::: TSR Weekly Report
2015-10-25 | NO.19(43) epaper |
South China Sea Disputes
US Admiral: Policymakers to Decide South China Sea Patrols (2015-10-24)
(AP, By Audrey McAvoy) The U.S. Navy's top commander in the Pacific says it's up to policymakers in Washington whether his sailors patrol within 12 nautical miles of newly constructed islands claimed by China in the South China Sea.

Further Militarizing the South China Sea May Undermine Freedom of Navigation (2015-10-22)
(The Diplomat, By Doug Bandow and Eric Gomez) As MIT’s Taylor Fravel observed, a FONOP “gives China an opportunity to assert that the United States is the country ‘militarizing’ the South China Sea,” providing Beijing with an excuse to respond in kind. It would be better to instead test Chinese pledges of goodwill.

Taiping Island to Become Humanitarian Tasks Base
(Taipei Times) Itu Aba Island in the disputed Spratly Islands in the South China Sea, will serve as a low-carbon base for undertaking humanitarian tasks, Coast Guard Administration Minister says. 

Taiping Island Lighthouse Construction Completed in Disputed S. China Sea  (2015-10-25)
(China Post) Taiwan has recently completed construction of a lighthouse on Taiping Island in the disputed South China Sea, local media reported.
U.S. “Pivot” to Asia and Sino-U.S. Engagement
The Security Outlook in the Asia Pacific: Uncertain (2015-10-14)
(PacNet #69, Pacific Forum, CSIS, By Ron Huisken) On the whole, it is hard to argue that a basic deficiency is a lack of opportunities for key decision makers to meet and address the big issues confronting the region. The problem, particularly in the case of the US and China, seems to be an inability or unwillingness to engage substantively in the processes available to them.

Cybersecurity Firm Says Chinese Hackers Keep Attacking U.S. Companies
(New York Times, By Paul Mozur) The security services provider CrowdStrike said that it had tracked a number of attacks on American tech and pharmaceutical companies leading up to and after Mr. Xi’s visit to the United States last month.

America's Taiwan-China Hocus Pocus (2015-10-19)
(Wall Street Journal, By Gary Schmitt) Whatever the merits of Mr. Obama’s decision with respect to Cuba, it would seem his logic should apply equally, if not more so, to a democratic partner on the other side of the globe: Taiwan. 
DPP Searches for New China Stance; Cross-Strait Issues
Ex-US Official Urges China to Respect Taiwan's Electoral Process (2015-10-22)
(CNA) KMT Chairman Eric Chu was recently "drafted" by the party to replace Deputy Legislative Speaker Hung Hsiu-chu as its presidential candidate, and Christopher Johnson said a key issue was Hung's cross-strait policy, which was seen as being very pro-China.

China Might Be ‘Ramping Up’ Coercive Measures Against Taiwan: US Official (2015-10-23)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) China might be “ramping up” coercive and negative measures against Taiwan, former US assistant secretary of state for East Asia Kurt Campbell said said.

Reconciling Cross-Strait Contrivance (2015-10-22)
(Taipei Times, By Shirley Kan) Taiwan’s various leaders can deal with the contrived “1992 consensus” by leaving the old stepping stone in the path of cross-strait contacts and not pontificating about a vague, verbal code for discord.

Cross-Strait Insurance Talk Held Today in Rural Nantou
(China Post) The third annual cross-strait Insurance Supervisory Cooperation Meeting will be held today in remote Central Taiwan. 

Why the PLA Is No Paper Tiger (2015-10-19)
(The Strategist, By Malcolm Davis) The success of the China Dream isn’t just about domestic economic growth. It’s about China’s return to great power status across Asia, resolving territorial disputes in Maritime East Asia in its favour, preventing US containment by countering the rebalance, and building economic linkages to promote Chinese influence at the expense of the US and its regional allies.

Beijing Reaches for Military Upper Hand in Asia
(Wall Street Journal, By Andrew Browne) A tipping point is getting closer. A conflict in Taiwan, which is only 100 miles from the Chinese coast but thousands of miles from the U.S. mainland, says the Rand study, would be a “short, sharp and probably desperate affair with significant losses on both sides.” 

