::: TSR Weekly Report
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2016-08-04 | NO.20(31) epaper |
South China Sea Disputes
In 'Symbolic' Protest, Fishermen Land On Taiping Pier — But Not Taiping (2016-07-26)
(China Post, By Stephanie Chao) Fishermen from three vessels were allowed onto Taiping Island's pier late Monday night to restock supplies and receive medical attention, but they were prevented from setting foot on the island. 

Why the South China Sea Ruling Is a Game Changer (2016-07-27)
(The Diplomat, By Alexander L. Vuving) A popular view about the effectiveness of the ruling is that although it is binding, it is not enforceable, particularly when China is stridently against it. But law attracts its own followers and creates its own protectors if it serves their interests. Furthermore, the legitimacy of the verdict as international law and its alignment with the strategic interests of several key players in the region will create mechanisms for its enforcement.

Russia to Join China in Naval Exercise in Disputed South China Sea (2016-07-30)
(New York Times, By Chris Buckley) “In my view, however, the China-Russia exercise is not necessarily a departure from what has so far been a pattern of relative restraint” in China’s reaction to the Permanent Court of Arbitration’s ruling, Bonnie Glaser, the director of the China Power Project at the Center for Strategic and International Studies in Washington, said.
East China Sea Disputes and Japan Policy
Talks On Maritime Cooperation With Tokyo Postponed (2016-07-27)
(Taipei Times, By Stacy Hsu) The Ministry of Foreign Affairs yesterday said that the first dialogue between Taipei and Tokyo on maritime cooperation, which was scheduled to be held by the end of this month, has been postponed to allow more time to prepare.

Fishermen's Voice Will Be Heard: MOFA
 (2016-07-29)
(China Post, By Joseph Yeh) The opinions of Taiwanese fishermen will be heard in the upcoming first-ever meeting of a Taiwan-Japan maritime affairs dialogue, even though the fishermen will not be invited to the talks, a government official said on Thursday. 

Former President Lee Visits Japan Island In A Bid To Improve Relations (2016-07-31)
(China Post/CNA) Former President Lee Teng-hui arrived in the southern Japanese island of Ishigaki Saturday for a visit to promote bilateral exchanges, marking his eighth visit to Japan since stepping down as president in 2000.
U.S. “Pivot” to Asia and Sino-U.S. Engagement
Does China Think America Is Using a 'Wedge Strategy'? (2016-07-27)
(The National Interest, By Lyle J. Goldstein) Ling Shengli also sees a need to further develop more confrontational wedge strategies as well. He suggests, for example, that China can apply pressure against the U.S. alliance partners: “. . . using America’s fear that a conflict will get out of control to drive a wedge in between the United States and its alliance partner.”

Thinking Strategically on the Pacific Islands
 (2016-07-27)
(PacNet #60, CSIS, By David W. Hamon) A comprehensive Pacific Island strategy must include allies, friends, and “donors,” especially Japan, Australia, and New Zealand, as well as the Republic of Korea, Taiwan, the European Union, and other international organizations. 

DPP Searches for New China Stance; Cross-Strait Issues
Tsai Ing-wen Takes Office: A New Era in Cross-Strait Relations (2016-07-19)
(China Leadership Monitor, Hoover Institution, By Alan D. Romberg) A general consensus seems to exist both in Taiwan and on the Mainland that any process to stabilize relations—or decide that is not possible—will take about six months. But while the view in Taipei seems to be hopeful that all will be well by the end of that period, one senses a rather more downbeat expectation on the Mainland. There, some people believe that if Tsai does not openly embrace some form of “one China,” not just in actions but also in words, cross-Strait relations will take a decided turn for the worse.

MAC Appeals To Beijing To Recognize Taiwan's Good Will
 (2016-07-25)
(China Post/CNA) Taiwan hopes China can understand that its recognition of the historical fact that understandings were reached between the two sides in 1992 is an important and friendly declaration, a Taiwanese official said Friday. 

Committee Calls For ‘Track Two’ Dialogue With China (2016-07-31)
(Taipei Times/CNA) A consultative committee of the Mainland Affairs Council has urged the government to launch a “track two” dialogue with China in a bid to further exchanges across the Taiwan Strait.

Top Archive To Bar Mainland China Scholars (2016-07-30)
(China Post) Taiwan is set to restrict access to its national archives for scholars from mainland China, (including Hong Kong and Macau,) beginning Aug. 1, according to local media reports Friday.
PLA and Military Balance
Taiwan-US Security Partnership Facing Chinese Test, Brookings Institution Says (2016-07-29)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) The security partnership between Taiwan and the US would be increasingly tested by the continuing modernization of China’s armed forces, the Brookings Institution said in a working paper. 

