::: TSR Weekly Report
2018-01-30 | NO.41(56) epaper |
Note to Readers
TSR is pleased to announce newly published books about Taiwan and East Asia on its website and in its weekly newsletter. If you're a scholar or your book is coming out from an academic press, please send the title of your book and a link to the publisher's web site to TSR's Senior Editor, James Lee (JL18@princeton.edu).
Cross-Strait Relations
Taiwanese People Not Fooled by China's Token Taiwanese: MAC (2018-01-25)
(CNA, By Miao Zong-han and Flor Wang) Following the appointment of a Taiwanese-born man to a Shanghai-based advisory committee, a MAC official stated that Beijing's appointment of Taiwanese-born people to official positions were simply efforts to appeal to the Taiwanese. This also comes on the coattails of the appointment of Lu Li-an, a Taiwanese-born woman who attended the 19th Party Congress in Beijing. The official further said that Beijing should try to communicate with Taiwan through proper dialogue.

China Says Has Goodwill Toward Taiwan, But Won't Allow Separation (2018-01-25)
(Reuters) China is willing to show utmost goodwill towards self-ruled Taiwan but won’t allow its separation from China, the country’s defense ministry said on Thursday after Taiwan’s president said she does not rule out the possibility of a Chinese attack.

Ministry Vows to Continue Aviation Routes Campaign (2018-01-27)
(Taipei Times, By Stacy Hsu) The Ministry of Foreign Affairs, citing favorable and positive international news coverage, has stated that they will continue to garner foreign support for the campaign against Beijing's unilateral establishment of four new aviation routes that cross through the Taiwan Strait. The Taiwanese government has looked for international support as their main backing for their contention.

Supreme Court Rejects Appeal by Alleged Chinese Spy (2018-01-27)
(Taipei Times/CNA) A convicted Chinese spy was denied his appeal for extension of detention. He was given a 14-month sentence last September after being found guilty of violating the National Security Act by attempting to develop a spy network throughout Taiwan.

Taiwan Readies Military Planes to Help with Lunar New Year Flights as Tensions Grow with Beijing (2018-01-29)
(South China Morning Post, By Lawrence Chung) Taiwan is prepared to use military transport planes to fly Taiwanese citizens based in mainland China back to the island for the Lunar New Year holiday next month, a senior official said on Monday, amid a row between Beijing and Taipei over air routes.

Taiwan Retaliates Against Chinese Airlines, Hampering Lunar New Year Travel (2018-01-30)
(New York Times, By Chris Horton) Taiwan, pushing back over encroachment on Taiwan Strait airspace, may leave thousands without flights home for the holiday.

Taiwan Activist Li Ming-che's Wife Stopped from Flying to China to Visit Husband: Rights Groups (2018-01-30)
(Reuters) The wife of Taiwan activist Li Ming-che, sentenced to five years in prison by Chinese authorities for subverting state power, was stopped from flying from Taiwan to China on Tuesday to visit him in prison, rights groups said.

China's Handling of Controversial Flight Routes Key to Ties: MAC (2018-01-29)
(CNA, By Shih Hsiu-chuan) Taiwan further urged Beijing to hold talks to discuss the establishment of flight routes through the Taiwan Strait, claiming that Beijing's reaction to the crisis would demonstrate to Taiwanese people what Beijing actually thinks of them, also influencing Taiwanese people's views on cross-strait relations. Taiwan also has not approved the applications for two Chinese airlines to fly extra routes during the Lunar New Year period, a move which has yet to receive a response from China.

Military Aircraft to Take Taiwanese in China Home for Holiday (2018-01-29)
(CNA, By Lee Hsin-Yin and Wang Shu-fen) The Ministry of Transportation and Communications has announced that military aircraft will be used to carry Taiwanese citizens living in Kinmen home if China and Taiwan do not reach a consensus on the controversial M503 flight path issue by the Lunar New Year holiday. They also further commented on the possibility of using civil aviation aircraft on the route, all brought together by the mini-three links mechanism.

Taiwan Faces Bigger Challenges as China Tightens Grip: MAC (2018-01-29)
(CNA, By Shih Hsiu-chuan) The Mainland Affairs Council said that China has tightened its grip around Taiwan since 2016 and there are no signs of the policy reversing. Taiwan, however, is committed to preserving cross-strait stability and peace in the face of both the two-pronged strategy and unified front tactics from China.

