::: TSR Weekly Report
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2015-10-20 | NO.19(42) epaper |
South China Sea Disputes
U.S. Tells Asian Allies That Navy Will Patrol Near Islands in South China Sea (2015-10-13)
(New York Times, By Jane Perlez and Javier C. Hernandez) The United States has been briefing its allies in Asia on plans to conduct naval patrols near artificial islands built by China in the disputed South China Sea, a move that could escalate tensions with Beijing after President Xi Jinping’s recent visit to Washington, American and Asian officials have said. 

Beijing Warns Against US Isle Move (2015-10-16)
(AFP) Beijing warned that it would “firmly oppose” infringement of its sovereignty after indications Washington will soon send warships close to its artificial islands in the South China Sea.

Think Again: Myths and Myopia about the South China Sea (2015-10-16)
(The National Interest, By Alexander Vuving) If the Chinese Navy becomes the custodian of nautical freedom in these waters, most vessels, most of the time, can still sail through them unhindered, but that is not because nations enjoy the objective right of free access, but because they enjoy China’s subjective benevolence, which at times can be selective and arbitrary.
U.S. “Pivot” to Asia and Sino-U.S. Engagement
The Impasse of US-China Relations (2015-10-16)
(The Diplomat, By David Lai) As this journey continues, the Chinese side will continue to press for mutual trust and respect; and insist that practical issues will go away if they have the strategic commitment from the United States. The U.S., however, always goes after specific problems in the two nations’ relations; and believes that trust and respect can only come from measurable cooperation. This journey will continue to be bumpy if the two nations continue to talk past each other with neither side willing to break the impasse.

The Real Reason America Needs the Trans-Pacific Partnership
 (2015-10-14)
(The National Interest, By Samuel Rines) The TPP is more political than anything for the United States. With so little to gain in terms of growth, the United States is gambling that it can play a role in more substantive future trade negotiations with China and India. The TPP is an investment in the long-term liberalization of trade. The United States is too big to benefit from the deal involving too many friends and too few real changes to the global economic regime—yet.

Obama's Doctrine of Restraint
 (2015-10-13)
(New York Times, By Roger Cohen) The cost of the Doctrine of Restraint has been very high. How high we do not yet know, but the world is more dangerous than in recent memory. 
DPP Searches for New China Stance; Cross-Strait Issues
"One Country on Each Side" Most Popular Characterization of cross-Strait Relations,TISR Survey (2015-10-15)
(TISR) Asked to select any of thirteen different phrases related to cross-Strait relations that they could identify with, the most popular characterization of cross-Strait relations among respondents to the latestTaiwan Mood Barometer Survey (in Chinese) was “One Country on Each Side” (一邊一國) which was selected by 69.3 percent of survey respondents.

China Not Sharply Cutting Tourist Numbers: Official
 (2015-10-14)
(Taipei Times) An MAC official said that Chinese tourist numbers might fall in the run-up to the elections, but not by as much as 95 percent.

China Should Not Attach Strings to Allowing Citizens to Transit in Taiwan: MAC Official
 (2015-10-14)
(CNA) China should not set conditions on allowing its nationals to transit through Taiwanese airports on overseas trips, an official in charge of Taiwan's China policy said.

MAC Head Hopes for Institutionalized Meetings with TAO (2015-10-14)
(CNA) Taiwan's Mainland Affairs Council head Hsia Li-yan said that he hopes meetings between the heads of the MAC and its mainland Chinese counterpart, the Taiwan Affairs Office, will be institutionalized.

Hsia-Zhang Meeting Ends without Progress on Transit Stop Issue
 (2015-10-14)
(CNA) Taiwan's Mainland Affairs Council Minister Hsia Li-yan said that he and his Chinese counterpart Zhang Zhijun failed to reach an agreement on allowing Chinese nationals to transit through Taiwanese airports on overseas trips. 

KMT Has ‘Lost China's Trust’ by Replacing Hung (2015-10-17)
(China Post) KMT has lost the trust of mainland China by moving to replace Deputy Legislative Speaker Hung Hsiu-chu as it's presidential candidate, stated Chang Ya-chung, a political science professor at National Taiwan University.
Military Balance and Arms Sales
Defense Ministry Still Hoping for Delivery of US Perry-Class Frigates (2015-10-15)
(CNA) Taiwan is still hoping to take delivery of two U.S. Perry-class frigates next year, said Defense Minister Kao Kuang-chi, amid reports that the sale is in limbo and the ships already decommissioned. 
Taiwan's Domestic Issues and Foreign Relations
KMT's Eric Chu Takes Over Campaign (2015-10-18)
(Taipei Times) KMT Chairman Eric Chu was endorsed by a KMT extempore congress to replace Deputy Legislative Speaker Hung Hsiu-chu as the party’s presidential candidate.