Draft Report Attributes Missile Firing To Errors (2016-07-25)
(Taipei Times, By Jonathan Chin) A confluence of human errors were to blame for the accidental firing of a missile that sank a Taiwanese fishing boat near Penghu on July 1, the Chinese-language United Daily News reported yesterday.The newspaper said it was given access to the working draft of the military’s report on the incident, which it characterized as “in a mostly finished form.”
Taiwan's Domestic Issues and Foreign Relations
Taiwan President Tsai Ing-wen’s Strong Headwinds (2016-07-22)
(IPP Review, By John F. Copper) Tsai Ing-wen won the election based on her unifying a polyglot of special interest groups, harnessing growing populism in Taiwan, and exploiting the KMT’s misfortunes and bad brand. These assets don’t apply to her successful governing. In fact, they are liabilities.

Clinton Would Not Change US’ Taiwan Policy: Aide
 (2016-07-27)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) “Secretary Clinton supports the current administration’s policy on China and Taiwan, and will continue to do so,” senior campaign foreign policy adviser Jake Sullivan said.

AIT Head Lauds Taiwan’s Leadership On Efforts To Combat Human Trafficking
 (2016-07-28)
(Taipei Times, By Stacy Hsu) Ahead of World Day Against Trafficking in Persons on Saturday, American Institute in Taiwan (AIT) Acting Director Robert Forden yesterday applauded Taiwan’s leadership for its regional and international anti-trafficking efforts, but reminded the country that its top ranking “does not mean everything is perfect.” 

Overseas Chinese To Boost 'New Southbound Policy' (2016-07-26)
(China Post/CNA) The long-term efforts by the Overseas Community Affairs Council to nurture overseas Chinese students and establish contacts with Taiwanese businessmen in Southeast Asia will be a major boost to the country's "New Southbound Policy," an official said Monday. 

Taiwan Aims To Expand Tourism Jobs For SE Asian Immigrants (2016-07-30)
(China Post/CNA) The administration of President Tsai Ing-wen is taking steps to expand job opportunities for Southeast Asian immigrants in the tourism industry, particularly for tour guides, in keeping with the government's new southbound policy.

President Thanks Solomon Islands Leader For Support (2016-07-26)
(China Post/CNA) President Tsai Ing-wen on Monday expressed appreciation to Solomon Islands Prime Minister Manasseh Sogavare for his country's solid and long-term support of Taiwan in the international community.

Taiwan-Africa Association Established By Lawmakers (2016-07-26)
(China Post/CNA) Taiwan's Legislature established a new parliamentary association to promote exchanges with parliamentarians from African countries and advance bilateral relations.
China's Rise and Its Domestic Issues
Two Trains Running: Supply-Side Reform, SOE Reform and the Authoritative Personage (2016-07-19)
(China Leadership Monitor, Hoover Institution, By Barry Naughton) Chinese policy faces two unresolved issues: Who is making economic reform policy? What is the mix between reform and growth? These two unresolved issues lie behind the enormous difficulty policy-makers have had in coming up with a coherent reform strategy lately. This difficulty is most manifest in the case of state-owned enterprise reform, which is floundering.

China’s Economic Reforms: Global Outlook (2016-07-29)
(The Diplomat, By Mercy A. Kuo) While the rhetoric of President Obama’s administration is positioning TPP as a tool to reaffirm U.S. leadership “against” a rival China—a useful political strategy to marshal support for the agreement—I think a big potential benefit of TPP is that it would create a framework that could actually facilitate engaging China in more cooperative policymaking—both in terms of trade and macroeconomic policy.

China Clamps Down on Online News Reporting
 (2016-07-26)
(New York Times, By Michael Forsythe) China has ordered several of the country’s most popular internet portals to halt much of their original news reporting, in a move that could confine an even larger share of the journalism in the country to Communist-controlled mouthpieces ahead of an important party meeting next year.

Hong Kong Graft Buster’s Exit Stirs Fears Over Agency’s Independence (2016-07-27)
(New York Times, By Michael Forsythe) The resignation of Rebecca Li has raised questions about the organization’s independence and impartiality, clouding the reputation of one of Hong Kong’s most respected institutions and stirring fears about whether this may be the latest example of Chinese control eroding the city’s autonomy.