Taiwan's Domestic Politics and Foreign Relations
Taiwan's Domestic Politics

Tsai Orders Cabinet to Aid Development of Social Businesses
(Taipei Times, By Chen Wei-han) Yesterday, President Tsai Ing-wen announced several new policy initiatives to help grow the social enterprise sector and further instructed the Executive Yuan to help promote the sector's development. She detailed that social enterprises could reach into parts of the country that the government could not, and therefore the two entities should work closely together as partners.

Ministry Accepts 100,000 Fixed Passports (2018-01-25)
(Taipei Times, By Stacy Hsu) Following controversy over mistakenly printing an image of Washington Dulles International Airport instead of Taipei Taoyuan International Airport in new Taiwanese passports, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs has approved 100,000 of the newer, revised passports for distribution. Passport Administration Division Director Ben Wang stated that the distribution schedule will be announced following another round of approved passports and could be as early as the end of the month.

Think Tank Lifts Forecast for Taiwan's Economic Growth (2018-01-25)
(CNA, By Tsai Yi-chu and Evelyn Kao) The Taiwan Institute of Economic Research raised its forecast for the country's GDP growth to 2.34% for the year. However, they announced that several uncertain factors may still affect growth, including new policies from the US and Chinese governments that may affect business and money flows.

Taiwan Mulling English as an Official Language, But Is It Ready? (2018-01-27)
(CNA, By Shih Hsiu-chuan) Several government officials are beginning to investigate the feasibility of making English an official language of Taiwan. They claim it would help promote English language learning in Taiwan, which in turn would promote better exchanges with the outside world and would be beneficial for students looking to work for global organizations. While Mandarin is the most commonly spoken language in Taiwan, the country does not have an officially established language.

DPP Approval Rate Plunges to Near KMT Level: Survey (2018-01-28)
(CNA, By Shi Hsiu-chuan) The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) has seen a sharp decline in popularity from when the party first took office in May 2016. It currently has an approval rating of 28 percent, down from the original 49.3 percent. This closes the margin between the DPP and the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) to only 4 percent.

Shine Wearing Off Taiwan’s Tsai (2018-01-30)
(East Asia Forum, By Kwei-Bo Huang) Taiwan’s Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) has dominated both the executive and legislature since 20 May 2016. Despite this, Taiwan has not experienced stability under the government of President Tsai Ing-wen. Taiwan has instead experienced the rudeness, uneasiness and nonchalance associated with mediocre governance.

Taiwan's Foreign Relations

US Bureau Removes All Flags from Site (2018-01-24)
(Taipei Times, By Stacy Hsu) The US Department of State's Bureau of Consular Affairs removed the flags of all countries from its website amid rising suspicion over Taiwan-US ties following the disappearance of the Republic of China flag from several US government websites. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs has stated that the removal of the ROC flag is unacceptable and disappointing.

Vatican-China Ties Talk Premature: Source
(Taipei Times, By Lu Yi-hsuan and Jonathan Chin) A source close to the diplomatic establishment said that discussing a possible switch of the Vatican's diplomatic recognition from Taiwan to China was too early to substantively suggest anything. Several rumors have spread about diplomatic teams offering recognition to China, but the groups in question are reportedly only on routine work interactions with Beijing. A MOFA spokesperson stated that the Vatican also regularly briefs Taiwan on any interactions it has with Beijing.

Taiwan Strongly Protests Japan's Diaoyutai Exhibition Hall (2018-01-25)
(CNA, By Elaine Hou, Chiang Yuan-chen and S.C. Chang) Following the opening of an exhibition hall in Tokyo highlighting Japan's claims over Diaoyutai island group and Dokdo, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs has lodged a protest, claiming that territory belonged to the Republic of China. A spokesperson said that MOFA has always advocated for peaceful solutions to territorial disputes. The islands are also claimed by the People's Republic of China.

Vatican Move to Make May for Beijing-Backed Bishops Raises Flags for Taipei (2018-01-25)
(South China Morning Post, By Kristin Huang) The Vatican has asked two underground bishops to make way for Beijing-approved ones, a move that has again raised questions over whether the Holy See could be seeking to normalise ties with Beijing and end its formal relations with Taipei.

