09)
(New York Times, By Julian E. Barnes and Amy Qin) Administration officials believe the tougher line against China — and a warmer relationship with Taiwan — is likely to be part of Mr. Trump’s legacy. They have been looking for ways to lock in policy changes that might be difficult for Mr. Biden to reverse, to install officials skeptical of China in roles that could continue after Mr. Trump’s term end and to shift resources to studying and gathering intelligence on China.

Biden Committed to Strong, Principled Support for Taiwan (2021-01-10)
(CNA, By Chiang Chin-yeh and Joseph Yeh) An official with United States President-elect Joe Biden's transition team said Saturday that Biden believes American support for Taiwan must remain "strong, principled, and bipartisan," and he will work to ensure that.
Taiwan's Domestic Politics and Foreign Relations
Taiwan's Domestic Politics
Data on Domestic, Imported Pork in Taiwan Go Online (2021-01-04)
(CNA, By Yang Su-min, Chen Chun-hua, Liang Pei-chi and Chiang Yi-ching) The data is being published on a new government website, and comes as Taiwan opens its market to imports of American pork containing residue of the livestock drug ractopamine.

KMT Starts Second Phase of Anti-Ractopamine Referendum Campaign (2021-01-05)
(CNA, By Wang Cheng-chung and Joseph Yeh) The Kuomintang (KMT) has officially begun to collect signatures in the second stage of its efforts to initiate a referendum opposing the government's decision to lift a ban on pork imports containing a controversial feed additive, it said Tuesday.

Taiwan's Foreign Relations 
Taiwan to Launch 'More Identifiable' Passport on Monday: MOFA (2021-01-07)
(CNA, By Chen Yun-yu and Emerson Lim) Next week Taiwan will launch a newly designed passport, with the word "Taiwan" printed in larger lettering and placed in a more prominent position, to increase its identifiability, an official at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA) announced Thursday.

Taiwan Needs to Be a Part of the UK’s China Strategy (2021-01-06)
(The Diplomat, By David Green) The willingness (or lack thereof) to embrace Taiwan is a bellwether of how serious liberal democracies are about countering CCP threats to their ideals.

INTERVIEW/Top Indian Envoy Discusses Priority Areas of Cooperation with Taiwan (2021-01-09)
(CNA, By Chen Yun-yu and Emerson Lim) Bilateral investments, people-to-people exchanges, and technical cooperation are the key areas on which the India-Taipei Association will focus as it seeks to develop Taiwan-India relations, the office's chief told CNA in a recent interview.
U.S.-China Relations
Trump Bans Alipay and 7 Other Chinese Apps (2021-01-05)
(New York Times, By Ana Swanson) President Trump on Tuesday signed an executive order prohibiting transactions with eight Chinese software applications, including Alipay, the payment platform owned by Ant Group, and WeChat Pay, which is owned by Tencent.

Biden Plans to Build a Grand Alliance to Counter China. It Won’t Be Easy.
(WSJ, By Bob Davis and Lingling Wei) With tensions between the U.S. and China rising on many fronts, President-elect Joe Biden will take office aiming to align Western democracies to broadly pressure Beijing, a clear break with President Trump’s go-it-alone approach. Chinese President Xi Jinping has been thinking along the same lines and is a step ahead, setting up an overt competition for global leadership.

China’s New Rules Could Hit U.S. Firms and Send a Message to Biden (2021-01-09)
(New York Times, By Amy Qin) China fired back at the Trump administration on Saturday with new rules that would punish global companies for complying with Washington’s tightening restrictions on doing business with Chinese companies.

Biden’s Vow to Be Tough on Beijing Will Get Early Test With Hong Kong Arrests
(WSJ, By William Mauldin) The arrests of democracy advocates in Hong Kong presents the incoming Biden administration with limited options and an early test of its promised hard-nosed stance with China. Beijing’s decision to conduct the sweep weeks before President-elect Joe Biden takes office shows that control over Hong Kong takes priority over resetting relations with the U.S.

The Great Game With China Is 3D Chess
(Foreign Policy, By Hal Brands, Zack Cooper) Washington’s new rivalry with Beijing isn’t a reprise of the Cold War. It’s much more complicated.

Washington Still Wants China to Be a Responsible Stakeholder (2021-01-06)
(Foreign Policy, By Andrew Taffer) Despite heated language, the U.S. goals haven’t changed.
China's Domestic Politics and Foreign Relations
China's Domestic Politics
The Struggle Over Jimmy Lai’s Bail Is a Struggle Over Hong Kong’s Freedom of Expression (2021-01-06)
(The Diplomat, By Jerome A. Cohen) Bail has become the most immediate arena in which the ongoing struggle between China’s Communist Party and Hong Kong’s judicial system is taking place.

With Mass Arrests, Beijing Exerts an Increasingly Heavy Hand in Hong Kong
(New York Times, By Vivian Wang, Austin Ramzy and Tiffany May) Within a few hours on Wednesday, the Hong Kong police had arrested 53 people, searched 76 places and frozen $200,000 of assets in connection with an informal primary for the pro-democracy camp — all under the auspices of Beijing’s new national security law.

