::: TSR Weekly Report
2016-03-15 | NO.20(11) epaper |
South China Sea Disputes and Other Regional Issues
South China Sea Buildup Brings Beijing Closer to Realizing Control (2016-03-09)
(New York Times, By Michael Forsythe and Jane Perlez) United States officials said they expected China to build large fuel storage tanks on the islands next, which would allow its fighter jets to remain in the region longer, and then to declare an “air defense identification zone” over the South China Sea as it did for a contested part of the East China Sea in late 2013. 

China Gaining ‘Substantial Power’ in South China Sea (2016-03-12)
(Reuters) China will be able to project “substantial offensive military power” from artificial islands it has built in the South China Sea’s disputed Spratly Islands within months, the director of US national intelligence said.

Replacing Armistice Agreement with Peace Agreement is the Best Way for Ensuring Peace (2016-03-10)
(PacNet #25, Pacific Forum, CSIS, By Jong Nam Hyok) This article provides a DPRK perspective. While readers may find fault with many of its arguments and points of view (as do we), it is published to provide our readership with insights into how the DPRK sees the current situation.

Crisis on the Korean Peninsula: Time for “Plan B”? (2016-03-11)
(PacNet #26, Pacific Forum, CSIS, By Sukjoon Yoon) South Korea and the US should allow China a wider role in articulating China-South Korea-US security cooperation. There needs to be a framework that can withstand unplanned physical conflict between the two Koreas, or even the collapse of the North Korean regime, without the regional security situation getting out of control.
East China Sea Disputes and Japan Policy
China's Foreign Minister: No Cause for Optimism in China-Japan Relations (2016-03-09)
(The Diplomat, By Shannon Tiezzi) Wang Yi told reporters that the root of the problem lies in the way Japan’s current government thinks about China. “Facing China’s rise, should [Japan] take China as a friend or an enemy, a partner or an adversary?” Wang asked, urging Japan to “seriously consider” this question. 
U.S. “Pivot” to Asia and Sino-U.S. Engagement
How Obama Sees Asia (2016-03-11)
(The Diplomat, By Arkit Panda) On China—the prime challenge for the United States in Asia going forward—Obama is clear about his interest in containment. Even though his administration officially goes to great lengths to convey to Beijing that it is not pursuing an explicit strategy of containing a rising China, Obama tells Goldberg that his administration “have been able to mobilize most of Asia to isolate China in ways that have surprised China, frankly, and have very much served our interest in strengthening our alliances.” "The Obama Doctrine," The Atlantic, by Jeffrey Goldberg

U.S. Restricts Sales to ZTE, Saying It Breached Sanctions (2016-03-08)
(New York Times, By Paul Mozur) ZTE was found to have violated American sanctions against Iran by selling United States-made goods to the country. As a result, it will be blocked from buying any technology from American companies without a special license.

US in Talks to Base Long-Range Bombers in Australia, It Says
(Reuters) The US is in talks to base long-range bombers in Australia, US defense officials said, within striking distance of the disputed South China Sea, a move that could inflame tensions with China. 

It's Time We Talked about War with China (2016-03-10)
(The National Interest, By Hugh White) I think it is unlikely Australia would go to war with China in any situation short of the outright invasion of the undisputed territory of another sovereign state. I think it is quite unlikely America would either, once a president was brought face to face with the military realities. So we are just bluffing, and our bluff is being steadily and systematically called by China.

Chinese Crackdown on Lawyers and Activists Is Criticized in U.N. (2016-03-11)
(New York Times, By Nick Cumming Bruce) The United States, Japan, Australia, Britain and eight other European countries scolded China over its crackdown on lawyers and human rights activists, saying that China had violated its own laws and international commitments.
DPP Searches for New China Stance; Cross-Strait Issues
Taipei Forum’s Visit to Beijing and Shanghai, February 23-27, 2016 (2016-02-27)
(Taipei Forum) In order to fathom more deeply what the Mainland China has in mind, the Taipei Forum sent a fact-finding delegation, mainly composed of its standing directors, to visit various Taiwan-related agencies and think tanks. Here is the visit's report in English.

Reject Independence or No Dialogue: China
(CNA) China would continue dialogue with president-elect Tsai Ing-wen’s DPP administration on the basis of “peaceful development” and “familial affinity,” and if the party rejects independence, China’s Association for Relations Across the Taiwan Straits Chairman Chen Deming said.