Flag Removal Might Not Be a Decision from Top: Expert (2018-01-26)
(Taipei Times, By Nadia Tsao and Sherry Hsiao) The decision to remove the Republic of China flag from two U.S. government websites might not have come from top officials in the Trump administration. Bonnie Glaser, Director of the Center of Strategic and International Studies' (CSIS) China Power Project said that military action by China around Taiwan is now considered normal, so a major security threat regarding cross-strait relations is no longer at the forefront of people's minds.

U.S. Reiterates Commitment to Taiwan, Despite Flag Removal (2018-01-26)
(CNA, By Leaf Jiang, Flor Wang, and Christie Chen) Despite the removal of the Republic of China's flag from two U.S. government websites, the United States stated its continued support of Taiwan according to the Taiwan Relations Act. The two websites were of the Bureau of Consular Affairs and the U.S. Trade Representative.

Taipei Mayor Heads to Europe to Learn About Democratic Practices (2018-01-27)
(CNA, By Chiu Chun-chin and Kuan-lin Liu) Ko Wen-je, Mayor of Taipei, left for Europe and Turkey for a tour and to learn about several democratic practices that may be able to influence Taiwan. Ko stated that while Taiwan often looks to the United States for guidance, it also has much to learn from Europe, which also shares considerable global influence.

Premier Approves Formation of New Southbound Policy Task Force (2018-01-28)
(CNA, By Ku Chuan and Evelyn Kao) Premier William Lai approved the appointments of 10 officials to a task force aimed at promoting the New Southbound Policy. This task force will meet once a month and forge trade relations with countries such as the Philippines, Vietnam, Thailand, and Indonesia. The task force is meant to replace President Tsai Ing-wen's New Southbound Policy Office.

U.S. Committed to Ties with Taiwan Under Existing Policies: Official (2018-01-30)
(CNA, By Chiang Chin-yeh and Kuan-lin Liu) Elbridge Colby, the Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense for Strategy and Force Development commented that the United States is committed to its relationship with Taiwan as part of its national security strategy. Colby stressed multiple times that the U.S. is interested in new kinds of relationships with countries that share a vision of a free and open world.

US Anti-ISIS Website Says Removal of Taiwan Flag a Technical Glitch (2018-01-29)
(CNA, By Chiang Chin-yeh and Evelyn Kao) The public affairs office of a website run by the US government detailing the operations against the Islamic State militant group stated that the removal of the Taiwanese flag from the website stemmed from a technical glitch. They reaffirmed that Taiwan continues to be an important part of the coalition against ISIL.

Government Calls for Taiwan to be Invited to World Health Assembly (2018-01-29)
(CNA, By Fan Cheng-hsiang, Chang Ming-hsuan and Evelyn Kao) A Presidential Office spokesperson stated that Taiwan should be invited to the World Health Assembly this year, stating that there was no reason why they shouldn't be there. He thanked the United States, Japan, and several other diplomatic partners for their support in Taiwan's participation in the international arena. Minister of Health and Welfare Chen Shih-chung said that government agencies will work to secure an invitation to the conference this year.

Southbound Task Force to Tailor Plans to Individual Nations (2018-01-29)
(Taipei Times, By Lee Hsin-fang and William Hetherington) Premier William Lai has begun a 10-person task force to promote the trade goals of the New Southbound Policy. They have decided to create individualized plans for all nations targeted, specifically Southeast Asian nations and India, to focus on specific issues for each nation.

PLA, Military Balance and Arms Sales
Taiwan Mounts Live-Fire Drills to Test Defences against Invasion (2018-01-30)
(Agence France-Presse) Taiwanese troops staged live-fire exercises simulating an invasions of the island on Tuesday, as mainland China steps up pressure on Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen and a row over airline routes escalates. The military sent reconnaissance aircraft to monitor simulated incoming ships, followed by tanks firing rounds during an “enemy landing” at the port of Hualien in eastern Taiwan. Attack helicopters released flares and F-16 fighter jets launched assaults, backing up an on-the-ground battle against the incoming troops.

Report Questions All-Volunteer Military (2018-01-29)
(Taipei Times, By Aaron Tu and Jonathan Chin) A Control Yuan report questioned the viability of the all-volunteer military policy in place in Taiwan. It claimed that a military shortage due to a lack of troops would lead to an inability of the military to protect Taiwan's national defense. A ministry spokesperson said that the military was addressing these issues by diversifying recruitment tactics and areas while offering greater incentives to join.

