::: TSR Weekly Report
2012-10-21 | NO.16(43) epaper |
China's Leadership Succession
As China Weighs Shifting Economic Policy, a Rivalry for Its Stewardship (2012-10-20)
(New York Times, By Keith Bradsher) Advocates for far-reaching economic policy changes in China have long pinned their hopes on Wang Qishan, a cagey former banker with a reputation for forcing difficult decisions through recalcitrant bureaucracies. 

The Creation Myth of Xi Jinping (2012-10-20)
(Foreign Policy, By John Garnaut) The Yellow Earth story matters. It's a narrative that affirms that he suffered hardship and knows what it’s like at China’s grassroots.  
U.S. Pivot to Asia and Sino-U.S. Engagement
US Ready to Invite Myanmar to Join Military Exercise (2012-10-20)
(Reuters) The US is to invite Myanmar to the world’s largest multinational military field exercise.

US Sends Nuclear-Powered Aircraft Carrier to Patrol in South China Sea (2012-10-21)
(AP) The US sent a nuclear-powered aircraft carrier on a cruise through the South China Sea, projecting its power in waters that are fast becoming a focal point of its strategic rivalry with Beijing.

Is America Listening to Its East Asian Allies? Hugh White’s The China Choice (2012-10-21)
(PacNet #64, Pacific Forum, CSIS, David C. Kang) The conventional wisdom in the United States expects East Asian states to fear Chinese power and welcome US power. The reluctance of East Asian states to clearly do so is frustrating to American observers. 

China Play in US Election (2012-10-15)
(YaleGlobal, By Edward Gresser) China may be accustomed to the campaign rhetoric, or could decide to “walk away” first from a dysfunctional, polarized, deficit-ridden partner, insecure about its own decline and intent on dragging others down with it.

Widgets from Beijing (2012-10-17)
(YaleGlobal, By Nayan Chanda) It’s common for countries to block business deals based on national security. With so much technology manufactured in China, all devices could be suspect. 

Diaoyutai Disputes Resurface and Japan Policy
Japanese and US Troops Mull Drill to Retake Island (2012-10-15)
(AFP) The drill would use a tiny, uninhabited island in Okinawa Prefecture, far from the Diaoyutais, but it is likely to provoke an angry response from China. 

China Warships Sail near Japan Islands (2012-10-17)
(AFP) A Chinese naval flotilla including destroyers sailed through waters near Japanese islands, in what one commentator said was a sign of things to come as China flexes its military muscles. 

In Asia Trip, U.S. Group Will Tackle Islands Feud (2012-10-20)
(New York Times) A group of former national security officials from both Republican and Democratic administrations is leaving for Japan and China to try to defuse the mounting tensions over a chain of uninhabited islands in a potentially energy-rich area of the East China Sea. 

Japan, US Axe Island Drill: Report (2012-10-21)
(AFP) Japan and the US are dropping plans for a joint military drill to simulate the retaking of a remote island from foreign forces amid the row between Tokyo and Beijing over the Diaoyutai Islands, a report said.

DPP Too Pro-Japan on Diaoyutais: Lu (2012-10-16)
(Taipei Times) The DPP has always been a pro-Japan party, but the party has been “too pro-Japan” in the Diaoyutais dispute and it is time for it to review its Japan policy, former vice president Annette Lu said. 

Taiwan Waging US Diaoyutai Islands Campaign (2012-10-21)
(Taipei Times) The administration of President Ma Ying-jeou is intensifying efforts to win Washington’s support for its disputed claim to the Diaoyutai Islands. 

Japanese Politican’s Visit to Shrine Raises Worries (2012-10-18)
(New York Times, By Martin Fackler) A hawkish opposition leader who could be Japan’s next prime minister took the politically inflammatory step of visiting a Tokyo war shrine, raising concerns about whether as national leader he would push a right-wing agenda that could further damage Japan’s ties with Asian neighbors. 

Tokyo’s Missing Muscle (2012-10-17)
(Foreign Affairs, By Takashi Yokota and Kirk Spitzer) Recent rhetoric signals that the Japanese government is taking a tough stance on foreign policy. In reality, however, politicians and citizens alike are easily distracted by sideshows and seemingly incapable of crafting a cohesive defense strategy. When it comes to national security, Japan is its own worst enemy.