Fearing Election Losses, Taiwan's Governing Party Drops Its Presidential Candidate (2015-10-18)
(New York Times, By Austin Ramzy) Taiwan’s governing party, the Kuomintang, dropped its presidential nominee in favor of another candidate on Saturday, in hopes of preventing what it fears will be heavy losses in the January elections.

Tsai Must Not Underestimate Chu (2015-10-18)
(Taipei Times, By Shih Chih-Yu) The infighting within the KMT has produced three losers — President Ma Ying-jeou, Legislative Speaker Wang Jin-pyng and the party’s former presidential candidate, Hung Hsiu-chu — and one winner: Chairman and the party’s new presidential candidate Eric Chu.

Switching Hung for Chu Would Boost KMT: Survey (2015-10-16)
(Taipei Times) With the election less than 100 days away, a Taiwan Indicators Survey Research opinion poll showed that although Democratic Progressive Party presidential candidate Tsai Ing-wen would still lead if Chu replaces Hung, the margin would shrink from 31 percent to 23 percent.

Tsai Leads Chu in Early October Poll (2015-10-15)
(TISR) More Taiwanese favor Democratic Progressive Party presidential candidate Tsai Ing-wen than New Taipei Mayor and Kuomintang Party Chairman Eric Chu, according to the latest Taiwan Mood Barometer Survey (in Chinese).

Taiwan Mood Barometer Survey, First Half of October 2015 (2015-10-15)
(TISR) President Ma Ying-jeou's approval rating edged up 0.5 percentage point over the first ten days of October, according to the latest Taiwan Mood Barometer Survey (in Chinese).

Pork Issue Must Be Addressed Soon for TPP's Sake: MOFA
 (2015-10-14)
(China Post) Taiwan needs to address the U.S. pork import issue if it wants to join the U.S.-led Trans-Pacific Partnership, a Ministry of Foreign Affairs official said. 

More Work To Be Done Before Taiwan Can Join TPP: US Assistant Secretary (2015-10-17)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) Taiwan still has a long way to go before it can gain entry into the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal, a senior US official said this week.

US Commission to Push Washington for More Support (2015-10-16)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) In a series of eight recommendations, the US-China Economic and Security Review Commission is to push the US Congress to generally increase support for Taiwan.

Nation Hopes to Start Talks on Investment Pact (2015-10-16)
(China Post) The Ministry of Foreign Affairs expressed gratitude to the European Commission over its plan to explore launching negotiations on an investment pact with Taiwan in the future.

Gov't to Send Volunteers to Help Developing Nations (2015-10-15)
(CNA) Established in 1996, the Overseas Volunteer Service program has so far dispatched 632 volunteers to a total of 37 countries in Africa, Central and South America, the Caribbean and the South Pacific.
China's Rise and Its Domestic Issues
China's ‘One Belt, One Road’ Project and Its International Relations (2015-10-18)
(The Carter Center, By Dalton Lin) China's "One Belt, One Road" project, if successfully carried out, would create a preliminary Sino-centric international system. However, letting South China Sea disputes hinder the project's progress in Southeast Asia and making Central Asia and Pakistan instead as the project's focus, China risks missing the piece where the project could make the most profound impacts.

TPP Adds Urgency for China, India at RCEP Negotiations
 (2015-10-12)
(Reuters) Left out of the US-backed Trans-Pacific Partnership trade pact struck last week, China and India approach this week’s talks for a huge Asia-wide equivalent with fresh urgency, lest competitor nations steal a march on export access.

China: Projecting Power Through Peacekeeping (2015-10-15)
(The Diplomat, By Ryan Pickrell) Peacekeeping, emergency response, and disaster relief activities are excellent opportunities for power projection. While humanitarian assistance benefits struggling states, assisting states often offer assistance only when their assets and interests are on the line.

China's Growth Slows to 6.9% (2015-10-18)
(New York Times, By Neil Gough) China’s economy grew 6.9 percent in the third quarter from a year ago, as a deepening industrial rout and slumping stock market pushed growth to its slowest quarterly pace since the global financial crisis of 2009.

Is This How China's Currency Will Make Its Mark on the World Stage? (2015-10-15)
(The Diplomat, By Ankit Panda) China has chosen London as the first international financial hub to issue renminbi-denominated Chinese sovereign debt. According to the Financial Times, Chinese President Xi Jinping, on his trip to London next week, will announce that Chinese Treasury bonds will be issued in London. 

Interview: Francis Fukuyama (2015-10-15)
(The Diplomat, By Emanuel Pastreich) Francis Fukuyama on the rise of China, East Asia tensions, and the role of the United States.

Contact: Dalton Lin, Executive Editor 
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