The Ideology Behind China’s Fast-Changing Military (2018-01-24)
(The Diplomat, By Zi Yang) The massive changes in the PLA's structure and goals have rightfully caused the US to consider it more carefully as an adversary, so these changes deserve attention. Xi Jinping's ideology, limited objectives, and the penetration of information technology into all factors of life have all influenced the PLA's changed objectives over the recent few years.

U.S.-China Relations
US Invites China to Take Part in Major Naval Exercise Despite Tensions at Sea (2018-01-25)
(Agence France-Presse) China has been invited to participate in a major US-led naval exercise, Chinese officials said Thursday, despite tensions between Beijing and Washington over activity in the disputed South China Sea. The Chinese military took part in the RIMPAC drill, billed as the world’s largest international naval exercise, for the first time in 2014 and again in 2016.

China Should ‘Be Ready for a Trade War’ after Donald Trump’s Davos Speech
(South China Morning Post, By Liu Zhen) China should be prepared for a trade war with America and more economic competition, analysts warned after US President Donald Trump told Davos the United States was “open for business” and would no longer tolerate unfair trade practices. The first US president to address the World Economic Forum for 18 years, Trump took a slightly softer tone delivering his “America First” message, adding that it did not mean “America alone”.

Trump Team Idea to Nationalize 5G Network to Counter China Is Rejected (2018-01-29)
(Reuters, By David Shepardson) The top U.S. communications regulator, wireless companies and some lawmakers oppose an idea by members of President Donald Trump’s national security team for the government to build a 5G wireless network to counter China spying on phone calls.

China Could Target U.S. Firms if Trump Levies Tariffs, Group Warns (2018-01-30)
(New York Times, By Sui-lee Wee) Major products like Boeing planes and American soybeans may be singled out if Washington imposes new restrictions on China.

China Needs More Nuclear Warheads to Deter US Threat, Military Says (2018-01-30)
(South China Morning Post, By Minnie Chan) China must expand its nuclear stockpile so it can better deter and hit back at an enemy strike as geopolitical uncertainties mount and the US appears bent on a nuclear build-up, according to the Chinese military’s mouthpiece. In the PLA Daily on Tuesday, a commentary said China had enough nuclear weapons to prevent “bullying” by other nuclear powers but still needed to respond to changes in US strategy.

How Would a War Between the US and China End? (2018-01-25)
(The Diplomat, By Robert Farley) The question of how a US-China war would end is one that has not been addressed nearly as much as the start of such a war. Most analysts agree that the war would be a quick one, but due to the nature of the US's escalation strategy, escalation may lead to nuclear weapon use, while slowing down the strategy may lead to a long war of attrition.

The Trump Administration's National Security and National Defense Strategies Reveal a Change in Mindset Toward China (2018-01-26)
(The Diplomat, By Dingding Chen) The Trump administration's new National Security Strategy and National Defense Strategy show that the revisionist powers (namely China and Russia), nuclear threats from countries such as North Korea and Iran, and the threat from terrorist groups all challenge the rules-based order led by the United States. However, this set of documents is unique in that it lists the competition between powers as the primary source of global tensions, not terrorist groups.

US-China Trade Tensions Worsen (2018-01-27)
(The Diplomat, By Zachary Torrey) The Trump administration has been following through with its tough rhetoric on China, including by publishing a report accusing China of numerous WTO policy breaches, increased scrutiny on Chinese businesses, and higher tariffs for Chinese products. A trade war may be imminent, but it will not be necessary to cause economic disruption. China may not respond in kind to an aggressive US just because it has more to lose, but this depends on whether China believes it would lose a trade war, which is not a concrete belief.

China's Domestic Politics and Foreign Relations
Domestic Politics in Mainland China

The 19th Central Committee Politburo (2018-01-23)
(Hoover Institution, By Alice L. Miller) The 19th CCP Congress and the new Central Committee it elected followed longstanding norms in appointing a new party Politburo. The major exception was the failure to appoint candidates to the Politburo Standing Committee who would succeed to the posts of party general secretary and PRC premier n 2022.

China’s Emissions: More Than U.S. Plus Europe, and Still Rising
(New York Times, By Keith Bradsher and Lisa Friedman) An economic upturn led to rising fossil-fuel emissions after two years of drops, showing the task Beijing faces in fulfilling its climate promises.

China Enlists Top Scientists in Mission to Become Military Tech Superpower (2018-01-26)
(South China Morning Post, By Kristin Huang) China has gathered 120 researchers from around the military to work for its top research institute as part of a push to develop military applications for artificial intelligence and quantum technology, state media reported. The military has selected the researchers from across armed forces’ commands to join the Chinese Academy of Military Science, the highest-level research institute of the People’s Liberation Army, according to the PLA Daily.

