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Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2012

Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2011

China’s National Defense in 2010

Annual Report to Congress: Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2010

Military Power of the People’s Republic of China 2009

White Paper: China’s National Defense in 2008
(Information Office of the State Council of the People’s Republic of China, Jan. 21, 2009) China is still confronted with long-term, complicated, and diverse security threats and challenges. Issues of existence security and development security, traditional security threats and non-traditional security threats, and domestic security and international security are interwoven and interactive.

 

[ News ] [ Papers ] 

Pentagon Study Says China Military Getting Stronger
(New York Times, May 19, 2012) China is pressing a long-range modernization of its military, part of a strategy aimed at maximizing its leverage over Taiwan, extending its influence farther abroad, but avoiding conflict around its borders or with the United States, the Pentagon said in an annual report to Congress. Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2012

Online Photos Point to PRC Deployment of DF-16 Missiles
(Taipei Times, Apr. 12, 2012) Images of mobile launchers posted on the Internet last week could provide confirmation of the long-suspected deployment of the Dongfeng 16 (DF-16), China’s most recent medium-range ballistic missile.

Chinese Navy Eyes Major Expansion
(Taipei Times, Apr. 10, 2012) China is not satisfied with a single refurbished aircraft carrier and has plans to build two conventional and one nuclear-powered aircraft carriers by 2020, as well as 200 more vessels, a Russian military analysts’ Web site says.

Taiwan Drove Growth of PLA: Report
(Taipei Times, Apr. 7, 2012) A potential attack on Taiwan has been a “motivating factor” behind China’s military modernization, a new report from the US-China Economic and Security Review Commission says.

Aircraft Carrier Could Launch This Year: PLA
(Taipei Times, Mar. 13, 2012) People’s Daily reported that People’s Liberation Army Navy Deputy Commander Xu Hongmeng had told media that the PLA “has a plan” to make its first aircraft carrier enter service this year.

China Cybercapability Puts US Forces at Risk: Report
(Reuters, Mar. 9, 2012) Chinese cyberwarfare would pose a “genuine risk” to the US military in a conflict, for instance over Taiwan or disputes in the South China Sea, according to a report prepared for the US Congress.

Moscow, Beijing Close to Sealing Su-35 Fighter Deal
(Taipei Times, Mar. 9, 2012) China’s People’s Liberation Army Air Force could be on the brink of purchasing 48 Sukhoi 35 (Su-35) multirole air superiority fighters.

China’s Military Spending to Double by 2015—Report
(China Real Time Report, Feb. 14, 2012) China’s defense budget will double by 2015, making it more than the rest of the Asia Pacific region’s combined, according to a report from IHS Jane’s.

MND Confirms Chinese Missile Tests
(Taipei Times, Jan. 10, 2012) The Ministry of National Defense confirmed that China had test-fired Julang-2 (JL-2) -submarine-launched ballistic missiles (SLBM) before the New Year.

China GPS System Begins Service
(AP, Dec. 27, 2011) A Chinese rival to the U.S. global positioning system network has started providing services in China and the surrounding area.

China Spacecraft Make First Successful Docking As Country Pursues Space Station Goal (AP, Nov. 3, 2011) Two unmanned Chinese spacecraft docked above Earth successfully, moving China one step closer to setting up its own space station.

China Plans 2012 Manned Space Flight After Docking Test
(Reuters, Oct. 31, 2011) China will launch up to two manned space mission in 2012 as it hones the skills needed to secure a long-term manned presence in outer space, an official spokeswoman said.

China to Launch Unmanned Space Mission Next Month to Practice Docking with Space Station (AP, Oct. 26, 2011) China will launch an unmanned spacecraft early next month that will attempt to dock with an experimental module, the latest step in what will be a decade-long effort to place a manned permanent space station in orbit.

China Lanuches 1st Space Station Module
(AP, Sep. 30, 2011) China launched an experimental module to lay the groundwork for a future space station, underscoring its ambitions to become a major space power over the coming decade.

China to Launch Space Station’s First Module
(AFP, Sep. 20, 2011) China said it will launch its Tiangong-1 space module later this month, marking its first step towards building a Chinese space station.

Assurance Against Invasion, War Doesn’t Include Taiwan: China
(AFP, Sep. 8, 2011) China said it would avoid “invasion, expansion or war” — but not at the expense of its claims on Taiwan — as it seeks to dispel fears over its military build-up and territorial assertiveness.

U.S. Official Warns about China’s Military Buildup
(New York Times, Aug. 25, 2011) The pace and scope of China’s military buildup is “potentially destabilizing” in the Pacific, a top defense official warned as the Pentagon released an annual report, titled “Military and Security Developments Involving the People’s Republic of China 2011.”

China: New Role for Military Vessel
(New York Times, Jul. 28, 2011) China’s defense ministry said the nation’s much-publicized first aircraft carrier will be used purely for research and training and not for deployment in military situations, Xinhua reported.

China Developing EMP ‘Assassin’s Mace’: Report
(CNA, Jul. 25, 2011) China is developing electromagnetic pulse (EMP) weapons that it plans to use against U.S. aircraft carriers in any future conflict over Taiwan, the Washington Times reported.

China Admits ‘Secret’ Aircraft Carrier Is Nearly Ready for Launch
(The Guardian, Jun. 8, 2011) China has moved a step closer to launching its first aircraft carrier with senior generals in the People's Liberation Army finally confirming one of the world's worst kept military secrets.

