Japan’s Response to Terrorism
and Implications for the Taiwan Strait Issue

By Tomohito Shinoda

Japan-Taiwan Research Forum, Jan. 22, 2002

On September 19, 2001, Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi announced his plan to actively support American reprisals for the terrorist attacks in New York and Washington. In his statement, Koizumi emphasized that Japan regards terrorism as “its own security issue.”  His plan included the dispatch of Self Defense Force’s ships to help the United States in intelligence collection, shipment of supplies, medical services and humanitarian relief.  He also pledged to strengthen protective measures for U.S. bases in Japan.  As for non-military measures, Koizumi announced an offer of $10 million to help fund the rescue and cleanup work from the attacks in the United States, a plan to provide emergency economic aid to Pakistan and India as part of efforts to solicit their cooperation, and economic measures to avoid confusion in the international economic system.  Also, immediately after the first U.S. air attack against Afghanistan, Koizumi expressed full support for U.S. and British military action and said Japan would do everything it could within the framework of the Constitution to help.

These statements were a sharp break from Japan’s pacifism and slow, unclear response in the past.  The international community expressed its appreciation for Koizumi’s plan.  It was more than many experts in Japan and the United States had expected, and was presented in a timely manner.  There are several factors that contributed to this quick response.

New Environment

One obvious factor was that Japan learned lessons from the Persian Gulf War in which Japan’s financial contribution was criticized as “too little, too late.”  Although Japan provided as much as $13 billion in financial help by raising taxes, it was not highly appreciated as all other major allies of the United States took part directly in one way or another.  Koizumi recognized that financial contribution alone would not be welcomed by the international community, and that due to Japan’s current economic situation, a large tax hike to fund such monetary contributions would not be possible. 

Another lesson Japan learned from the Gulf War was the importance of quickly labeling this situation as a crisis.  Then-Prime Minister Toshiki Kaifu failed to identify the Gulf Crisis of August 1990 as a “significant emergency.”  As a result, the issue was handled by the Foreign Ministry under normal diplomatic channels and not by the Cabinet Security Affairs Office (within the Cabinet Secretariat) which was designed to operate interagency coordination in an emergency.  This significantly delayed Japan’s crisis response.  This time, Koizumi’s action was quick.  Forty-five minutes after the incident, he established a liaison office at the Crisis Management Center of the Prime Minister’s Residence(later it was upgraded to the Emergency Anti-Terrorism Headquarters headed by the Prime Minister.  By identifying this tragedy as an “emergency,” he called upon a cabinet level meeting of the National Security Council the next morning for the first time since the 1998 Taepodon missile incident.  At the press conference after the meeting, Koizumi announced the initial action plan of the government, and described the terrorist attacks as “grave challenges not only to the United States, but also to the entire democratic society.”

The second important reason was a personnel factor.  During the Gulf War, Japan’s government was headed by a wishy-washy leader who complained that there was no textbook for the prime minister on how to handle a crisis.  Although LDP’s headquarter was headed by strong rightists, such as Ichiro Ozawa (Secretary General), Takeo Nishioka (Chaiman of the Policy Affairs Council) and Mutsuki Kato (Chairman of the General Council), they were not familiar with details of national security issues.  On the other hand, Koizumi is a very decisive leader.  He quickly instructed LDP Secretary General Taku Yamazaki to seek a concrete plan to support U.S. efforts against terrorism, which was acceptable to the LDP.  Koizumi believed that bureaucratic decision-making alone would not be able to deliver in a timely manner.  Yamazaki is one of the leading experts on national security issues within the LDP. 

It is further important to point out that Prime Minister Koizumi has competent assistants in his office.  Chief Cabinet Secretary Yasuo Fukuda knows how the office works as he served as personal assistant to his father, Prime Minister Takeo Fukuda, in the mid-1970s.  His deputy, Shinzo Abe also served as assistant to his father, Foreign Minister Shintaro Abe in the early 1980s, and is very familiar with foreign policy issues.  These two politicians have provided necessary and political advice and made competent decisions when needed.  Another deputy, Teijiro Furukawa is one of the most powerful bureaucrats in the government.  He quickly organized a task force (headed by Assistant Cabinet Secretary Keiji Omori) to design Koizumi’s plan.

The third factor was public support for strong leadership.  The lack of leadership has been a focal point in Japanese politics.  Specifically, leadership in crisis situations became a top priority in administrative reform efforts in the late 1990s after the Hanshin earthquake and the sarin gas terrorist attack on the Tokyo subway system in 1995, the hostage crisis in Peru in 1996-97, and the oil spill disaster in the Japan Sea in 1997.  With the reforms, crisis management by the Cabinet Secretariat was reinforced to enable a quick response and strong display of leadership.  Due to lack of discussion and consultation in a traditional manner, the swift announcement of the Koizumi plan was strongly criticized by the opposition parties and some LDP members.  However, the public support of the Koizumi Cabinet after the announcement was even stronger.  According to a Kyodo News poll (September 29-30), the approval rate increased to 82.8% up from 79.5% in August 2001.

