::: TSR Weekly Report
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2016-07-29 | NO.20(30) epaper |
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South China Sea Disputes
China Flies Nuclear-Capable Bomber Over Disputed Feature in South China Sea (2016-07-19)
(The Diplomat, By Franz-Stefan Gady) “To effectively fulfill its mission, the air force will continue to conduct combat patrols on a regular basis in the South China Sea,” PLAAF Senior Colonel Shen Jinke said. “The PLA Air Force will firmly defend national sovereignty, security, and maritime interests, safeguard regional peace and stability, and cope with various threats and challenges,” he added.

Top Chinese Admiral: China Ready to Counter ‘Any Aggression’ in South China Sea
 (2016-07-20)
(The Diplomat, By Franz-Stefan Gady) “We will never stop our construction on the Nansha [Spratlys] Islands halfway… the Nansha Islands are China’s inherent territory, and our necessary construction on the islands is reasonable, justified, and lawful,” Admiral Wu Shengli, Commander of the People’s Liberation Army Navy, said, according to Xinhua News Agency.

Philippines Rejects Conditional Talks With China on South China Sea (2016-07-20)
(The Diplomat, By Prashanth Parameswaran) The Philippines has turned down bilateral talks with China over the South China Sea dispute following Beijing’s insistence that Manila set aside a landmark tribunal ruling issued last week. 

Shaping China’s Response to the South China Sea Ruling (2016-07-18)
(The National Interest, By Bonnie S. Glaser) An escalatory response by China is more likely if Beijing feels cornered by the US and its allies. For this reason, it is essential that the Philippines be humble in victory and that other countries resist the temptation to shame and isolate China.

Seeking a US-China Consensus in the South China Sea (2016-07-19)
(The Diplomat, By Chen Xiaochen) I would argue it is one of the problems with the S&ED — too enthusiastic about a long list of outcome, leaving no time or credit for frank discussion of strategic issues. Hence, I suggest the S&ED mechanism in future should adhere to its original purpose by focusing more on core issues of strategic importance. Let the strategic dialogues be frank and honest; let them focus more on strategic issues even is that means fewer outcomes for the media to broadcast.

China Has Much to Gain From the South China Sea Ruling (2016-07-18)
(The Diplomat, By Mark E. Rosen) Taiwan is legally complicit in this matter because Taipei made a bad tactical decision to have its Ministry of Foreign Affairs issue a detailed statement on the matter on March 21, 2016 which the tribunal, and the Philippines, agreed would be given due consideration. By making this very late and detached intervention, Taipei gave the Tribunal the legal green light that they needed to consider Itu Aba’s status.

Tsai Rejects Itu Aba Ruling In US Interview (2016-07-23)
(Taipei Times, By Stacy Hsu) President Tsai Ing-wen reiterated Taiwan’s stance of not accepting an international court’s ruling on the South China Sea in an interview with the Washington Post, calling for a peaceful resolution of the disputes.

The Wisdom of The Hague’s South China Sea Decision (2016-07-19)
(Wall Street Journal, By Jerome A. Cohen) It took the stunning Philippine arbitration case against China brought in 2013 to illustrate the value that international legal institutions can have for weak countries with no other defense against overwhelming power.

Lawmakers Demand Military Support For Taiping Protest (2016-07-19)
(China Post, By Stephanie Chao) Kuomintang (KMT) lawmakers urged the government Tuesday to deploy the military to protect the nation's South China Sea claims and to accompany fishermen planning a protest trip to Taiping Island.

Fishermen To Sail For Taiping Island (2016-07-19)
(China Post, By Yuan-Ming Chiao) Fishermen from southern Taiwan vowed to take to the seas to safeguard "ancestral assets and sovereignty" in the South China Sea, Monday. The action is being spearheaded by Pingtung area fishermen, involving an estimated ten trawlers ranging from 20 to 50 tons, scheduled to set sail for the South China Sea island of Taiping on Wednesday. Retired serviceman in Kaohsiung have also expressed their intent to participate in the mission.