PLA Announces New Cyber Warfare Unit
(CNA, May 28, 2011) Chinese military officials have for the first time confirmed the establishment of a cyber warfare unit, Chinese media reports said.

Chinese Military to Work at Trust with Neighbors
(AP, Apr. 1, 2011) China's military promised to work at building trust with neighboring countries following months of tensions with the U.S. and neighboring countries over Beijing's increasingly assertive behavior.

Chinese Military Paper Lays Bare Fears about US
(Reuters, Apr. 1, 2011) China said it faced an increasingly “volatile” Asian region where the US has expanded its strategic footprint, maintaining that better military ties between Beijing and Washington rested on respect for each other’s interests.

China Sticks to No-First-Use of Nuclear Weapons: White Paper
(Xinhua, Mar. 31, 2011) China has adhered to the policy of "no-first-use of nuclear weapons at any time and in any circumstances," says a white paper on the country's national defense.

PRC Missile Could Render PAC-3s Obsolete
(Taipei Times, Mar. 18, 2011) The faster re-entry of a longer-rang missile would greatly reduce the effectiveness of PAC-3 missile interceptors acquired from the US, analysts said.

China Aims New Missile Types at Taiwan: NSB Says
(Taipei Times, Mar. 17, 2011) The DF-16 ballistic missiles not only poses a threat to Taiwan, but could also be used to strike US military bases on Guam and Okinawa.

India Overtakes China As World’s Top Arms Importer, SIPRI Says
(Bloomberg, Mar. 13, 2011) India replaced China as the world’s top weapons importer, according to a study by the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute, as it aims to modernize its armed forces and project power through the region.

China to Spend $91.5 Billion on Improving Defense in 2011
(Bloomberg, Mar. 3, 2011) China plans to increase defense spending 12.7 percent this year as the improved military capabilities of the country with the world’s biggest army have heightened concern in the U.S. and the region over its goals.

PRC Jets Will Lag Behind US for Years: Gates
(AP, Feb. 19, 2011) The US will retain a far bigger fleet of top-end fighter planes than China for years to come despite Beijing’s early test of a stealth-style jet, US Secretary of Defense Robert Gates told lawmakers.

‘Carrier Killer’ Won’t Stop US: Admiral
(AP, Feb. 16, 2011) A new “carrier killer” missile that has become a symbol of China’s rising military might will not force the US Navy to change the way it operates in the Pacific, a senior Navy commander said.

China Confirms Stealth Jet-Test Flight during Gates’ Visit
(USA Today, Jan. 11, 2011) "Taiwan still enjoys certain theater advantages, but a fighter like that, if developed, could be used in anti-intervention in this region, so it could complicate the overall strategy and military preparedness," said Philip Yang.

Officials Voice Doubts on Stealth Fighter
(Taipei Times, Jan. 6, 2011) A leading defense official said Russian analysis indicated that Chinese technology in terms of advanced fighters was not up to scratch in many aspects.

China’s Anti-Aircraft Carrier Missile ‘Closer to Completion’
(Chosun Ilbo, Dec. 29, 2010) China is getting closer to building a ballistic missile designed to sink aircraft carriers, the chief of the U.S. Pacific Command claimed.

Defense Minister Says Modern Warfare Capabilities Rises, China Daily Reports (Bloomberg, Dec. 28, 2010) China’s Defense Minister Liang Guanglie said the ability of the nation’s military to engage in modern warfare has increased “sharply,” the China Daily reported.

China’s New Drones Raise Eyebrows
(Wall Street Journal, Nov. 19, 2010) China is ramping up production of unmanned aerial vehicles in an apparent bid to catch up with the U.S. and Israel in developing technology that is considered the future of military aviation.

China Stages Naval Exercises
(New York Times, Nov. 4, 2010) China’s Marine Corps held major naval exercises in the South China Sea, massing 1,800 troops and more than 100 ships, submarines and aircraft for a live-fire display of the nation’s growing military power.

Pentagon Takes Aim at China Cyber Threat
(AP, Aug. 19, 2010) The U.S. for the first time is publicly warning about the Chinese military's use of civilian computer experts in clandestine cyber attacks aimed at American companies and government agencies.

China Paper Warns Military Thinking Outmoded
(Reuters, Aug. 14, 2010) China's military thinking is outmoded and should learn from others, especially the United States, when it come to modernizing its vast armed forces, a leading armed forces newspaper said.

PLA Urges Tough Stance against US Exercises in Region
(Reuters, Aug. 13, 2010) China’s People Liberation Army (PLA) demanded a tough response to US plans to send an aircraft carrier to naval exercises near its coast, saying that “respect” was at stake.

‘Carrier-Killing’ Missile Is China’s Game Changer
(AP, Aug. 7, 2010) US naval planners are scrambling to deal with what analysts say is a game-changing weapon being developed by China — an unprecedented carrier-killing missile called the Dong Feng 21D.

Beijing Urges Seoul to Refrain from West Sea Drill
(Chosun Ilbo, Jul. 8, 2010) China has asked the South Korean government through a diplomatic channel to refrain from a join exercise with the U.S. in the West Sea this month.

China’s Navy to Match S Korea-US War Game
(The Australian, Jun. 30, 2010) China has announced its own naval maneuvers in response to those planned by the US and South Korea.

No Redeployment Plans from China: U.S.
(CNA, Jun. 19, 2010) China has never presented a concrete plan for redeployment of its missiles targeting Taiwan, U.S. Deputy Secretary of State James B. Steinberg said.

