::: TSR Weekly Report
2012-11-11 | NO.16(46) epaper |
Obama Re-elected, U.S. Pivot to Asia and Sino-U.S. Engagement
U.S.-China Ties Set for Recalibration (2012-11-08)
 (Wall Street Journal, By Bob Davis and Keith Johnson) A re-elected President Barack Obama will quickly face the challenge of reworking the U.S.'s most important relationship after a campaign that made China a central issue, and as Beijing changes its own leaders.

Asia Sees Stability in Obama Re-election (2012-11-08)
(Wall Street Journal, By Bob Davis, Yuka Hayashi and James Hookway) U.S. President Barack Obama's re-election gives Asian leaders greater certainty that Washington will press ahead with its drive to step up a military and diplomatic pivot toward the region—a move that requires careful management of its relationship with rising regional power China. 

Obama to Visit Myanmar As Part of First Postelection Overseas Trip to Asia (2012-11-09)
(New York Times) The trip fits into a larger geopolitical chess game by the Obama administration, which has sought to counter rising Chinese assertiveness by engaging its neighbors.

Words and Deeds Show Focus of the American Military on Asia (2012-11-11)
(New York Times, By Elisabeth Bumiller) When Defense Secretary Leon E. Panetta travels to Asia this weekend, he will promote several main elements of what the Pentagon calls a rebalancing in the region. 
U.S.-Taiwan Relations
DPP’s Su Optimistic US Relations Can be Rebuilt (2012-11-06)
(Taipei Times) Positive responses to visits by DPP officials to the US shows a willingness to pursue better ties with the opposition, a party official said. 

US Election May Help Taiwan Realize Trade, Arms Deals (2012-11-08)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) The US election results are unlikely to have any major impact on the country’s relations with Taiwan, but could help in some areas.

Taiwan Should Aim to be US’ Asia Partner: Experts
(Taipei Times) After the re-election of US President Barak Obama, analysts said Taiwan should liberalize its economy and boost its defense to benefit from the US’ Asia pivot.

Ministry Hopes for Boost in US Relations (2012-11-09)
(Taipei Times) MOFA has expressed its hope that the US revise the ban on visits by the foreign minister and defense minister to Washington, and other “outdated” rules governing bilateral exchanges between the two countries, a ministry official said.

Taiwan to Face US Trade Pressure, Analysts Warn (2012-11-10)
(Taipei Times) The challenge for Taiwan in its relations with the US following Obama’s re-election will be two-fold — economic and political — and the economic issue appears to be more urgent, academics told the forum.

US Elections Hit Taiwan Caucus
(Taipei Times) This week’s US elections have left the Congressional Taiwan Caucus with glaring gaps as some of the most valuable of the 154 House caucus members were defeated.

Survey Finds Mixed Views on Foreign Policy Priorities (2012-11-10)
(Taipei Times) A public opinion poll has shown that more than half of respondents feel that China and the US should be a priority in terms of Taiwan’s foreign relations, but younger people tended to favor China as the priority. 
China's Leadership Succession
Preparing to Step Aside, Chinese Leader Warns of Challenges (2012-11-08)
(New York Times, By Ian Johnson and Keith Bradsher) Capping 10 careful years at the helm of the Communist Party, China’s top leader, Hu Jintao, boasted of successes during his tenure while issuing a blunt warning against unrest and political reform.

Before and After Hu
(Foreign Affairs, By Andrew J. Nathan and Andrew Scobell) Is China better off than it was ten years ago? Despite all that is made of China’s spectacular rise, the numbers show that many people in China would likely answer no.

Hu Jintao’s Legacy
(Foreign Policy, By Kerry Brown) Hu has bet that his half-decade-long strategy of pursuing economic growth instead of political or legal reform will be proven right. He hopes that China does not have to address its immense governance issues until it is wealthy enough to deal with them in a way that minimizes risk. 

China’s New Boss (2012-11-09)
(Wall Street Journal, By Jeremy Page, Bob Davis, and Tom Orlik) The question is whether Mr. Xi can use his revolutionary heritage, his elite contacts, his personal charisma and his extensive administrative experience to take on the vested interests within the Party and set China on a new path of development. 

As China Awaits New Leadership, Liberals Look to a Provincial Party Chief (2012-11-06)
(New York Times, By Andrew Jacobs) Even though Wang Yang is considered unlikely to make it to the inner sanctum this time, party insiders say that Mr. Wang, 57, will play an important role in the next government, and that he is an odds-on favorite to ascend to the Standing Committee during the next round of retirements in 2017. 

Professionalism and Factionalism in the PLA Leadership Selection
(China Brief 12(21), Jamestown Foundation, By Willy Lam) Although this round of personnel selection reinforces the PLA’s increasing dedication to professionalism in its upper echelons, this series of personnel changes also reflects intense horse-trading among the party’s principal factions. 

Will China Be Forced to Change Its Secretive Leadership Process?
(Christian Science Monitor, By Peter Ford) Chinese analysts familiar with the inner workings of the party say that as proliferating interest groups complicate leadership transition, party members are increasingly angry at being left out of the leadership selection process.