Explaining China’s Fast Rise as an Innovative Country (2018-01-28)
(IPP Review, By John F. Copper) All of this appears to be evidence China has jumped ahead of itself or has exceeded its own and other countries’ rate of progress in science and technology, and this will impact the nature of the evolving new world order in China’s favor. How does one explain China’s sudden and quite unpredicted rise in creativity.

Powerful Ally of Xi Jinping Makes Political Comeback in China (2018-01-29)
(New York Times, By Chris Buckley) Wang Qishan, who served as Mr. Xi’s anticorruption chief, retired last year. Does his appointment to the national legislature portend a return to high office?

Foreign Journalists in China Complain of Growing Abuse from Officials, Report Says (2018-01-30)
(Agence France-Presse) Working conditions for foreign correspondents in China deteriorated last year, with journalists reporting being beaten, detained and harassed, according to a survey published on Tuesday. Almost half of more than 100 correspondents were subjected to some form of interference in 2017 while attempting to gather information, according to the report by the Foreign Correspondents’ Club of China. Twenty-three per cent said they were physically obstructed from accessing a location and 8 per cent said they were manhandled or beaten.

Chinese Communist Party Launches Campaign Against Organized Crime (2018-01-26)
(The Diplomat, By Charlotte Gao) The Chinese Communist Party has launched a new campaign to fight organized crime throughout the country. Its use of the word "struggle" to define the operation is noteworthy due to the word's popular usage during the Cultural Revolution. The plan seems to focus more on the grassroots level while working in conjunction with the operations already in place to root out corruption in the central government.

Beijing and Hong Kong

Veteran Hong Kong Officials Among New Faces to Be Named to China’s Top Political Advisory Body (2018-01-23)
(South China Morning Post, By Phila Siu and Kimmy Chung) Veteran Hong Kong officials including ex-World Health Organisation head Dr Margaret Chan Fung Fu-chun are expected to be among the new national committee members of China’s top political advisory body in its next five-year term, sources said. The city’s first chief executive, Tung Chee-hwa, 80, will also stay on at the Chinese People’s Political Consultative Conference (CPPCC) as a vice-chairman.

Hong Kong Bars Democracy Advocate From Running for Legislature
(New York Times, By Alan Wong) Agnes Chow, 21, whose party says Hong Kong should decide its future in a referendum, said the ruling showed “that our political rights are handicapped."

China's Foreign Relations

EU Ambassador Says He Expects Release of Swedish Citizen Detained by China (2018-01-23)
(Reuters, By Christian Shepherd) The European Union’s ambassador to China on Wednesday said he expected Chinese authorities to immediately release Swedish citizen and Hong Kong-based bookseller Gui Minhai, echoing demands from Stockholm.

Chinese Views of Foreign Policy in the 19th Party Congress
(Hoover Institution, By Michael D. Swaine) While emphasizing that China has entered a “new era” during his report to the Congress, Xi Jinping suggested that China will be not only a major economic power, but also a cooperative, influential power that will serve as a model for other developing countries. Yet with the wide range of foreign policy goals mentioned at the Party Congress and in related Chinese sources, the question remains as to whether China’s peaceful and beneficial foreign policy line will be fully reflected in its more confident and assertive approach to the international community.

China’s Economic Mastermind Liu He Steps Out onto Centre-Stage at Davos
(South China Morning Post, By Jane Cai) President Xi Jinping is not attending Davos this year – he sent China’s economic mastermind instead. And although Liu He is no stranger to the annual gathering of the world’s business and political elite, he has not previously been the one giving the speech.

China’s Vision for a New World Order (2018-01-25)
(East Asia Forum, By Yong Wang) Under Xi’s plan, the security alliances formed during the Cold War would be replaced by ‘common security’. Under traditional models of collective security, the focus is the security of the alliance, and this exclusivity can easily lead to tension between rival security groups. ‘Common security’ emphasises the common strategic interests of all countries and involves a sharing of security responsibilities and benefits through equal participation in security mechanisms.