China’s Military Secrecy Damages Trust
(CNA, Jun. 19, 2010) China's lack of military transparency and its suspension of military-to-military exchanges with the United States will only make it less trustworthy to other countries, a senior U.S. defense official said.

MAC Welcomes Report on PLA Forces Repositioning
(Taipei Times, Jun. 18, 2010) The Mainland Affairs Council (MAC) welcomed China’s reported offer to reposition its military forces opposite Taiwan.

China Faces Nuclear Diplomacy with Awkward Baggage
(Reuters, Apr. 11, 2010) Chinese President Hu Jintao takes tricky baggage to the nuclear security summit opening on Monday, representing a superpower in the making that is a relatively small nuclear arms state, wary of its big peers.

U.S. Says China Nuclear Programs Lack Transparency
(Reuters, Apr. 6, 2010) Lack of transparency surrounding China's nuclear programs raises questions about its strategic intentions, the United States said. 2010 Nuclear Posture Review Report

Russia Delivers Missiles to China in Estimated $2 Billion Deal
(Bloomberg, Apr. 2, 2010) Russia delivered anti-aircraft missiles to China under a contract that may be valued as high as $2 billion.

China Announces 7.5 Pct Jump in Defense Spending
(AP, Mar. 4, 2010) China announced a planned 7.5 percent boost in defense spending this year, a smaller increase than expected and the first time in more than two decades the jump has been less than double-digits.

China to Launch Space Station Module in 2011
(New York Times, Mar. 4, 2010) The Heavenly Palace, the first module in China’s permanent space station, will be launched next year, a senior aerospace official confirmed.

PLA Officer Calls for New Agency to Control Internet
(Reuters, Feb. 23, 2010) An article in the latest edition of ‘Chinese Cadres Tribune’ magazine calls the Internet ‘a new battlefield without gunpower.’

China Leads the World in Hacked Computers, McAfee Study Says
(Washington Post, Feb. 15, 2010) More private computers were commandeered by hackers for malicious purposes in China in the last quarter of 2009 than in any other country, according to a new study by an Internet security company.

China, US, Russia in Cyber Arms Race: Net Security Chief
(AFP, Jan. 28, 2010) China, the United States and Russia are among 20 countries locked in a cyberspace arms race and gearing up for possible Internet hostilities, according to the head of web security firm McAfee.

China Launches Orbiter for Navigation System
(China Daily, Jan. 17, 2010) China took one step forward in its ambition to build an independent global navigation network capable of rivaling foreign congeneric systems with the successful launch of a new orbiter into space.

China Continues Arms Build-up Despite Warming Ties with Taiwan: U.S. (CNA, Jan. 14, 2010) Although Taiwan's relations with China have improved, China has continued its military build-up against the island, which raises doubts about whether China really wants to adopt peaceful means to resolve cross-Taiwan Strait issues, U.S. officials said.

China Unveils Anti-Missile Test After Taiwan Sale
(Reuters, Jan. 12, 2010) China successfully tested emerging military technology aimed at destroying missiles in mid-air, the government said, while state media warned ties with Washington would be hurt by U.S. missile sales to Taiwan.

 

Taiwan ‘Focus’ of Chinese Military Modernization By William Lowther (Taipei Times, May 20, 2012) The report said that Beijing appeared prepared to defer the use of force as long as it believed unification remained possible and the costs of conflict outweighed the benefits. Meanwhile, the cross-Strait military balance continued to trend in Beijing’s favor.

Is China about to Get Its Military Jet Engine Program off the Ground? By Gabe Collins and Andrew Erickson (China Real Time Report, May 14, 2012) China’s high-performance jet engine programs are nearing takeoff but they, and China’s development of a more competitive precision manufacturing sector, appear to still have some additional runway ahead of them.

Chinese Nuclear Force Modernization: How Much Is Enough? By Michael S. Chase (China Brief 12(8), Jamestown Foundation, Apr. 12, 2012) The modernization of China’s nuclear missile force capabilities has led a number of analysts to ponder the question of “how much is enough” for China.

China’s Share of Global Arms Imports Falls, Sipri Says By Daniel Ten Kate (Bloomberg, Mar. 19, 2012) China, the world’s top weapons importer for much of the past decade, fell to fourth from second on an annual list from the Stockholm International Peace Research Institute as it produces more arms at home.

Beijing Denies Russian Rumors of Su-35 Purchase; Evaluating China’s Intelligence Penetration of Taiwan By Peter Mattis (China Brief 12(6), Jamestown Foundation, March 15, 2012) (1) China’s Ministry of National Defense has denied emphatically that the Su-35 deal is in the works; (2) The new espionage case raises several questions that countries friendly with Taipei should consider before condemning the Taiwanese government as so penetrated to be irrelevant.

China’s Defense Spending Dilemma By Gabe Collins and Andrew Erickson (China Real Time Report, Mar. 5, 2012) The challenge China’s leaders face with regard to balancing personnel, training, and equipment costs resembles that of the Chinese economy more broadly, which has become huge in absolute terms, but remains relatively poor in per capita terms. China’s defense “pie” is growing rapidly, but the cost of key ingredients is rising faster still.

China Boosts Defense Budget 11 Percent After U.S. “Pivot” By Chris Buckley (Reuters, Mar. 4, 2012) The increase announced by parliament spokesman Li Zhaoxing will bring official outlays on the People's Liberation Army to 670.3 billion yuan ($110 billion) for 2012, after a 12.7 percent increase last year and a near-unbroken string of double-digit rises across two decades.

