::: TSR Weekly Report
2016-04-05 | NO.20(14) epaper |
South China Sea Disputes
DPP's Stance on Sovereignty in S. China Sea Unchanged (2016-03-31)
(CNA) President Ma Ying-jeou told President-elect Tsai Ing-wen during their meeting that his government has never worked with mainland China on the issue concerning Taiping Island in South China Sea, while Tsai stressed no change in her party's stance. 

China Unlikely to Declare South China Sea Air Defense Zone: Official (2016-04-01)
(CNA) Chances are low that mainland China will declare an air defense identification zone in the contested South China Sea in the near term, a Taiwanese official said Thursday, noting that Beijing is still trying to build up its military capabilities in the region.

US Planning Third Patrol Near Disputed Islands (2016-04-03)
(Reuters) The US Navy plans to conduct another passage near disputed islands in the South China Sea early this month, a source familiar with the plan said on Friday, the third in a series of challenges that have drawn sharp rebukes from China.

Patrolling Disputed Waters, U.S. and China Jockey for Dominance (2016-03-30)
(New York Times, By Helene Cooper) From Mischief Reef, where China is building a military base in defiance of claims by Vietnam and the Philippines, to Scarborough Shoal, where the Chinese are building and equipping outposts on disputed territory far from the mainland, Chinese and U.S. naval forces are on an almost continuous state of alert.

Saving the South China Sea without Starting World War III (2016-03-30)
(The National Interest, By Van Jackson) Greater operational transparency in the South China Sea has become a strategic imperative, and the United States needs to treat it as such by investing greater resources and political capital toward increasing the shared maritime awareness of Southeast Asian states. It simply will not happen without U.S. leadership.

One Envoy's Take on China's Hardball Diplomacy (2016-04-01)
(New York Times, By Jane Perlez) The South China Sea islands are inconsequential in military terms, but they are a potent reminder to Southeast Asia that “China is a geographic fact whereas the U.S. presence in the South China Sea is the consequence of a geopolitical calculation.”
East China Sea Disputes and Japan Policy
Japan Opens Radar Station 150km from Diaoyutai Islands (2016-03-29)
(Reuters) Japan switched on a radar station in the East China Sea, giving it a permanent intelligence-gathering post close to Taiwan and a group of islands disputed by Japan and China, drawing an angry response from Beijing.

Yonaguni Radar Station 'Targets China, Not Taiwan' (2016-04-01)
(China Post, By Joseph Yeh) Tsai Ming-yaw, head of the Association of East Asian Relations in charge of Japanese affairs, indicated that he is not worried that the move could jeopardize Taiwan's security, even though the radar system could monitor military activities in Eastern Taiwan.

MOFA Calls on Tokyo Not to Misuse Military After New Law
(China Post, By Joseph Yeh) A Ministry of Foreign Affairs official expressed respect for Japan's right to defend itself but urged Tokyo not to "misuse" its military forces for the purpose of invasion as a new Japanese security law took effect earlier in the same day, enabling its troops to fight overseas for the first time since World War II. 

Introducing 'Peak Japan' (And Why It Matters) (2016-03-31)
(The National Interest, By Brad Glosserman) Little attention is being paid to structural factors that conspire to limit Japan’s capacity to sustain a higher and more expansive hard-security profile. Japan’s demographic trajectory and the inability of Abenomics to gain traction mean that Tokyo’s international influence is likely to be at its apogee, and will level off and eventually decline. Tokyo won’t be irrelevant, but we may well be witnessing ‘Peak Japan’.
U.S. “Pivot” to Asia and Sino-U.S. Engagement
Obama and President Xi of China Vow to Sign Paris Climate Accord Promptly (2016-04-01)
(New York Times, By Coral Davenport) President Obama and President Xi Jinping of China said that they would sign the Paris Agreement on climate change on April 22, the first day the United Nations accord will be open for government signatures.

Unwinding Taiwan's Cold War Legacy (2016-03-29)
(Foreign Policy, By Daniel Blumenthal) There is no reason, legislative or otherwise, to have such abnormal relations with the island. Instead, it is our own stubborn refusal to reinterpret rules we authored unilaterally back when Jimmy Carter was president.

The Two Faces of American Statecraft
(The National Interest, By James Jay Carafano) Running a two-track security and foreign economic policy would beeasier if the United States and its friends competed from positions of greater economic strength. 

Are We Entering a New Era of U.S. Grand Strategy? (2016-04-04)
(The National Interest, By Rod Lyon) In the 25 years since the end of the Cold War, US enthusiasm for alliances has wavered, bringing into question the degree of US attachment to the winning formula of the twentieth century.
DPP Searches for New China Stance; Cross-Strait Issues
Beijing Pans Proposed Cross-Strait Bill (2016-03-31)
(Reuters) The Chinese government warned Taiwan that the passage of a proposed new law governing cross-strait relations could seriously damage the basis for talks, and that Beijing opposed any obstacles to developing ties. 

DPP Unveils Draft Bill on Cross-Strait Talks (2016-04-02)
(Taipei Times) The DPP caucus released a draft bill on monitoring cross-strait negotiations and agreements — without a clause that would let an agreement come into effect automatically if the review process stalls.

DPP Pledges to Maintain Cross-Strait Stability (2016-04-03)
(CNA) The DPP said it has taken note of a statement by the U.S. government encouraging Taipei and Beijing to continue their efforts to maintain cross-strait peace and stability.