China Reveals ‘Polar Silk Road’ Ambition in Arctic Policy White Paper
(South China Morning Post, By Liu Zhen) Beijing on Friday released its first official Arctic policy white paper, outlining its ambition for a “Polar Silk Road” amid growing concerns over China’s activities in the region. Days after Beijing extended President Xi Jinping’s belt and road trade plan to Latin America, Vice Foreign Minister Kong Xuanyou said China would encourage companies to build infrastructure and conduct commercial trial voyages that would “bring opportunities to the Arctic”.

China's Development Push in Poor Countries Worries Non-Profits (2018-01-26)
(Reuters, By Paritosh Bansal) China’s development push into poor countries is marginalizing the role of human rights bodies, green groups and other non-profits, making it harder for them to play their traditional role as a check on rampant development, advocates said.

Censorship, Market Access and Forced Tech Transfer: The Tricky Business in Germany’s Trade Ties with China
(South China Morning Post, By Catherine Wong) A trade war between China and the United States would be a “lose-lose” situation but European countries share US concerns about the lack of market access and forced technology transfers to China, according to Germany’s top envoy to Beijing. German ambassador to China Michael Clauss said it was in everybody’s interest to support an open global trade system centred on a strong World Trade Organisation.

Japan’s Top Envoy Taro Kono Lands in Beijing Aiming to Improve Strained Ties (2018-01-27)
(Kyodo) Japanese Foreign Minister Taro Kono arrived in Beijing on Saturday – the first visit by a top envoy from the country for nearly two years – as the two sides try to improve strained ties in the year they mark the 40th anniversary of a peace and friendship treaty. Japan has been hoping to arrange reciprocal visits by the two nations’ leaders, though China is less enthusiastic about the proposal. Kono is likely to bring up the topic during talks on Sunday with Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi, State Councillor Yang Jiechi, the country’s top diplomat, and a member of its senior leadership.

China Declares Intention to Improve Ties with Japan (2018-01-27)
(Reuters, By Ben Blanchard) China hopes to work with Japan to establish more cordial relations, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi told his Japanese counterpart on Sunday, aiming to move on from a series of disputes, some dating back to before World War Two.

German Minister Urges Fast Passage of EU Law on Chinese Takeovers (2018-01-27)
(Reuters) Germany wants to acquire the legal means to take a closer look at bids from Chinese companies to acquire German and European companies in order better to protect technologies, a German minister told newspaper Welt am Sonntag.

China to Review Anti-Dumping Duties on U.S., E.U. Industrial Solvents (2018-01-27)
(Reuters) China’s commerce ministry said on Saturday that it would launch an anti-dumping review of industrial solvents ethylene glycol monobutyl ether and diethylene glycol monobutyl ether imported from the United States and the European Union.

‘Put Words into Action’: China Urges Japan to Get Ties Back on Track (2018-01-28)
(Reuters) China hopes to work with Japan to get relations back onto a normal track, Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi told his Japanese counterpart Taro Kono during a meeting in Beijing on Sunday.

At Davos, the Real Star May Have Been China, Not Trump (2018-01-28)
(New York Times, By Keith Bradsher) While President Trump reassured business leaders that he wanted trade to continue, Beijing extended its economic reach to Latin America and the Arctic.

Vatican, Eager for China Ties, Asks ‘Underground’ Bishops to Step Aside (2018-01-29)
(New York Times, By Ian Johnson) The move to cede posts to Beijing-approved clerics is part of an extraordinary Roman Catholic effort to end a nearly 70-year schism.

Dogged by Brexit, Britain Stumbles in Race to Woo China (2018-01-29)
(Reuters, By William James and Andrew MacAskill) Swamped by Brexit and weakened at home, British Prime Minister Theresa May is starting to fall behind in the race to win Chinese investment and secure privileged access to China’s booming market for professional services. May travels to China on Tuesday with a delegation of executives for meetings with Chinese leaders that will define where relations with the world’s second-largest economy sit on her lengthy ‘To Do’ list.

China Has Unprecedented Opportunities but Bigger Shoes to Fill (2018-01-29)
(East Asia Forum, By Kerry Brown) The world is now dependent on China’s being a stable, responsible stakeholder. This is a huge new role to which it must adapt in a very short timeframe. Xi has to date conveyed confidence and reassurance. The question now is whether his — and China’s — luck will continue to hold in 2018.

EU Sets Import Duties on Cast Iron Products from China (2018-01-30)
(Reuters) The European Union has set import duties on certain cast iron articles to counter what it sees as dumping by Chinese producers, the latest in a series of trade measures against China.