China’s Falkland Island Lesson By James R. Holmes
(The Diplomat, Feb. 21, 2012) Here’s the bumper sticker for the guidance China takes from the conflict: a local power can overcome a stronger outside power if it is more willing than its antagonist to bear the costs and hazards of war, makes good use of its “home field advantage,” and acquires certain specialized weaponry in adequate numbers.

Analysis: New China Landing Vessels Point to Pacific Rivalry By David Lague (Reuters, Feb. 15, 2012) As looming budget cuts force the Pentagon to plan for a smaller U.S. navy, China is accelerating the launch of new, increasingly capable warships as part of a sustained drive to become a major maritime power.

China’s Space White Paper: Increasing Transparency… to a Degree By Kevin Pollpeter (China Brief 12(3), Jamestown Foundation Feb. 3, 2012) The white paper, unfortunately, devotes much less time to Chinese policies governing its activities in space and, as a result, will do little to alleviate concerns over the country’s increasing national power.

China in 2012: Shifting Perspectives-Assessing the PLA from the Ground Up By Dennis J. Glasko (China Breif 12(2), Jamestown Foundation, Jan. 20, 2012) Assessing senior-level leadership changes is important, but in order to judge the degree of improvement in People’s Liberation Army operational capabilities, many other factors need to be examined.

China’s Assertive Behavior—Part Three: The Role of the Military in Foreign Policy By Michael D. Swaine (China Leadership Monitor #36, Jan. 6, 2012, Hoover Institution) This article assesses what is reliably known about the role of the PLA in China’s foreign policy processes. It reviews the changing relationship of the PLA to the overall PRC leadership system and political power structure in China and focuses on the organizational and procedural relationship of the PLA to the foreign policy process in particular.

Space Report Touts Tech, Tiptoes around Military Uses By Matt Durnin (China Real Time Report, Dec. 30, 2011) If China’s space plans come to fruition—and its track record over the last decade puts the odds in its favor—it will possess one of the world’s most robust and diverse space systems, many with military applications.

Beijing Launches Its Own GPS Rival By Jeremy Page
(Wall Street Journal, Dec. 28, 2011) China has begun operating a homegrown satellite navigation service that defense experts said could help the Chinese military to identify, track and strike U.S. ships in the region in the event of armed conflict.

China’s Spies Are Catching Up By David Wise
(New York Times, Dec. 11, 2011) United States counterintelligence agencies have been slow to recognize: just as China has become a global economic power, it has developed a world-class espionage service — one that rivals the C.I.A.

Chinese Military Creates Strategic Planning Department By Peter Mattis (China Brief 11(22), Jamestown Foundation, Nov. 30, 2011) On November 22, Chinese President Hu Jintao and the Central Military Commission (CMC) issued a directive creating a “Strategic Planning Department”.

China’s Space Program Bolstered by First Docking By Andrew Jacobs (New York Times, Nov. 4, 2011) Some Western scientists said the successful mission provided stark evidence that the 20-year-old sanctions that limit cooperation between American and Chinese aeronautical engineers had failed.

Loosening Rules, China Allows Facial and Neck Tattoos to Join Army By Michael Wines (New York Times, Nov. 3, 2011) Seeking to broaden its appeal to China’s better-educated and perhaps more hip youth, the People’s Liberation Army has dropped a longtime bar to enlisting in the service: now, recruits can sport tattoos on their faces and necks.

The 2011 DOD China Report and Taiwan’s Security By Richard C. Bush III (Brookings, Oct. 11, 2011) If Beijing is serious about its goal of winning the hearts and minds of the Taiwan people, it may wish to reassess its own security strategy. It will not win hearts and minds by creating the impression that intimidation is part of its policy repertoire.

China’s Assertive Behavior—Part Two: The Maritime Periphery By Michael D. Swaine and M. Taylor Fravel (CLM No. 35, Hoover Institution, Sep. 21, 2011) This essay assesses whether, to what degree, and in what ways the PRC has become more assertive along its maritime territories.

China’s Assertive Behavior—Part One: On “Core Interests” By Michael D. Swaine (CLM No. 34, Hoover Institution, Feb. 22, 2011) The single most dominant theme in Sino-U.S. relations of the past year or more has been the emergence of a more “assertive China.” This article assesses whether, to what extent, and in what manner Beijing is becoming more assertive in several areas of relevance to the United States.

Beijing Confronts Long-Standing Weakness in Anti-Submarine Warfare By Lyle Goldstein (China Brief 11(14), Jamestown Foundation, Jul. 29, 2011) Observers of China’s naval development generally accept that Chinese anti-submarine warfare remains an Achilles’ Heel of the otherwise highly methodical and quite remarkable evolution of Chinese maritime power.

China Defends Carrier Plans, Neighbors Fret Over Buildup
(Reuters, Jul. 28, 2011) China’s neighbors are worried its aircraft carrier program may in time intimidate regional rivals but its military defended the plan as vital for maritime security.

China Developing New Military Satellites: Report By Ben Blanchard
(Reuters, Jul. 13, 2011) China is developing cutting-edge satellites that will allow it to project power far beyond its shores and deter the United States from using aircraft carriers in any future conflict over its rival Taiwan, a report said.

Near-Term Missions for China’s Maiden Aircraft Carrier By Aaron Shraberg (China Brief 11(11), Jamestown Foundation, Jun. 17, 2011) The real weight of the carrier program on the balance of power in Asia is several years coming, at the earliest after the carrier completes its initial sea trials and its airmen are trained.