Committee Cancels SEF Head's Final Trip to China (2016-04-03)
(Taipei Times, By Peng Hsien-chun) Straits Exchange Foundation (SEF) Chairman Lin Join-sane is to cancel his final trip to China in accordance with a Legislative Yuan resolution, the foundation said.

‘Very Slight’ Chance of China Using Force on Taiwan: Analyst (2016-03-30)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) The chance of China using military force to seek unification with Taiwan in the near to medium term is “very slight,” said Jeffrey Bader, a Brookings Institution senior fellow and former US National Security Council senior director for Asian affairs in the administration of US President Barack Obama.

Goodwill's Place in Cross-Strait Ties (2016-04-01)
(Taipei Times, By Shu Chin-chiang) It is clear that Tsai's stance will be based on the ROC Constitution instead of the DPP charter’s Taiwan independence clause. From a legal constitutional perspective, Taiwanese independence is also not feasible. Hence, this is a gesture of goodwill to China on Tsai’s part and it sends an even clearer message than the consensus-less “1992 consensus.”

Majority Says ‘Mainland China’ Should No Longer Be ROC Territory: Survey  (2016-04-03)
(Taipei Times, By Loa Iok-sin) More than 60 percent of the respondents to a survey said that “Mainland China” should no longer be designated as the nation’s territory if the Republic of China Constitution is amended, the Taiwan Indicators Survey Research said.
Taiwan's Domestic Issues and Foreign Relations
Taiwan Mood Barometer Survey, Second Half of March 2016 (2016-03-31)
(TISR) President Ma Ying-jeou's approval rating rose 1.3 percentage points over the latter part of March, according to the latest Taiwan Mood Barometer Survey (in Chinese).

Ma, Tsai Meet Behind Closed Doors
(Taipei Times, By Stacy Hsu) President Ma Ying-jeou yesterday met with president-elect Tsai Ing-wen to exchange opinions on an array of national issues in their first formal meeting since January’s presidential election, with both sides calling for cooperation and a smooth transfer of power.

Past Spokesperson Urges Hung to Take Middle Ground (2016-04-01)
(Taipei Times, By Stacy Hsu) KMT chairwoman Hung Hsiu-chu should move to the middle ground if she intends to consolidate her leadership, her former campaign spokesperson said.

Manufacturing Posts 1st Sales Drop in 3 Years (2016-04-03)
(CNA) The local manufacturing sector suffered its first year-on-year sales drop in three years in 2015 as many manufacturers' pricing power was hurt by falling prices of international crude oil and steel products, according to the Ministry of Economic Affairs.

Int'l Standards Should be Basis for Pork Policy, US Official Says
(China Post, By Joseph Yeh) A visiting U.S. senior economic official reiterated on Wednesday his government's stance that the best way to resolve the long-standing issue of U.S. pork imports containing ractopamine is to use international standards as the scientific base in setting policy.

US Praises Taiwan Over Uranium Policy (2016-04-02)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) Taiwan’s participation sends an important message to Asia about the benefits of nuclear security, US Deputy National Security Adviser Ben Rhodes said.

Taiwanese Want America's Help Joining International Organizations More Than Weapons, TISR Survey (2016-03-31)
(TISR) The number one thing that the United States can do to help Taiwan increase its strength and confidence is to help the country join international organizations, say 51 percent of respondents to the latestTaiwan Mood Barometer Survey (in Chinese).

American Government Attaches Importance to Taiwan Say Half of Taiwanese, TISR Survey (2016-03-31)
(TISR) Half of Taiwanese believe that the American government attaches importance to Taiwan, according to the latest Taiwan Mood Barometer Survey (in Chinese).

US Replaces China As Taiwan's Largest Debtor (2016-04-01)
(CNA) The United States replaced China to become Taiwan's largest debtor as of the end of the fourth quarter of last year on a direct risk basis, as Taiwanese banks' exposure to China was on the decline, according to Taiwan's central bank.

TECO in Myanmar Opens Doors in Yangon: Ministry
(CNA) The Taipei Economic and Cultural Office in Myanmar opened in Yangon yesterday, offering consular services, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs said. 
China's Rise and Its Domestic Issues
Anonymous Call for Xi to Quit Rattles Party Leaders in China (2016-03-30)
(New York Times, By Chris Buckley) Mr. Xi’s handlers have sought to give him an aura of unshakable dominance. But the unusually severe response to what might be nothing more than an outlandish Internet ruse suggests some anxiety about his hold on power, including among security officials keen to show their loyalty and avoid any hint of exposing him to danger, experts said.

New HK Party Denounced by Chinese Media
(AFP) The Hong Kong National Party, which is primarily made up of younger people seeking independence from China, was launched on Monday. 

To Understand China's Economic Signals, Start with the Four Comprehensives (2016-03-11)
(Asia Unbound, By John Fei) While there has been a plethora of analyses regarding the need for improved communication and greater independence of organizations such as the PBOC, less has been said about how the recent spate of economic events relates to the CCP’s leadership doctrine.

Does China Need Allies? (2016-03-31)
(The National Interest, By Lyle J. Goldstein) Looking around the world since 1648, there has never been another single great power that pursued a policy of rejecting alliances.

Contact: Dalton Lin, Executive Editor 

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