DPP Searches for New China Stance; Cross-Strait Issues
Ex-DPP Chairman Lauds Hsieh’s China Proposal (2012-10-16)
(Taipei Times) Former DPP chairman Hsu Hsin-liang applauded former premier Frank Hsieh’s recent visit to China as a success and said Hsieh’s initiative of “constitutions with different interpretations” would be more likely to be accepted by Beijing than the Chinese Nationalist Party’s “one China, with different interpretations.” 

AIT Director Meets Su, Lauds DPP China Efforts
(China Post) The United States welcomes DPP’s recent engagement with mainland China, said AIT Director Christopher J. Marut at the DPP headquarters. 

Hsieh Defends His Initiative on ‘Constitutions’ Platform (2012-10-17)
(Taipei Times) Former premier Frank Hsieh defended his initiative of “constitutions with different interpretations” and said the ability to manage cross-strait relations would be key for the DPP to return to power. 

Independence Not ‘Campaign Appeal’: Hsieh (2012-10-20)
(China Post) Former Premier Frank Hsieh remarked cryptically that the concept of Taiwan independence has a context and reason for existing, but that “it's not a campaign appeal.” 

DPP Split on Party’s Taiwan Independence Clause (2012-10-21)
(CNA) Since a landmark visit to China earlier this month by former Premier Frank Hsieh of the DPP, opinion within the opposition party has been divided on whether to revise the Taiwan independence article in the DPP platform. 

DPP Outlines Plan to Limit Investment by China in Taiwan (2012-10-16)
(Taipei Times) The DPP would establish a mechanism to screen incoming Chinese investment if it were in power, a DPP official said.  

China Factor Key during Elections (2012-10-15)
(Taipei Times, By Tung Chen-yuan and Yung Yao-nan) From research conducted in early February, soon after this year’s presidential election, on the reasons people voted the way they did, 5.75 percent supported Ma because of cross-strait issues. 

Xi Jinping Might Be More Flexible on Taiwan: Expert (2012-10-20)
(CNA) China may become more flexible toward Taiwan in the next three years under the expected leadership of Xi Jinping, Alice Miller from the Hoover Institution said. 
PLA and Military Balance
China Leads Rise in Asia Military Spending: Study (2012-10-17)
(AP) Asia’s top powers have doubled defense spending in the past decade, spurred by the explosion in military expenditure by China, new research shows. 

Delicate Touch: Flight Operations Begin on China’s First Aircraft Carrier (2012-10-19)
(China Real Time Report, By Andrew Erickson and Gabe Collins) Less than a month after China officially commissioned the Liaoning, its first aircraft carrier, photos appearing to show aircraft operating over the carrier have raised a host of questions, including how long it might take for China to make the carrier fully operational. 
Taiwan's Domestic Issues and Foreign Relations
St. Lucian PM Touts Unification of Taiwan and China (2012-10-19)
(Taipei Times) At the most recent UN General Assembly, Saint Lucian Prime Minister Kenny Anthony, one of the nation’s diplomatic allies, said he was aware of the determination of Taiwanese and Chinese to unite their countries, and that his country looks forward to that. 
China's Rise and Its Domestic Issues
China Draws Questions Over IMF Snub (2012-10-14)
(Wall Street Journal, By Aaron Back and Bob Davis) By pulling its top representatives from an international economic conference last week to make a point about its unhappiness with Tokyo over an unrelated territorial dispute, China raised questions of whether it can play the leading role in international economic organizations that it desires. 

To Reminbi or Not to Renminbi (2012-10-18)
(Foreign Policy, By Victor Shih and Susan Shirk) If China reforms its core institutions to overcome these doubts, its currency will become a major global reserve currency and China will have arrived as a genuine global power. Yet despite Beijing's hopes, the world seems to be a long way from RMB dominance. 

China Faces Tough Choice on Growth (2012-10-19)
(Wall Street Journal, By Tom Orlik and Bob Davis) China's latest evidence of sputtering growth underlines a dilemma for its incoming leaders: They can shore up the economy by doubling down on an exhausted growth model, or take a risky political bet on reforms that could worsen the slowdown in the short term.

Chinese Grow Fonder of U.S.-Style Democracy, Survey Finds
(Wall Street Journal) The vast majority of Chinese people believe their country is heading in the right direction, according to a Pew Research Center survey, although there is rising discontent over issues from corruption to food safety—and a growing fondness for U.S.-style democracy.  

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