PLA Developing Joint Operations Capability (Part Two): Military Training Coordination Zones By Kevin McCauley (China Brief 11(10), Jamestown Foundation, Jun. 3, 2011) Military Training Coordination Zones have been established to support and promote integrated joint training and experimentation. These training zones play an important role in supporting the joint exercises in each Military Region and further the development of the military’s integrated joint operations capability.

PLA Developing Joint Operations Capability (Part One): Joint Task Force Experimentation By Kevin McCauley (China Brief 11(9), Jamestown Foundation, May 20, 2011) When fully operationalized and integrated with new weapon systems and technologies, these efforts could significantly enhance the PLA’s joint operations capability for contingency operations in potential conflicts along its continental and maritime periphery.

China’s National Defense in 2010 By Jaeho Hwang
(PacNet #27, Pacific Forum, CSIS, May 10, 2011) The PLA emphasized that this white paper is the “product of reform and openness” and an “important symbol.” While there were improvements on its content and form, the white paper has not satisfied international and domestic expectations in regard to PLA transparency.

An Initial Assessment of China’s J-20 Stealth Fighter By Carlo Kopp
(China Brief, Jamestown Foundation, May 6, 2011) The maiden test flight in January 2011 of China's J-20 stealth fighter prototype is an important strategic milestone in several different respects, and is part of an ongoing effort by China to develop advanced military technology.

PLA’s Fruitless Moves on Ex-Taiwan Top Brass By Jens Kastner
(Asia Times, May 3, 2011) Few observers hold that the fraternization of high-ranking cross-strait military retirees will have a significant impact on Taiwan's political decision makers, let alone the active-service military cadre.

China’s 2010 National Defense White Paper: An Assessment By Michael S. Chase (China Brief 11(7), Jamestown Foundation, Apr. 22, 2011) In spite of the White Paper’s lack of detail on specific capabilities, it would behoove Western analysts to study the perspectives offered in the biannual assessment. One reason is what the White Paper tells us about changes in Chinese threat perceptions. 

China Lays Out Vision for Military By Edward Wong
(New York Times, Apr. 1, 2011) The military’s vision was laid out in a national defense white paper, a document published every two years since 1998.

A Chinese Assessment of China’s External Security Environment By Dingli Shen (China Brief 11(5), Jamestown Foundation, Mar. 25, 2011) An assessment based on a Chinese government white paper and recent report published by a leading think tank on China’s external security environment suggest that Beijing perceives that it is facing unprecedented external challenges.

The Implications of China’s Active Defense Strategy By Balbina Y. Hwang  (PacNet #16A, Pacific Forum, CSIS, Mar. 10, 2011) China’s rise seems to be different not just due to the sheer magnitude of its size and breadth but because it has been accompanied by a shift in its foreign policy.

Understanding China’s Defense Budget: What It Means, and Why It Matters By Andrew S. Erickson and Adam P. Liff (PacNet #16, Pacific Forum, CSIS, Mar. 9, 2011) The PLA budget remains unclear in many respects, but it is not necessary to count every single RMB to know that the PLA can and will do a lot more in the foreseeable future.

Implications of China’s Military Evacuation of Citizens from Libya By Gabe Collins and Andrew S. Erickson (China Brief 11(4), Mar. 10, 2011) The deployments signal that as the Chinese military becomes more proficient in long-range operations, it will increasingly be able to scale-up deployments if necessary.

China Defense Budget Stirs Up Regional Disquiet
(Reuters, Mar. 5, 2011) China will beef up its military budget by 12.7 percent this year, the government said, a return to double-digit spending increases that will stir regional unease.

U.S. Military Says Keeps Up with China; Is It Enough? By Phil Stewart (Reuters, Feb. 1, 2011) Looming cost cuts are adding to doubts about the future of American power in the Pacific.

Turning a New Leaf in Relations: Russia’s Renewed Arms Sale to China By Stephen Blank (China Brief 11(2), Jamestown Foundation, Jan. 28, 2011) The strain in the bilateral arms sales and geopolitical tension between a rising China and declining Russia still remain. Yet for the time being the two sides appear to have reached a mutual accommodation.

2011 PLA Military Training: Toward Greater Interoperability By David Chen (China Brief 11(2), Jamestown Foundation, Jan. 28, 2011) In general, PLA training in the coming year appears poised to continue experimentation and modification of force structures to accomplish the long-term objectives of preparing the Chinese armed forces to execute longer-distance joint operations.

China Tries to Steal a March By Trefor Moss
(Asia Times, Jan. 14, 2011) The story of the Chengdu J-20 stealth fighter is perhaps more remarkable for what it says about the bravura of China's rulers than for what it reveals about the future capability of the Chinese air force.

Test Unrelated to Gates Visit, China Says By Michael Wines and Elisabeth Bumiller (New York Times, Jan. 12, 2011) One day after China staged a public first flight of its new stealth jet fighter, this nation’s state-run media insisted forcefully that the two events were little more than coincidence.

Chinese Military Tests Fighter Jet Ahead of Hu’s Meeting with Gates By John Pomfret (Washington Post, Jan. 12, 2011) With the test of a stealth fighter jet, the Chinese military provided a blunt demonstration of its willingness to challenge both the United States and its own president.

Defense Secretary Gates: U.S. Underestimated Parts of China’s Military Modernization By John Pomfret (Washington Post, Jan. 9, 2011) The United States has been surprised by the pace of China's military development, Secretary of Defense Robert Gates said, acknowledging that U.S. intelligence has underestimated elements of the country's military modernization.