China's Xiangshan Forum: A Balancing Act for the PLA (2015-10-13)
(PacNet #68, Pacific Forum, CSIS, By Kim Fassler) Xiangshan Forum, a recently upgraded track 1.5 dialogue organized by the PLA and military-associated think tanks, underscores a larger effort by Beijing to better shape Asia’s security agenda.
Taiwan's Domestic Issues and Foreign Relations
Overseas Orders Fall for the Sixth Straight Month, Says Ministry (2015-10-21)
(China Post) Overseas orders in September grew 18 percent from the previous month to US$41.35 billion but fell 4.5 percent from a year ago, the Ministry of Economic Affairs reported.

Chu Wants Rule Change for Wang (2015-10-21)
(Taipei Times) KMT Chairman Eric Chu, the party’s newly chosen presidential candidate, said he planned to establish a system where no term limits were imposed on KMT lawmakers who serve as speaker of the Legislative Yuan.

Chu Meets AIT's Kin; Mum on US Trip (2015-10-21)
(China Post) KMT Chairman, New Taipei Mayor and 2016 presidential candidate Eric Chu met briefly with American Institute in Taiwan Director Kin Moy to exchange viewpoints on a broad range of issues.

DPP's Tsai 20 Points Clear: Poll (2015-10-19)
(Taipei Times) A Cross-Strait Policy Association poll indicatedTsai was supported by 45.2 percent of those polled, giving her a 23.3-point lead over Chu who garnered 21.9 percent, with 13.8 percent of respondents backing People First Party presidential candidate James Soong.

Survey Shows Significant Gap Between Chu, Tsai (2015-10-25)
(Taipei Times) KMT Chairman Eric Chu was trailing his DPP counterpart by 18 percentage points, the latest survey conducted by the Chinese-language China Times showed.

Chu Says He Had to Run for President ‘for Democracy’ (2015-10-20)
(Taipei Times, By Wang Yu-chung, Peng Hsien-chun, Liu Li-jen, and Jonathan Chin) KMT Chairman and presidential candidate Eric Chu asserted that his candidacy is necessary to prevent “single-party preponderance” after January’s presidential and legislative elections.

ROC Citizens Can Gain Entry into UN HQ by Showing 2 Photo IDs (2015-10-21)
(China Post) R.O.C. citizens can now enter the United Nations office in Geneva by presenting two Taiwan government-issued photo IDs, a source close to the matter told local media. 

Future of Diplomatic Ties Uncertain: Lin (2015-10-22)
(Taipei Times) A legislator asked how Foreign Minister Lin would rate Taiwan’s diplomatic ties with the eight CELAC countries after next year. The minister replied that stable cross-strait relations are crucial to the nation’s foreign relations.
China's Rise and Its Domestic Issues
Beijing Bull: The Bogus China Model (2015-10-22)
(The National Interest, By Andrew J. Nathan) Daniel A. Bell argues that the world can learn from the undemocratic “China Model.” Yet the China he lauds is an illusion. 

U.K.'s Courtship of China Draws Criticism (2015-10-19)
(Wall Street Journal, By Jenny Gross, Jason Douglas, and Jeremy Page) As Chinese President Xi Jinping arrives Monday for his first state visit to the U.K., London’s courtship of Beijing is drawing criticism at home and unsettling allies, including the U.S., where officials have expressed apprehension about the U.K.’s approach.

Xi's Visit to Britain Highlights Broader Shift in Concerns about China
(New York Times, By Steven Erlanger) The visit to Britain by President Xi Jinping of China is underscoring how European nations are de-emphasizing human rights and security concerns as they compete to benefit from China’s growing economic might.

China Cuts Interest Rates for Sixth Time Since November (2015-10-24)
(New York Times, By Neil Gough and Keith Bradsher) As China confronts a persistent slowdown in growth, its government moved to pump more money into the economy using stimulus measures that could create other challenges for the country.

Interview: Richard C. Bush on Northeast Asian Economies (2015-10-22)
(The Diplomat, By Emanuel Pastreich) Taiwan needs to step up its economic liberalization with China before China will give the green light to third economies to liberalize their economic relations with Taiwan via free trade agreements. Taiwan badly needs to diversify its liberalization, including taking advantage of the TPP. But its trade strategy has been held hostage to cross straits politics.

Contact: Dalton Lin, Executive Editor 

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