~1998 , 1999 , 2000 , 2001-2 , 2003-4 , 2005-7
New Directions and New Concepts: President Ma and Taiwan’s Chief
Challenges By
Dennis V. Hickey
(Paper prepared for the 21st Annual International Meeting of the Association
of Chinese Political Studies, Oct. 11, 2008) While the major challenges that
President Ma confronts in his first term of office are certainly formidable,
they should not be exaggerated.
Cross-Strait Relations: First the Easy Steps, Then the Difficult Ones By Alan D. Romberg (China
Leadership Monitor, Hoover Institution, Fall 2008) If the political leaderships on both sides can
continue to score a string of successes, perhaps a greater sense of mutual
trust will grow, enabling each to move to the more difficult political and
security steps.
China’s Search for Military Power By M. Taylor Fravel
(The Washington
Quarterly, Summer, 2008) This article explores a method grounded in Chinese
texts on military doctrine to try to gauge how much military power China
seeks to acquire.
After the
Taiwan Election: Restoring Dialogue while Reserving Options By Alan D. Romberg (China
Leadership Monitor, Hoover Institution, Summer 2008) Signs of caution quickly
crept into the Mainland’s discussion of future cross-Strait developments, and
a concerning degree of hesitation is now being voiced in the Mainland about
Ma and the ambitiousness of his overall cross-Strait program.
Taiwan’s “Unsettled” International Status: Preserving U.S. Options in
the Pacific By John J. Tkacik Jr. (Heritage
Foundation, Jun. 19, 2008) How the United States defends democratic Taiwan's
international identity in the current environment will tell Asia and the
world much about Washington's willingness to stand against the broader
challenge from China.
Robust Global Economy Drives Rise in Arms Spending
(AP, Jun. 10, 2008) The institute's report said the
United States spent $547 billion on weapons, an increase of 3.4 percent over
2006 and 45 percent of the global total. Britain
was next, with $59.7 billion, followed by China,
which pushed past France
into third place with $58.3 billion, the report said. SIPRI Yearbook 2008 The Yearbook Summary is
available.
Cross-Strait
Relations: In Search of Peace By Alan
D. Romberg
(China Leadership Monitor, 23, Winter, 2007) The presidential and legislative
election campaigns in Taiwan
continue to move along with all of the surprise twists and turns one might
have predicted. In terms of longer-term cross-Strait relations,
however, the recent development of greatest interest was General Secretary Hu
Jintao's moderate handling of Taiwan in his
political report to the 17th Congress of the Chinese Communist Party, and
particularly his mention of a possible cross-Strait "peace
agreement."
Applying to the
UN “in the name of ‘Taiwan’” By Alan D. Romberg
(China Leadership Monitor, No. 22, Fall 2007) The UN
referendum issue, already a matter of some controversy by early summer, came
to occupy center stage not only in the election campaign, but also among all
three actors in the triangular relationship.
U.S.-China
Relations After Resolution of Taiwan’s Status By
Roger Cliff and David A. Shlapak (RAND, 2007) The consequences of peaceful outcome
–including peaceful irresolution- are more predictable and generally better
for relations between Washington
and Beijing.
In contrast, nonpeaceful
resolutions of Taiwan’s status could cause
U.S.-China relations to fall anywhere from reasonable amity to a Cold
War-like confrontation.
Military Power of
the People’s Republic of China, 2007
(Department of Defense,
U.S.A.)
China’s near-term
focus on preparing for military contingencies in the Taiwan Strait, including
the possibility of U.S.
intervention, appears to be an important driver of its modernization plans.
However, analysis of China’s
military acquisitions and strategic thinking suggests Beijing is also generating
capabilities of other regional contingencies, such as conflict over resources
or territory.
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