U.S. Will Counter Chinese Arms Buildup By Elisabeth Bumiller
(New York Times, Jan. 9, 2011) The Pentagon is stepping up investments in a range of weapons, jet fighters and technology in response to the Chinese military buildup in the Pacific, Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates said on the eve of his visit to Beijing.

PLA Drive Targets Taiwan: US Study By William Lowther
(Taipei Times, Jan. 8, 2011) Blumenthal, a former senior director for China and Taiwan at the Pentagon’s Office of International Security Affairs, argues that China’s strategy would be guided by the principles of surprise, possible pre-emption and “decisive blows.”

China’s Push to Modernize Military Is Bearing Fruit By Michael Wines and Edward Wong (New York Times, Jan. 6, 2011) A decade of aggressive modernization of China’s once creaky military is beginning to bear fruit, and both the Pentagon and China’s Asian neighbors are increasingly taking notice.

Chinese J-20 Stealth Fighter in Taxi Tests By Bill Sweetman
(Aviation Week, Jan. 3, 2011) China’s first known stealth aircraft just emerged from a secret development program and was undergoing high-speed taxi tests late last week at Chengdu Aircraft Design Institute’s airfield.

Why China’s Missiles Should Be Our Focus By Mark Stokes and Dan Blumenthal (Washington Post, Jan. 2, 2011) With the New START treaty ratified, the Obama administration can turn its attention to the real source of nuclear instability among the great powers: China's buildup of conventional ballistic missiles.

PRC’s Fifth-Generation Jet Pictures Cause Stir in US By William Lowther (Taipei Times, Jan. 1, 2011) In what has caused a major stir within the Pentagon, Beijing Internet censors earlier this week allowed high-resolution photographs of the Chengdu Aircraft Corp stealth fighter to be published for the first time.

Expert Downplays PRC Threat to Taiwan By William Lowther
(Taipei Times, Dec. 30, 2010) A US military expert is playing down the threat to Taiwan of China’s new DF-21D ballistic anti-ship missile, which is said to be capable of sinking an aircraft carrier.

Military Strength Eludes China, Which Looks Overseas for Arms By John Pomfret (Washington Post, Dec. 24, 2010) China’s persistent dependence on Russian arms suppliers demonstrates a central truth about the Chinese military: The bluster about the emergence of a superpower is undermined by national defense industries that can't produce what China needs. 

China Expands Naval Presence Through Jeddah Port Call By Russell Hsiao (China Brief 10(25), Jamestown Foundation, Dec. 17, 2010) China’s naval presence on the global stage is expanding. Foreign port visits by its naval vessels to the Gulf region are emerging as an important element in Chinese naval strategy.

PLA’s Growing Power Projection Capabilities By Jeffrey Engstrom (China Brief 10(25), Jamestown Foundation, Dec. 17, 2010) A narrow focus on Chinese activities along the periphery obscures a more profound trend, whereby the People’s Liberation Army is modernizing in ways that will allow it to project forces farther beyond its borders.

China Unveils Sea Defense System to Counter Aircraft Carrier By Russell Hsiao (China Brief 10(23), Nov. 19, 2010) It has come as a surprise to outside observers that state-owned China Aerospace Science & Industry Corporation displayed a detailed diagram depicting an integrated “Coastal Defense System” coordinating an attack on an un-flagged aircraft carrier group approaching a small island off the coast of China.

Hambantota, Chittagong, and the Maldives—Unlikely Pearls for the Chinese Navy By Daniel Kostecka (China Brief 10(23), Nov. 19, 2010) This article will examine allegations of Chinese military facilities in Sri Lanka, Bangladesh, and the Maldives to include the practical benefits of these locations for China’s security.

Report Looks at How China Meddled with the Internet By John Markoff (New York Times, Nov. 18, 2010) An annual report to Congress touched off a round of speculation about the motives of a small Chinese Internet service provider that briefly rerouted as much as 15 percent of the world’s Web traffic on two occasions last spring.

Mission Action 2010: Three Complex, Transregional, Integrated Joint Operations By Dennis J. Blasko (China Brief, Jamestown Foundation, Nov. 5, 2010) Between the two exercises, Stride 2009 and Mission Action 2010, units from all MRs, except for the Nanjing MR, were involved. In neither exercise did units move toward coastal assembly areas or into the Nanjing MR as might be expected if these exercises were part of preparation for operations against Taiwan.

China Navy Focused on Taiwan: Forum By William Lowther
(Taipei Times, Nov. 5, 2010) A symposium on the South China Sea was told that Beijing’s naval buildup over the last decade was focused “almost solely” on Taiwan.

China’s Fast Rise Leads Neighbors to Join Forces By Mark Landler, Jim Yardley and Michael Wines (New York Times, Oct. 31, 2010) China’s military expansion and assertive trade policies have set off jitters across Asia, prompting many of its neighbors to rekindle old alliances and cultivate new ones.

China’s New Submarines and Deployment Patterns: Aimed at South China Sea? By Russell Hsiao (China Brief 10(21), Jamestown Foundation, Oct. 22, 2010) Images and media reports about new types of submarines appearing in recent months have generated a lot of interest in China's evolving submarine force.

PLA Gains Clout: Xi Jinping Elevated to CMC Vice-Chairman By Willy Lam (China Brief 10(21), Jamestown Foundation, Oct. 22, 2010) Xi's induction into the policy-setting CMC could also augment the military establishment's already formidable clout in foreign policy and other arenas.