Cabinet Urges S. China Sea Negotiations (2016-07-20)
(China Post, By Yuan-Ming Chiao) The government stressed the need for multilateral negotiations in the South China Sea on Tuesday, one day before separate groups of lawmakers and fishermen were scheduled to travel to Taiwan-controlled Taiping Island.

Legislators Visit Taiping To Assert Claim (2016-07-21)
(China Post, By Joseph Yeh) A delegation of Republic of China (Taiwan) lawmakers visited the Taiwan-controlled Taiping Island Wednesday to assert the country's South China Sea claims after an arbitration court last week controversially deemed the territory a rock rather than an island.

Distinct Stance On Ruling Vital: Academics (2016-07-21)
(Taipei Times, By Abraham Gerber) The government should be flexible in its response to last week’s South China Sea arbitration ruling to differentiate its stance from China’s, pan-green academics said yesterday, while criticizing calls by former president Ma Ying-jeou to declare an exclusive economic zone around Itu Aba Island (Taiping Island).
U.S. “Pivot” to Asia and Sino-U.S. Engagement
Why Offshore Balancing Won't Work (2016-07-18)
(The National Interest, By James Holmes) Offshore balancing: a superior U.S. grand strategy! Unless you try to execute it—in which case doubt abounds. A strategy that’s not actionable is no strategy at all.

Look Out, Asia: China's Peaceful Rise is Over (2016-07-18)
(The National Interest, By Doug Bandow) Beijing is not the first rising power to challenge a system seemingly biased against it. The young American republic responded truculently to Great Britain as the former negotiated the border with Canada, causing London to back down.

Assessing The US-China Strategic And Economic Dialogue (2016-07-20)
(The Diplomat, By Mercy A. Kuo) Buy-in from the American public is of crucial importance. Our populations must support a growing relationship that works well for both societies. This is especially important today given the headwinds of isolationism and populism in the United States.

America Can't Dump Taiwan (2016-07-19)
(The National Interest, By Peter Navarro) At the end of the time, it’s time for America to fully and firmly recommit to an island that is indeed both a beacon of democracy and critical to the U.S. defense strategy in Asia. The chessboard is now clear on the matter of the dangers posed to the region by a rising China, and we need to stop sacrificing friends like Taiwan to placate what is increasingly morphing from a trading partner and strategic rival into a hostile enemy.

China and US Conduct Joint Submarine Rescue Drill
 (2016-07-20)
(The Diplomat, By Franz-Stefan Gady) The joint submarine rescue exercise took place during Rim of the Pacific 2016 off the coast of Hawaii. 
DPP Searches for New China Stance; Cross-Strait Issues
Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen: Beijing Must Respect Our Democratic Will (2016-07-21)
(Washington Post, By Lally Weymouth) This past week, The Washington Post’s Lally Weymouth visited Tsai’s office for the president’s first foreign interview since taking office.

Tsai Rejects Deadline For Accepting '92 Consensus'
 (2016-07-23)
(China Post, By Stephanie Chao) In a Q&A posted on the Washington Post website, senior associate editor Lally Weymouth asked whether it was true that mainland China leader Xi had set a certain deadline by which he wanted President Tsai to agree to the "1992 Consensus." In response, Tsai said, "it isn't likely that the government of Taiwan will accept a deadline for conditions that are against the will of the people." Taiwan’s Presidential office refutes claims that President Tsai Ing-wen rejected the "1992 Consensus" in that interview. 

US Urges Taiwan-China Communications (2016-07-24)
(Taipei Times/CNA) The US on Thursday urged Taiwan and China to keep channels of communication open after President Tsai Ing-wen expressed hope in a Washington Post interview that China would show more flexibility in dealing with cross-strait relations.

