::: TSR Weekly Report
2012-12-16 | NO.16(51) epaper |
China's Leadership Succession
Xi’s Seduction of the Military (2012-12-14)
(China Real Time Report, By Russell Leigh Moses) Xi’s trip to Shenzhen has garnered significant attention, but in many ways, it was his meeting with the military in Guangzhou that were more revealing. 

China’s Communist Party Chief Acts to Bolster Military (2012-12-15)
(New York Times, By Edward Wong) Xi Jinping, the new Communist Party chief and civilian commander of the Chinese military, is moving quickly to make strengthening the country’s armed forces a centerpiece of what he calls the “Chinese dream” of national rejuvenation.  
Sino-U.S. Engagement
Aligning US Structures, Press, and Strategy: A US-ASEAN Strategic and Economic Partnership (2012-12-10)
(PacNet #83, Pacific Forum, CSIS, By Ernest Z. Bower) Developing a US-ASEAN Strategic and Economic Partnership would serve to elevate and institutionalize existing US-ASEAN engagements.
South China Sea Disputes
U.S. Military to Boost Philippines Presence; China Tells Army to be Prepared (2012-12-12)
(Reuters) Senior U.S. and Philippine officials met in Manila to discuss strengthening security and economic ties. Meanwhile, new CCP chief Xi Jinping urged his military to prepare for a struggle. 
Diaoyutai Disputes Resurface and Japan Policy
China Commissions Largest Fisheries Patrol Boat (2012-12-12)
(CNA) China commissioned its largest and most advanced fisheries patrol vessel amid escalating disputes with Japan over islands in the East China Sea.

Japan Scrambles Jets in Island Dispute with China (2012-12-14)
(New York Times) Japan scrambled fighter jets after a Chinese surveillance plane entered what Japan considers its airspace above disputed islands that have become a source of heightened tension between the Asian powers.

Beijing Submits East China Sea Claims to the UN (2012-12-16)
(AP) China provided the UN with detailed claims to waters in the East China Sea, apparently padding out its legal argument in an ongoing territorial dispute with Japan.

China Steps Up Pressure on Japan in Island Dispute (2012-12-16)
(New York Times, By Jane Perlez) In China, Xi Jinping was appointed as head of a powerful interagency group formed in September at the top of the Chinese government to oversee the country’s maritime disputes. That means that for three months now, Mr. Xi has had a critical say in how China conducts its strategy with Japan. 

Ma Urges Peaceful Solution to Diaoyutai Islands Dispute (2012-12-15)
(Taipei Times) President Ma Ying-jeou again called for a peaceful solution to disputes over the sovereignty of the Diaoyutai Islands and said that the nation would not make any concessions on Taiwan’s sovereignty.  
DPP Searches for New China Stance; Cross-Strait Issues
DPP Set to Attend Forum with Chinese Officials in Taipei (2012-12-10)
(Taipei Times) DPP officials and pan-green camp academics are to attend a two-day forum on cross-strait relations today, with a senior Chinese official responsible for Taiwan affairs also due to attend. 

DPP Slams Ma for Approving More Imports (2012-12-14)
(Taipei Times) DPP caucus criticized the government for approving more Chinese agricultural products to be imported. 

Cross-Strait Currency Clearing Deal Progresses Further (2012-12-13)
(Taipei Times) Central bank Governor Perng Fai-nan said the currency clearing agreement between Taiwan and China may take effect before the Lunar New Year, which falls in February next year. 
PLA, Military Balance and Arms Sales
PLA Succession: Trends and Surprises (2012-12-14)
(China Brief 12(24), Jamestown Foundation, By Christina Garafola) The recent 18th Party Congress saw signs of increased routinization of succession processes within the CMC but also departures from previously established norms. 

US Analysts at Conference Oppose Selling Taiwan F-16s
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) Two experts at a Washington conference on “US Rebalancing to Asia” strongly opposed the sale of F-16C/D aircraft to Taiwan.  
Taiwan's Foreign Relations
F-16 Pilots Came Close to Joining US Exercise (2012-12-10)
(Taipei Times) While fears of Beijing’s reactions scuttled the plan, insiders believe that Taiwanese pilots will be able to eventually participate in the large-scale military exercise. 

Ma Speaks Out on ICAO Exclusion (2012-12-14)
(CNA) President Ma said the US Congress and the EU Parliament have both voiced their support for Taiwan’s bid to join the organization, and even Chinese President Hu Jintao had promised to find a way to allow Taiwan to join the ICAO. 
China's Rise and Its Domestic Issues
 Signals in China of a More Open Economy (2012-12-10)
(New York Times, By Edward Wong) In a strong signal of support for greater market-oriented economic policies, Xi Jinping, the new head of the Communist Party, made a visit over the weekend to the special economic zone of Shenzhen in south China. 

China Removes Sichuan Vice Party Chief (2012-12-13)
(Wall Street Journal, By Brian Spegele) Chinese Communist Party officials removed a senior provincial leader facing allegations of corruption, as new leaders look to signal they will do more to address rising concerns over rampant official corruption. 

Debating a Rising China’s Role in International Affairs (2012-12-14)
(China Brief 12(24), Jamestown Foundation, By Michael Chase) Considerable discussion of what role China should play on the world stage has taken place since Robert Zoellick’s 2005 “responsible stakeholder” speech, but Chinese analysts continue to debate how much responsibility China should accept.

Regional Issues
U.S. Forecast As No. 2 Economy but Energy Independent (2012-12-11)
(New York Times) A new intelligence assessment of global trends projects that China will outstrip the United States as the leading economic power before 2030, but that America will remain an indispensable world leader, bolstered in part by an era of energy independence. 

Manila Backs Rearmed Japan to Balance PRC (2012-12-11)
(AFP) The Philippines would support Japan dropping its pacifist constitution to become a fully fledged military force and act as a balance against a rising China, a government spokesman said. 

Despite Risks, China Stays at North Korea’s Side to Keep the U.S. at Bay (2012-12-14)
(New York Times, By Jane Perlez) For the Chinese, there are fewer problems keeping North Korea the way it is than having a collapse. 

Why North Korea Can’t Count on China’s Patronage Forever (2012-12-13)
(The Atalantic, By Brian Fung) The day when China is forced to take a bolder stance on North Korea may be quietly approaching. Part of this breakthrough will be rooted in China's own development as a globally relevant political force. 

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