Politics and the Military Blur in China By Ko Shu-ling
(Taipei Times, Oct. 5, 2010) One thing commentators agree on when discussing the often -mysterious relations between the CCP and one of the world’s largest military forces is that they exhibit none of the instability witnessed in Latin American and Africa in the last century as authoritarian regimes repeatedly fell victim to military coups.

Aging Tigers, Mighty Dragons: China’s Bifurcated Surface Fleet By Joseph Carrigan(China Brief 10(19), Jamestown Foundation, Sep. 24, 2010) PLAN has become a bifurcated force—a navy comprised of modern, highly capable ships and submarines and older, decidedly less capable and seemingly less reliable ones.

China’s Evolving Anti-Access Approach: “Where’s the Nearest (U.S.) Carrier?” By Andrew Erickson (China Brief 10(18), Jamestown Foundation, Sep. 10, 2010) Emerging Chinese A2/AD capabilities should concern not only the U.S. Navy but also the U.S. military as a whole, whose operations in East Asia writ large could be affected.

Ryukyu Chain in China’s Island Strategy By James Holmes and Toshi Yoshihara (China Brief 10(18), Jamestown Foundation, Sep. 10, 2010) After decades of declining to dispute Chinese access to the Pacific, Tokyo has started taking the prospect of Sino-Japanese maritime competition more seriously, and it grasps the geographic dimension of any such contest.

Living with a Modernized PLA By Dean Cheng
(Taipei Times, Aug. 27, 2010) In light of the all-round expansion of Chinese military capabilities, as outlined in the report, the administration of US President Barack Obama needs to maintain the credibility of its own presence in the Western Pacific.

Taiwanese Must Heed Report on PRC Power By Nat Bellocchi
(Taipei Times, Aug. 27, 2010) If Taiwan does want to keep all its options for the future open, then the public and the government need to make it clear to China and the rest of the world that progress in the economic arena needs to be accompanied by clear steps by Beijing renouncing the use of force.

Testing Time for US Arms Report on China By Peter J Brown
(Asia Times, Aug. 25, 2010) China does share an interest in averting an overt arms race and potential miscalculation. Within that space, this report provides a realistic context for further engagement.

Straight Talk on Taiwan By Joseph A. Bosco
(LA Times, Aug. 20, 2010) The value of ‘strategic ambiguity’ has run its course. As long as China believes the U.S. will abandon democratic Taiwan to avoid going to war, the danger of conflict increases.

PLA Expands Network of Military Reconnaissance Satellites By Russell Hsiao (China Brief 10(17), Jamestown Foundation, Aug. 19, 2010) Given the dual use-nature of remote sensing satellites, China is rapidly improving its diverse network of space-based Intelligence, Surveillance and Reconnaissance (ISR) sensors, which can bolster the Chinese military's expanding land, sea and air operations.

PLA Amphibious Capabilities: Structured for Deterrence By Dennis J. Blasko (China Brief 10(17), Jamestown Foundation, Aug. 19, 2010) A few weeks before the U.S. DoD released its 2010 report to Congress, a Taiwanese military intelligence assessment reportedly asserted that the PLA "regular amphibious abilities have ... increased, with transport capacity reaching a full division". Unfortunately, the 2010 DoD report does not support the assertion.

The Chinese Military Challenge
(Wall Street Journal, Aug. 19, 2010) Considering that the Pentagon's annual report on China's military power tells us little that we didn't already know, we'll put the delay down to the Obama Administration's reluctance to offend Beijing's sensitivities. That may be the most alarming fact of all.

PLA Plans to Isolate Taiwan: Pentagon By William Lowther
(Taipei Times, Aug. 18, 2010) A new Pentagon report on the Chinese military concludes that Beijing is rapidly expanding its armed forces “to deter, delay or deny” any possible US support for Taiwan in case of a conflict.

Economic Powerhouse China Focuses on Its Military Might By John Pomfret (Washington Post, Aug. 17, 2010) China is quickly modernizing its military and has set its sights on extending its influence deep into the Pacific and Indian oceans now that the military balance with its longtime nemesis, Taiwan, is tilting in its favor, the Defense Department reported.

Pentagon Cites Concerns in China Military Growth By Thom Shanker (New York Times, Aug. 17, 2010) China has increased spending on a military that is becoming larger and more effective even as Beijing has rebuffed exchanges with the Defense Department that could improve stability, according to a Pentagon study released.

Assessing the PLA’s Promotion Ladder to CMC Member Based on Grades vs. Ranks—Part 2 By Kenneth Allen (China Brief 10(16), Jamestown Foundation, Aug. 5, 2010) While rank and grade promotions, as well as an officer’s age, are visible indicators, personal relationships and an Army-dominated system add a less predictable but arguably equally important layer, especially for ascertaining who the next CMC vice chairmen will be.

Assessing the PLA’s Promotion Ladder to CMC Member Based on Grades vs. Ranks—Part 1 By Kenneth Allen (China Brief 10(15), Jamestown Foundation, Jul. 22, 2010) The protocol order and placement of the PLAN, PLAAF and Second Artillery commanders on the CMC as a “policy promotion,” which is not an automatic promotion upon becoming the commander, implies that the eight members of the CMC may not be equal in terms of their authority.

Modernizing Navy for Self-Defense
(China Daily, Jul. 13, 2010) It is strengthening its marine strategy and its navy to protect its core national interests and not to pose a threat to any country. The People's Republic of China has never infringed upon any country's marine rights. On the contrary, other countries have violated its marine rights and interests repeatedly.

