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 Georgia’s Lessons

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Cross-strait Situation Different from Georgia, President Says
(CNA, Aug. 31, 2008) President Ma Ying-jeou told an Italian weekly magazine that the situation across the Taiwan Strait is different from that of Georgia and Russia, thanks to thawing ties with China and the U.S. commitment to helping Taiwan maintain adequate defense capability.

US Welcomes China’s Apparent Refusal to Back Russian Action
(AFP, Aug. 28, 2008) The United States on Thursday welcomed China's apparent reluctance to support Russia's action recognizing the independence of two Georgian secessionist regions. Meanwhile, AFP reported that Russia Claims China Backing in Georgia Conflict.

Medvedev Seeks China’s Support on Recognizing Regions
(Bloomberg, Aug. 27, 2008) Russian President Dmitry Medvedev met his Chinese counterpart Hu Jintao today, seeking support from Russia's biggest Asian ally for its recognition of two breakaway Georgian regions. China “Concerned” of Situation in South Ossetia, Abkhazia Xinhau cited Chinese FM spokesman.

 

China Draws the Line at Support for Secessionism By Christopher Bodeen (AP, Sep. 7, 2008) Moscow’s recognition of the rebel regions of South Ossetia and Abkhazia has tweaked Chinese anxieties about independence movements in its restive western regions of Tibet and Xinjiang, as well as Taiwan, said June Teufel Dreyer.

China Still On-side with Russia By Yu Bin
(Asia Times, Sep. 6, 2008) For many in the West, China's cautious "neutrality" is a departure from, if not a betrayal of, its strategic partnership with Russia. Such a view, among others, misreads the state of the Sino-Russian relationship without an adequate understanding of its depth, breadth and complexity.

Beijing’s Perspectives on the Russo-Georgian Conflict: Dilemma and Choices By Jing Huang (China Brief, Jamestown Foundation, Sep. 3, 2008) Beijing’s ambiguous silence on the Russo-Georgian conflict and its aftermath reveals a dilemma that is caused by the increasing incompatibility between Beijing’s commitment to external peace and its coercive effort to maintain internal stability under the rule of the CCP.

Georgia’s Lessons for Taiwan By Jeffrey Bader and Douglas Paal
(Far Eastern Economic Review, September 2008) Americans and Europeans are not the only ones who have been watching with interest. In Asia—particularly Taiwan—people are wondering what events in the Caucasus may portend about their own security.

Shanghai Cooperation Organization Split on Georgia By Antoaneta Bezlova (Inter Press Service, Sep. 2, 2008) Chinese analysts say two other reasons underpinned Beijing’s decision to withhold its unequivocal support to Russia; its desire to avoid any anti-western flourishes, and its fear that Georgia conflict may come to play as a prelude to another long-term stand off between Russia and the west.

Russia’s Isolation Plays into China’s Hands
(AP, Aug. 30, 2008) A summit in the region held signs that China, already a powerful regional player, will benefit from concerns about an aggressive Russia.

China Cannot Back Russia in Georgia Crisis: Analysts
(AFP, Aug. 29, 2008) China will not endorse Russia in its battle with the West over the Georgia crisis but cannot say so publicly for fear of upsetting Moscow, political analysts say.

China Plays It Cool on Russia’s Escapade in George By Jonathan Manthorpe (Vancouver Sun, Aug. 22, 2008) China has too much at stake to be flippant. Not only are there the issues of Tibet and the majority Muslim Uigher province of Xinjiang, but also in its claim to the island nation of Taiwan and scores of disputed islands in the South China and East China seas.

Georgia on China’s Mind By Muhammad Cohen
(Guardian, Aug. 20, 2008) To avoid a replay, the US need to show Taiwan and China that it wants to be a dependable friend to each, but that friendship depends on following the rules. That means Russia and Georgia both have to pay a price for their misadventure in the Caucuses. Otherwise, Taiwan will pay a far bigger one.

China’s Georgia War Lesson: Today’s Breakaway Bites back Later By Viola Gienger and Dune Lawrence (Bloomberg, Aug. 19, 2008) Is this a precedent for intervention that could be used to keep Taiwan out of China or separate Tibet from China? This dispute could cut either way for the Chinese, and so the safest thing to do is to remain silent.

China Seeks Caucasian Crisis Windfall By M K Bhadrakumar
(Asia Times, Aug. 19, 2008) The reverberations of the conflict in the Caucasus are beginning to be felt. We may be unwittingly bidding farewell to the "war on terror". In any case, the international community has lost interest in Osama bin Laden.

The Drums of Change By Harold Meyerson
(Washington Post, Aug. 13, 2008) On or about last Friday, the world changed. With two very different coming-out parties -- the opening ceremonies of the Olympics and the invasion of Georgia.