A Communist Insider Turned Exile, and the Secrets He Never Shared (2016-07-28)
(Sinosphere, By Didi Kirsten Tatlow) “One time he and I had lunch, and he told me not to worry too much. Beijing had already brought about 50,000 people into Hong Kong to work in all sectors of life — the civil service, the professions.” If Britain pulled out before the handover, he said, “these people would just take over.”

You Might Have Been Born in Canada--but Does Beijing Think You Could Be a Chinese Citizen? (2016-07-07)
(South China Morning Post, By Ian Young) In the eyes of Beijing, non-renounced dual nationals are not entitled to consular protection. This stance has recently been illustrated in stark fashion with the case of Gui Minhua, a bookseller with Swedish nationality, who is being held in the mainland. Sweden has been denied access to Gui, who vanished from his home in Thailand last year.

Guo Boxiong, Ex-Top Military Official in China, Gets Life Sentence for Graft
 (2016-07-26)
(New York Times, By Chris Buckley) Guo Boxiong, the most senior Chinese military commander ever tried for corruption, was sentenced on Monday to life in prison. 

China Talks about Harmony, But Feeds Global Disorder (2016-07-27)
(The National Interest, By Gregory J. Moore) It seems that there are two possible explanations for the disjuncture between China’s harmonious rhetoric and its more assertive, even aggressive, foreign-policy turn in recent years. One is the so-called fundamental attribution error, or the tendency to assume good intentions of and give the benefit of the doubt to oneself and one’s friends, but to assume the worst about enemies and unfamiliar others. The other possibility is that the harmonious rhetoric is simply a farce.

Beware an Unhappy Dragon (2016-07-29)
(The Strategist, By Allan Behm) People need to recognise that the term ‘rules based international order’ is tantamount to code for ‘US-legitimised international order’—a concept that China is happy to ignore. China wants to be a rules-creator as well as, perhaps, a rules-observer. The issue here isn’t one of accommodation or appeasement towards China’s regional and global aspirations, but rather acceptance of China for what it has become—a major power in its own right.
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Recent Publication Kharis Templeman, Yun-han Chu, and Larry Diamond (eds.), Dynamics of Democracy in Taiwan: The Ma Ying-jeou Years (Lynne Rienner Publishers)
Forthcoming Publication Mei-Fang Fan, Deliberative Democracy in Taiwan: A Deliberative Systems Perspective (Routledge)
Recent Publication Kerry Gershaneck, "To Win without Fighting: Defining China's Political Warfare" (Expeditions with Marine Corps University Press)
Recent Publication James Lee, "Did Thucydides Believe in Thucydides’ Trap? The History of the Peloponnesian War and Its Relevance to U.S.-China Relations" (Journal of Chinese Political Science)
Recent Publication James Lee, US grand strategy and the origins of the developmental state, Journal of Strategic Studies
Recent Publication Elizabeth Freund Larus, Politics and Society in Contemporary China, 2nd edition (Lynne Rienner Publishers)
Recent Publication John F. Copper, ""Cross-Strait Relations in the Wake of Taiwan’s January 2016 Election: Taiwan’s Narratives" in Chineseness and Modernity in a Changing China: Essays in Honour of Professor Wang Gungwu, edited by Yongnian Zheng and Litao Zhao (World Scientific)
Recent Publication James Lee, American Diplomacy and Export-Oriented Industrialization on Taiwan (Journal of East Asian Studies)
Recent Publication J. Michael Cole, Cross-Strait Relations Since 2016: The End of the Illusion (1st Edition) (Routledge)
Recent Publication Kingsley Edney, Stanley Rosen, and Ying Zhu, Soft Power With Chinese Characteristics: China’s Campaign for Hearts and Minds (1st Edition) (Routledge)
Recent Publication John Franklin Copper, Taiwan: Nation-State or Province? (7th Edition) (Routledge)
Recent Publication Peter Mattis and Matthew Brazil, Chinese Communist Espionage: An Intelligence Primer (U.S. Naval Institute Press)
Recent Publication Takashi Inoguchi and Lien Thi Quynh Le, The Development of Global Legislative Politics: Rousseau and Locke Writ Global (Springer Singapore) (includes analysis of East Asian cases)
Recent Publication Hans Stockton and Yao-Yuan Yeh (eds.), Taiwan: The Development of an Asian Tiger (Lynne Rienner Publishers)
Recent Publication Dafydd Fell and Hsin-Huang Michael Hsiao (eds.), Taiwan Studies Revisited, 1st Edition (Routledge)
   
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