DPP Moves Toward Striking Independence Clause (2016-07-18)
(China Post, By Stephanie Chao) The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) on Sunday decided to further review a motion to abolish the Republic of China (R.O.C.) as well as a motion to abolish the DPP charter's Taiwan independence clause.
PLA, Military Balance and Arms Sales
PLA Reforms Short-Term Boon For Taiwan: Expert (2016-07-21)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) Phillip Saunders, the Director of the Center for the Study of Chinese Military Affairs at the US National Defense University explained at a conference in Washington that recent reforms within the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) are — in the short term — good news for Taiwan. He said the reforms are to be “very disruptive” for the Chinese military, therefore “the PLA will be less likely to undertake a major operation.”

China's Secret Weapon in the South China Sea: Cyber Attacks (2016-07-22)
(The Diplomat, By Anni Piiparinen) The countries with competing claims to the disputed waters – the Philippines, Vietnam, Taiwan, Malaysia, and Brunei – remain willfully unprepared to counter Chinese cyber units, and need to begin seriously investing in sophisticated cyber defenses through increased national investments, regional initiatives, and strengthened international alliances.

Taiwan And NASA Work Together On Lunar Lander (2016-07-19)
(China Post/CNA) Several Taiwanese research institutions have signed a memorandum of understanding (MOU) with the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) to jointly develop an unmanned lunar lander.

Navy Refutes Delay In US Weapons Sales Order (2016-07-24)
(China Post, By Sun Hsin Hsuan) Navy Command Headquarters (MND) Saturday quashed reports suggesting that the delivery of a U.S. arms sales order to Taiwan had been postponed, claiming that Taipei maintains stable relations with Washington.
Taiwan's Domestic Issues and Foreign Relations
How Bad Is Taiwan's Economy (2016-07-22)
(The Diplomat, By Frank S.T. Hsiao) When we look at the international data, and compare Taiwan’s economic performance with other countries, especially with some of the most advanced European countries, we find quite a different picture.

A Closer Look At President Tsai Ing-wen's New Southbound Policy
 (2016-07-18)
(China Post, By John Liu) The Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) is Taiwan's second largest trade partner. Trade between Taiwan and Southeast Asia has been steadily increasing. Between 2001 and 2015, the amount grew from about US$30 billion to nearly US$80 billion. 

ASEAN Representatives Back Southbound Policy (2016-07-18)
(Taipei Times, By Lu Yi-hsuan) ASEAN countries have “strong feelings” about President Tsai Ing-wen’s proposed “new southbound policy,” Singapore Trade Office in Taipei Representative Wong Wie Kuen said, adding that he hopes the Legislative Yuan would pass relevant laws as soon as possible.

Taiwan Woos ASEAN Tourists in Boost for New Southbound Policy (2016-07-19)
(The Diplomat, By Prashanth Parameswaran) Taiwan is wooing Southeast Asian tourists by granting them visa-free access to Taiwan as part of its new southbound policy.

Foreign Ministry Working To Ensure ICAO Attendance
 (2016-07-20)
(Taipei Times, By Stacy Hsu) The Ministry of Foreign Affairs yesterday said it is working to make sure that Taiwan receives an invitation to this year’s International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) Assembly, adding that preparations have been made to avoid a dispute like the one that preceded the World Health Assembly (WHA) meeting in May. 

China's Rise and Its Domestic Issues
Canadian or Chinese? Foreign Citizenship Brought Into Question (2016-07-20)
(The Diplomat, By Cal Wong) Visa authorities are demanding Canadians of Chinese descent apply as Chinese nationals when traveling to China. 

3 Convicted Over Their Roles in Sprawling Hong Kong Street Protests (2016-07-21)
(New York Times, By Alan Wong and Michael Forsythe) Three leaders of Hong Kong’s huge student-led demonstrations in 2014 were found guilty on Thursday of charges stemming from their roles in events that set off 79 days of defiant street protests for freer elections in the self-governing Chinese territory.

Is China Stealing Jobs? It May Be Losing Them, Instead (2016-07-23)
(New York Times, By Michael Schuman) In a 2015 study, the Boston Consulting Group said the costs of manufacturing in China’s major export-producing zone were now almost the same as in the United States, after taking into account wages, worker productivity, energy costs and other factors.


Contact: Dalton Lin, Executive Editor 

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