Tsai's Inauguration Pivot for Cross-Strait Ties
(China Post) President-elect Tsai Ing-wen's inauguration speech on May 20 will be a cornerstone for cross-strait relations, former National Security Council chief Su Chi said.

What Beijing Gains by Threatening Taiwan Now (2016-03-11)
(The National Interest, By Gordon G. Chang) “We will resolutely contain the ‘Taiwan independence’ secessionist activities in any form,” Xi Jinping said to NPC delegates from Shanghai. “We will safeguard the country’s sovereignty and territorial integrity, and never allow the historical tragedy of national secession to happen again.”

Tsai-Xi Meeting Unlikely, Minister Says
(Taipei Times) The likelihood of a meeting between president-elect Tsai Ing-wen and Chinese President Xi Jinping is not great, the head of the Mainland Affairs Council said. 

Government Denies That Cross-Strait Talks on Trade in Goods Completed (2016-03-07)
(CNA) The government rebutted a Chinese official's remark that talks between the two sides of the Taiwan Strait on a planned agreement on trade in goods have been completed.

Chinese Tourists Increase from Jan. 1 to March 8 (2016-03-11)
(China Post) The government denied previous reports that mainland China was reducing tourist allocations to Taiwan, adding that the number of mainland visitors actually increased from the beginning of the year to March 8.

HK Support for Taiwanese Independence on the Rise (2016-03-12)
(Taipei Times) Support among Hong Kongers for Taiwanese independence has reached its highest level in 21 years, with 35 percent of the respondents in a poll conducted by Hong Kong University’s Public Opinion Programme saying they support the idea, the university said.
Military Balance and Arms Sales
Tsai Vows to Build Naval Boats Locally on Kaohsiung Visit (2016-03-11)
(Taipei Times) During a meeting with shipbuilders in Kaohsiung, president-elect Tsai Ing-wen said that she is determined to have naval vessels built locally. 

Delegation Urges US to Sell Weapons to Taiwan (2016-03-13)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) While the US does not make diesel-electric submarines, but it could buy them from Japan, upgrade them and sell them to Taiwan, Parris Chang said.
Taiwan's Domestic Issues and Foreign Relations
Exports Slide for the 13th Straight Month: Gov't Statistics Chief (2016-03-08)
(China Post) Taiwan's exports fell for the 13th consecutive month in February, contracting 11.8 percent from a year earlier to US$17.78 billion.

DPP Set to Move Toward 'Nuclear Free Homeland' in 2025 (2016-03-12)
(CNA) On the fifth anniversary of a natural disaster in Japan that triggered a nuclear meltdown, Taiwan's DPP reiterated its commitment to move toward a "nuclear free homeland" by 2025 when it takes power in May.

President Ma Could Meet with Officials on US Transit Stops
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) The US Department of State is leaving open the possibility that President Ma Ying-jeou might consult with US government officials when he transits through Houston and Los Angeles on a visit to Central America later this month. 

US Senate Supports ROC Observer Status in Interpol (2016-03-10)
(CNA) The bill cleared the U.S. House of Representatives in November 2015 and can now be sent to U.S. President Barack Obama to be signed into law after having passed the Senate.
China's Rise and Its Domestic Issues
4 Takeaways from China's Economic Blueprint (2016-03-08)
(The Diplomat, By Shannon Tiezzi) 1. China can’t afford for its growth to slow down any more. 2. Innovation is the key to China’s growth plan... 3. …But the era of big investment isn’t over. 4. The environment is a priority for China’s government – but not its top priority. 

China's Outflows of Money Slowed in February (2016-03-08)
(New York Times, By Keith Bradsher) The erosion in China’s foreign exchange reserves slowed sharply last month from the pace of $100 billion a month that prevailed through the winter. Reserves fell by $28.6 billion last month, to $3.202 trillion.

China Wrestles with Draft Law on Nongovernmental Organizations (2016-03-12)
(Sinosphere, By Didi Kirsten Tatlow) Two drafts later, a “Foreign NGO Management Law” still has not passed, raising questions as to if the government is reconsidering whether the national security-driven legislation could crimp international cooperation in areas it cares about — such as education, industry and the environment — as it seeks to expand the economy in new ways.

Contact: Dalton Lin, Executive Editor 

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