Long Retired, Ex-Leader of China Asserts Sway Over Top Posts (2012-11-08)
(New York Times, By Edward Wong) Mr. Jiang Zemin’s return to the center of party politics exposes fundamental weaknesses in a system that relies on factional alliances and aging patriarchs to make crucial decisions. 

State Media Survey: It’s the Wealth Gap, Stupid
(China Real Time Report) What change are Chinese people expecting to see? According to an online survey conducted by the state-run China Youth Daily, the answer is: income redistribution.

Amid Calls to Open China’s Politics, Party Digs in (2012-11-11)
(New York Times, By Edward Wong) A rising chorus of critics say the Communist Party’s agenda is not visionary enough to handle China’s looming crises and set the nation on the path to stability. 

DPP Searches for New China Stance; Cross-Strait Issues
Ma Says Time Not Right for Cross-Strait Peace Pact (2012-11-10)
(Taipei Times) President Ma Ying-jeou would promote a peace agreement with China under “three premises,” but signing such an accord is not a priority for his second term because the conditions are not yet mature, an official said.

Dissident Warns DPP Over Plans to Shift China Policy
(Taipei Times) A Chinese dissident warned the DPP over a planned shift in position on its China policy and said former premier Frank Hsieh would lead the party down a path of “political suicide” in his similar attempts to shift plans. 

Ex-Premier Says Independence is Key Goal (2012-11-06)
(Taipei Times) Former premier Yu Shyi-kun said that China affairs are not the DPP’s priority and that the party should focus on the economy, winning a legislative majority and securing its long-term goal of making Taiwan an independent, sovereign nation.

Hsieh Hits Back at Critics of His Recent China Visit (2012-11-07)
(Taipei Times) Former premier Frank Hsieh lashed out after an attack on him, saying his trip to China has been lauded by independence advocates. 

DPP to Set Up Committee to Handle China Affairs: Report (2012-11-11)
(China Post) DPP is expected to set up a committee to find a new direction for its ties with China after the Beijing leadership transfer concludes at the Communist Party's 18th National Congress, a report said. 

China's Rise and Its Domestic Issues
Facing Protests, China’s Business Investment Slows (2012-11-07)
(New York Times, By Keith Bradsher) A number of influential officials and business leaders in China have stepped up their calls for changes aimed at increasing the efficiency of investment and simultaneously shifting the country toward a greater reliance on consumption. 

Reform or Perish (2012-11-07)
(Foreign Policy, By Michael Pettis) Beijing must bring investment rates down quickly before the country experiences debt problems. But to keep growth from collapsing it must also boost household consumption by transferring wealth from the state and the elite to the middle and lower classes. The scale of these transfers, however, will disrupt domestic politics and will require the kinds of reform in political and financial institutions that are sure to unleash substantial opposition. 

China’s Grip on Economy Will Test New Leaders (2012-11-10)
(New York Times, By Keith Bradsher ) Only bold reforms could fully unleash China’s enormous potential and entrepreneurial energy and propel China into the first world.

Chinese Official Reaffirms ‘Rebalancing’ of Economy (2012-11-11)
(New York Times) A senior Chinese official reaffirmed a national goal of shifting China’s economy away from its dependence on investment and exports and toward a more sustainable emphasis on consumption spending. 

China Village Hits Democracy Limits (2012-11-08)
(Wall Street Journal, By Brian Spegele and James T. Areddy) Almost a year after Guangdong provincial officials, led by the reformist party secretary Wang Yang, promised to return to Wukan villagers land seized illegally by their local government leaders, only about 20% of the land has been handed back, according to village activists. 
Military Balance and Arms Sales
Taiwan Will Not Share New Radar System’s Data with U.S.: Official (2012-11-05)
(CNA) Taiwan will not share information gathered by its new early-warning surveillance radar system with the United States, following the completion of the system by the end of the year, a defense official said. 

Gov’t to Buy Perry-Class Frigates from US (2012-11-06)
(China Post) Taiwan will purchase two Perry-class frigates from the United States starting in 2014 as part of its ongoing efforts to replace its aging fleet with newer forces, Taiwan's defense minister confirmed.

US Report Warns on Military Imbalance (2012-11-10)
(Taipei Times, By William Lowther) A report by the US-China Economic and Security Review Commission is warning that the cross-strait military balance continues to shift decisively in favor of China.

Diaoyutai Disputes Resurface and Japan Policy
Japan-China Rift Flares at Summit (2012-11-06)
(Wall Street Journal) A territorial row between Japan and China intruded into the Asia-Europe summit, with Japanese officials claiming China had lashed out at Japan’s claim over small island in the East China Sea.

Japan Seeks Tighter Pact with U.S. to Confront China (2012-11-09)
(New York Times) Japan’s defense minister, Satoshi Morimoto, said that he wants to revise his nation’s security alliance with the United States to place more emphasis on the threat from China to Japan’s southeastern islands. 

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