Aims and Motives of China’s  East China Sea Live Fire Drills By Russell Hsiao (China Brief 10(14), Jamestown Foundation, Jul. 9, 2010) In spite of a lack of expert agreement over Chinese intentions, one aspect of the exercise seems clear, the combined arms exercise demonstrates the PLA’s growing integrated war-fighting capabilities.

China Flexes Its Naval Muscle By Peter J Brown
(Asia Times, Jul. 9, 2010) China this week again used the East China Sea as a setting for military maneuvers and exercises that it knew would rattle the United States and its allies.

Reorientation of China’s Armed Forces: Implications for the Future Promotions of PLA Generals By Joseph Y. Lin (China Brief 10(13), Jamestown Foundation, Jun. 24, 2010) Against the backdrop of the PLA’s stated intention to reorient the armed forces as part of its modernization efforts, an analysis of promotion patterns of the 118 PLA generals (1981 - 2009) may yield important insights into the foci of PLA force transformation.

Taiwan Issue Spurs China to Build Up Missile Forces By Bill Gertz
(Washington Times, May 24, 2010) China's rapid development of ballistic and cruise missile forces is altering the balance of power in Asia and threatens U.S. forces in a conflict over Taiwan and beyond, according to a forthcoming report by Project 2049 Institute.

The U.S.-China Strategic Security Relationship and the Nuclear Posture Review Report By Michael S. Chase (China Brief 10(9), Jamestown Foundation, Apr. 29, 2010) The United States should persuade China that increasing transparency would not undermine Chinese interests, but would instead benefit both sides by helping to promote shared strategic stability and national security interests.

China’s Grand Strategy By Daniel Blumenthal
(Foreign Policy, Apr. 29, 2010) Taiwan's importance is the same as the importance of our Japanese, South Korean, and Philippine allies -- more geopolitical than geostrategic. These countries have embraced the international system that the United States created and defended after World War II.

PLAN East Sea Fleet Moves Beyond First Island Chain By Russell Hsiao (China Brief 10(9), Jamestown Foundation, Apr. 29, 2010) The People's Liberation Army Navy (PLAN) recently carried out its annual exercises far from China's coastal waters.

Strategic Implications of China’s Access to the Rajin Port By Russell Hsiao (China Brief 10(6), Jamestown Foundation, Mar. 18, 2010) North Korean authorities are currently studying a proposal to grant a 10 year extension to China's lease of Rajin Port, which is located strategically on the border of North Korea and Russia, close to the mouth of the Tumen river basin and the Sea of Japan.

The PLA Raises Its Voice By Peter J Brown
(Asia Times, Mar. 9, 2010) A growing number of senior officers in the different branches of the Chinese People's Liberation Army (PLA) are becoming outspoken. But why they have chosen now to raise their voices is subject to debate.

China’s Military Bluster Camouflages Toothless Bite By Ben Blanchard (Reuters, Mar. 8, 2010) Big on spit and polish and parades but short on experience, new technology and force coordination, China’s military has far to go before its bite begins to approach its increasingly loud sound.

China Says It Is Slowing Down Military Spending By Michael Wines
(New York Times, Mar. 5, 2010) China’s official military budget will rise by just 7.5 percent in 2010, a government spokesman said Thursday, a rate that is about half the official increase in recent years and the first to fall below 10 percent since 1989.

Evidence of Learning? Chinese Strategic Messaging Following the Missile Defense Intercept Test By James Mulvenon (China Leadership Monitor, Hoover Institution, Winter 2010) China’s 11 January 2010 test of a missile defense system offers important examples of improved strategic communications, particularly when compared with the 2007 ASAT test.

PLAN Shapes International Perception of Evolving Capabilities By Jesse Karotkin (China Brief, Jamestown Foundation, Feb. 4, 2010) As the PLAN gears up to undertake unprecedented international missions and in the process execute new capabilities in the coming decades, rather than deny the rapid evolution of PLAN capabilities, Beijing has focused on assuaging concerns over Chinese intentions.

Britain Warned Businesses of Threat of Chinese Spying By John F. Burns (New York Times, Feb. 1, 2010) British business executives dealing with China were given a formal warning, titled “The Threat from Chinese Espionage,” more than a year ago by Britain’s security service, MI5.

The PLA’s Multiple Military Tasks: Prioritizing Combat Operations and Developing MOOTW Capabilities By Michael S. Chase and Kristen Gunness (China Brief, Jamestown Foundation, Jan. 21, 2010) The concept of “multiple military tasks” emphasizes the need for the PLA to enhance its capabilities to successfully conduct combat operations, particularly with regard to Taiwan, and expand the PLA’s capabilities by participating in military operations other than war.

Chinese Missile Defense: Anything You Can Do
(The Economist, Jan. 14, 2010) Instead of waiting for the Pentagon to tell the world, the official news agency, Xinhua, on January 11th tersely announced China’s successful test of a land-based missile-defence system.

Major Reshuffles in China’s Military and Security Leadership By Willy Lam (China Brief, Jamestown Foundation, Jan. 7, 2010) President and Commander-in-Chief Hu Jintao has reshuffled the leadership of China’s military and security forces to speed up rejuvenation and raise the efficiency and combat-readiness of the generals.

China’s Conventional Cruise and Ballistic Missile Force Modernization and Deployment By Martin Andrew (China Brief, Jamestown Foundation, Jan. 7, 2010) China’s ballistic and cruise missile forces have increased in capability over the past decade and are now starting to pose a considerable conventional threat to nations within Southeast, South and West Asia as well as European Russia.