China Moves to Punish Lawyers Hired to Help Hong Kong Activists (2021-01-08)
(New York Times, By Austin Ramzy) The Chinese legal authorities have threatened to revoke the licenses of two lawyers hired to help a group of Hong Kong protesters who were arrested last year while trying to flee to Taiwan by speedboat.

Sentences for ‘Hong Kong 12’ Spark Outrage From Pro-Democrats (2021-01-06)
(The Diplomat, By Jessie Lau) The case served as a flashpoint for Hong Kong’s beleaguered pro-democracy movement.

The Hong Kong National Security Law Is Reshaping Political Identities  (2021-01-06)
(The Diplomat, By Simon Shen) The NSL has altered many long-standing allegiances and feuds within the different political identities in Hong Kong.

Has China Decided That ‘Moderately Prosperous’ Is Good Enough?
(Foreign Policy, By Salvatore Babones) As China’s growth model sputters and Xi Jinping prioritizes repression over reform, China looks unlikely to join the ranks of developed countries.

Is Institutionalism Still Useful in Elite China Political Analyses? (2021-01-06)
(The Diplomat, By Tristan Kenderdine) China’s elite politics is ultimately unpredictable, but the party cadre system remains the most resilient political institution.

Politburo 2022 Candidate Analysis: Li Xi (2021-01-06)
(The Diplomat, By Tristan Kenderdine) The Communist Party secretary of Guangdong province is a near-lock for the Politburo Standing Committee come 2022.

China's Foreign Relations 
Will the Sudden E.U.-China Deal Damage Relations With Biden? (2021-01-06)
(New York Times ) The last four years of Trump have left a stain, on Germany and Merkel especially. There is huge disappointment and some unknowns about Biden, and the 74 million who voted for Trump shows the situation in the U.S. is far from settled. So the Chinese said, ‘Grab it if you can’ at the end of Germany's EU presidency.

The Strategic Implications of the China-EU Investment Deal
(The Diplomat, By Theresa Fallon) The EU-China Comprehensive Agreement on Investment is a win for China, and a blow to transatlantic relations.

EU-China Investment Deal: Has China Revived Its European Diplomacy? (2021-01-06)
(The Diplomat, By Alexis Leggeri) The China-EU relationship has changed. Will the CAI spark a new era of Chinese diplomacy on the continent?

China Doubles Down on COVID Narrative as WHO Investigation Looms
(Reuters, By David Stanway) As a team from the World Health Organization (WHO) prepares to visit China to investigate the origins of COVID-19, Beijing has stepped up efforts not only to prevent new outbreaks, but also shape the narrative about when and where the pandemic began.

China Is an Economic Bully—and Weaker Than It Looks
(Foreign Policy, By Luke Patey) The world doesn’t have to put up with Beijing’s attempts at economic coercion.

Is China the 21st Century’s Great ‘Going Concern’? (2021-01-06)
(The Diplomat, By Francis P. Sempa) Halford Mackinder is famous for his “heartland” theory, but another of his major theoretical constructs may be more relevant to China’s rise.

Russia’s Romance With China Is All About Keeping Up Appearances (2021-01-06)
(The Diplomat, By Gabriel Gavin) Closer ties between Moscow and Beijing are worth more as a threat than a reality.
Military Balance
Four Chinese Military Planes Enter Taiwan's ADIZ (2021-01-04)
(CNA, By Chen Yun-yu and Ko Lin) Four Chinese military aircraft entered Taiwan's southwest air defense identification zone (ADIZ) on Monday, the third consecutive day on which such an incursion has occurred, according to Taiwan's Ministry of National Defense (MND).

Chinese Early Warning Aircraft Intrudes into Taiwan’s ADIZ (2021-01-08)
(Taiwan News, By Eric Chang) A Chinese military aircraft entered Taiwan’s air defense identification zone (ADIZ) on Thursday (Jan. 7), marking the sixth intrusion this month.

Chinese Anti-Submarine Plane Enters Taiwan's ADIZ (2021-01-09)
(CNA, By Chen Yun-yu and Ko Lin) A Chinese military Y-8 anti-submarine plane entered Taiwan's southwest air defense identification zone (ADIZ) on Saturday, the seventh day of such incursions in January, according to the Ministry of National Defense (MND).

Taiwan to Extend Defensive Perimeter to 300-500 Km by 2025: Think Tank (2021-01-10)
(CNA, By Emerson Lim) Taiwan is expected to effectively extend its defensive perimeter to 300-500 kilometers by 2025, when its first indigenous submarine and longer-range missiles from the United States are expected to be in service, according to a government-funded think tank.
Regional Issues
What Does Vietnam Want from the US in the South China Sea? (2021-01-06)
(The Diplomat, By Derek Grossman) Despite seeking a balance between the superpowers, Vietnam desires more robust security ties with Washington.

Why China Is Winning Against India (2021-01-06)
(Foreign Policy, By Sushant Singh) The military standoff in the Himalayas is often seen as a stalemate between two nuclear powers. But New Delhi cannot afford the status quo.

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