China Says Latin America 'Eager' to Join Belt and Road (2018-01-24)
(The Diplomat, By Charlotte Gao) China is embracing Latin America as the United States shies away under the Trump administration's leadership. Beijing claims that the Belt and Road Initiative is a perfect project for Latin America and that many countries in the region are eager to be a part of the project.
Territorial Disputes, the Korean Peninsula, and Other Regional Issues
Territorial Disputes

As U.S. Goes Quiet on Close Naval Patrols, China Speaks Out (2018-01-23)
(Reuters, By Greg Torode and Philip Wen) While the Pentagon plays down patrols close to Chinese-controlled reefs and islands in the South China Sea, Beijing is sounding the alarm about them, seeking to justify what experts say will be an even greater presence in the disputed region.

China Rebukes Japan after It Opens Museum for Disputed Islands
(Agence France-Presse) China on Friday said it was “strongly dissatisfied” with the opening of a museum in Tokyo devoted to disputed islands, as the Japanese foreign minister prepares to visit Beijing this weekend. The museum, which opened on Thursday and is run by the Japanese government, displays documents and photographs defending Japan’s claims over two sets of islands that China and South Korea also see as their own.

China Signaling it May Finally 'Militarize' the South China Sea Officially (2018-01-25)
(The Diplomat, By Steven Stashwick) Following the transit of a US warship through the area, China is laying the groundwork to begin launching full military capabilities to several locations in the South China Sea. China accused the US of violating its sovereignty over the Scarborough Shoal and further stated that China would take any necessary actions to defend its sovereignty and security.

The Korean Peninsula

US Slaps China with Sanctions amid North Korea Nuclear Crackdown
(Agence France-Presse) The United States has slapped new sanctions on Chinese and North Korean firms and individuals that it said support the Pyongyang regime of Kim Jong-un and his nuclear weapons programme. The move comes as the US seeks to choke the flow of goods and materials crucial to North Korea’s economy such as oil, electronics and metals, and pressure Kim to halt the development of nuclear weapons that threaten the region and potentially the US mainland.

China Envoy Says "Complex" Reasons Why Has Not Been to North Korea (2018-01-25)
(Reuters, By Philip Wen) China’s special envoy for North Korea said on Friday there were “complex” reasons why he has yet to visit the country, but that China’s efforts to help bring about the denuclearization of the Korean peninsula and foster peace were relentless and unchanged.

Olympic Dreams of a United Korea? Many in South Say, ‘No, Thanks’ (2018-01-28)
(New York Times, By Choe Sang-hun) Young Koreans are more focused on domestic issues, like unemployment and whether they can live as well as their parents did, than a costly and complex reunification.

North Korea Cancels Pre-Olympic Event, Blaming South Korean Media (2018-01-29)
(New York Times, By Choe Sang-hun) North Korea called off a joint cultural performance amid South Koreans’ lukewarm welcome of its Olympic participation.

Other Regional Issues

U.S. Plans to Send First Aircraft Carrier to Vietnam Since War’s End
(New York Times, By Gerry Mullany) The proposed trip, expected in March, comes amid warming ties between the two countries and heightened tensions over China’s territorial claims.

Beijing Gone from Foe to Friend in Manila (2018-01-25)
(East Asia Forum, By Renato Cruz De Castro) All this generates major stress in the Philippine–US security relationship, and that stress has potential to unravel the alliance in the near future. Duterte’s China strategy might convince other Southeast Asian claimant states to negotiate directly with China to manage or eventually resolve territorial rows. Washington’s status and influence is waning in maritime Southeast Asia.

US Military Chiefs Reach Out to Asian Allies as Great Power Game Heats Up with China and Russia (2018-01-26)
(South China Morning Post, By Catherine Wong) China, the United States and Russia are returning to “an era of great power competition” but the Pentagon is determined to deter the players from confrontation and aggression. That was the message US Secretary of the Air Force Heather Wilson delivered in Manila on Friday as her boss, US Defence Secretary Jim Mattis, ended a weeklong trip to reassure Indonesia and Vietnam of US commitment to the region.

Sorting Out Strategic Confusion in the Indo-Pacific (2018-01-29)
(East Asia Forum, By the Editorial Board) The confusion over thinking through the Indo-Pacific and the Quad is pretty plain for all to see, including for foreign and security policy analysts in Beijing — but that also puts the ball in China’s court. China has every incentive to reassure the region of its multilateralist intentions and to work together with its neighbours on the practical configuration of the shared international community to which it aspires.

Contact: James Lee, Senior Editor 

Subscribe to the Taiwan Security Research Weekly Report!

Follow TSR on Facebook, Twitter, and Linkedin!
493_188dc0da.png 494_c137fcfe.png 506_a5f8e5b2.png  

Bulletin Board

Subscribe to the Taiwan Security Research Weekly Report!

Follow us on Facebook, Twitter, and Linkedin!
493_188dc0da.png 494_c137fcfe.png 503_488946f0.png

New Publication Social Movements in Taiwan’s Democratic Transition: Linking Activists to the Changing Political Environment, 1st Edition by Yun Fan (Routledge)
New Publication A Question of Time: Enhancing Taiwan’s Conventional Deterrence Posture by Michael A. Hunzeker and Alexander Lanoszka (Center for Security Policy Studies, George Mason University)
New Publication China's Strategic Multilateralism: Investing in Global Governance by Scott L. Kastner, Margaret M. Pearson, and Chad Rector (Cambridge University Press)
New Publication A New Era in Democratic Taiwan: Trajectories and Turning Points in Politics and Cross-Strait Relations, Edtied by Jonathan Sullivan and Chun-Yi Lee (Routledge)
New Publication Assessing the Presidency of Ma Ying-jiu in Taiwan: Hopeful Beginning, Hopeless End? Edited by André Beckershoff and Gunter Schubert (Routledge)
New Publication Understanding China’s New Diplomacy: Silk Roads and Bullet Trains by Gerald Chan (Edward Elgar Publishing)
New Publication Connecting Taiwan: Participation – Integration – Impacts, Edited by Carsten Storm (Routledge)
New Publication Government and Politics in Taiwan, 2nd Edition by Dafydd Fell (Routledge)
New Publication China's Asia: Triangular Dynamics since the Cold War by Lowell Dittmer (Rowman and Littlefield)
New Publication "Theoretical Underpinnings of Global Social Contract" by Takashi Inoguchi in The Oxford Encyclopedia of Empirical International Relations Theory by William R. Thompson (ed.)
New Publication Young China: How the Restless Generation Will Change Their Country and the World by Zak Dychtwald (St. Martin's Press)
New Publication Takashi Inoguchi and Ankit Panda (2018) "Japan's Grand Strategy in the South China Sea: Principled Pragmatism," in Anders Corr, ed., Great Powers, Grand Strategies: The New Game in the South China Sea (Naval Institute Press, PP. 199-223)
New Publication "Understanding President Trump's Taiwan Policy" by John F. Copper (American Journal of Chinese Studies)
New Publication "Prospects for Taiwan Maintaining Its Autonomy under Chinese Pressure" by Denny Roy (Asian Survey)
New Publication Takashi Inoguchi and Richard Estes: "The History of Well-Being in East Asia: From Global Conflict to Global Leadership" in The Pursuit of Human Well-Being: The Untold Global History by Estes, Richard J. and Sirgy, Joseph (eds.) (Springer)
New Publication Taiwan at a Tipping Point: The Democratic Progressive Party's Return to Power by John F. Copper (Rowman and Littlefield)
New Publication Taiwan and China: Fitful Embrace by Lowell Dittmer (ed.) (University of California Press) 
New Publication Learning from Fukushima: Nuclear Power in East Asia by Peter Van Ness and Mel Gurtov (eds.) (Australian National University Press)
New Publication Playing with Fire: The Looming War with China Over Taiwan by John Copper (Praeger Security International Series)
Upcoming Conference China Defense & Security Conference 2017 (Jamestown Foundation)
New Publication Imagining Taiwan: The Nixon Administration, the Developmental States, and South Vietnam’s Search for Economic Viability, 1969–1975 by Simon Toner (Diplomatic History)
New Publication Religion and the Regime: Cooperation and Conflict in Contemporary Russia and China by Karrie J. Koesel (World Politics)
New Publication Primordialism, Instrumentalism, Constructivism: Factors Influencing Taiwanese People’s Regime Acceptance of Mainland China’s Government by Chia-Chou Wang (Journal of Contemporary China)
TSR received a favorable review by the Foreign Affairs (July/Aug 2000)
The Best of Asia-Pacific Web Award
TSR was honored with a Four-Star rating by the Asian Studies WWW Virtual Library. 

Read more
cron web_use_log