Fourth, the new institutional arrangement of the Cabinet Secretariat enabled the smooth creation of the ad hoc task force.  Along with the central government streamlining in January 2001, the Secretariat was reorganized with the formal abolition of three policy offices (Internal Affairs, External Affairs, and National Security Affairs and Crisis Management), and the newly created position of three Assistant Cabinet Secretaries (vice-minister level) to oversee the policy areas.  This new arrangement was designed to provide institutional flexibility by not separating policy issues, “thus enabling them to respond to situations in a timely manner,” according to the official explanation of the government.  While Office on External Affairs headed by a foreign ministry official was totally removed, the element of the old Office of Security Affairs and Crisis Management still exists separately from the rest of the Cabinet’s policy unit.  It is headed by Director for the Crisis Management (slightly above vice-minister level, currently served by Kazuhiro Sugita, a former Police Agency official who had served at Cabinet Information and Research Office) with the assistance of Assistant Cabinet Secretary Omori from the Japan Defense Agency.  The room with some 30 staffers served as a central assisting body for the task force.

The fifth factor was that Koizumi was surrounded by a different legal environment from what Prime Minister Kaifu had to face.  After the Gulf War, the Government of Japan sought to establish a legal framework under which Japan could make a human contribution in an international crisis.  Step by step, Japan has showed its contribution.  In the aftermath of the Gulf War in April 1991, Japan sent its SDF vessels for minesweeping.  In August 1992, the Diet passed the International Peace Cooperation Law (PKO Law).  In October, Japan sent the first PKO unit to the United Nations Transition Authority in Cambodia (UNTAC), including 600 combat engineers, 75 civilian policemen, 41 election monitors and eight cease-fire observers.  Japan’s participation in the successful Cambodia mission gave the Japanese government confidence that Japan could ably perform the role of an objective and non-combat participant, which would be helpful in Afganistan as well.  As Japanese participation in the operation was generally supported in Japan and applauded around the globe, in May 1993 Japan sent PKO unit to Mozambique expanding its activity areas outside of Asia.

North Korea’s withdrawal from the International Atomic Energy Agency in June 1994 increased Japanese and American feeling of a threat and the need for a higher level of bilateral defense cooperation in the region.  This notion eventually led to the Japan-U.S. Joint Declaration on Security, which initiated the revision of the guideline for bilateral defense cooperation.  In September 1997, the two governments reached an agreement for the revised guideline, and in April 1998 the Diet passed guideline-related legislation.  Especially the newly created “Law Concerning Measures to Ensure the Peace and Security in Situations Surrounding Japan (

Regional Crisis Law)” allowed for the provision of logistical and direct rear-area support to U.S. forces in times of crisis in the region.  In the process of deliberation, Japanese policymakers explored what they were allowed to do within the constitutional framework. 

Although Koizumi’s plan required new legislation, it was an extension of the existing defense guidelines.  This helped save deliberation time for enactment of the anti-terrorism legislation.  It took only three weeks for the Diet passage.  The total time for deliberation in the committees of both the houses was only 62 hours, compared with 179 hours for the 1992 PKO Law and 154 hours for the 1998 Regional Crisis Law.

Debates

The Koizumi government came up with three pieces of legislation.  Revisions of the two exiting laws were needed.  One was to revise the Self Defense Force Law to authorize the SDF to defend U.S. bases in Japan against terrorist attacks.  The existing law authorized the deployment of the SDF only when a situation has already happened and that could not be handled by the police.  Another revision was needed for the Japan Coast Guard Law to allow the coast guard to open fire on suspicious ships in Japanese waters if they try to escape or resist the order to stop.  With the exception of self-defense, the existing law only permitted warning shots, and had allowed North Korean spy boats to escape off Niigata coast in March 1999.

A new law was needed to provide rear-end support for the U.S. Forces in the Indian Ocean area and humanitarian assistance to refugees.  The 1999 Regional Crisis Law only allowed such support in “areas surrounding” Japan.  As the government has officially interpreted that the areas are not geographically defined, it would have been technically possible to apply the existing law for this case.  However, the Koizumi government chose a more legitimate way by passing new legislation in the Diet. 

In order to avoid political turmoil and delay, the Koizumi government decided not to provoke constitutional arguments.  Although the hree pieces of legislation will be closely related to the argument of collective self-defense which would require reinterpretation of the Constitution, Prime Minister Koizumi repeatedly stated that Japan’s measure would be limited within the constitutional framework.  LDP Secretary General Yamazaki, who recently published a book on constitutional revisions, supported Koizumi that the right of collective defense must be authorized only by constitutional revision.

Japan’s pacifism still exists.  The Social Democratic Party denounced U.S. intentions of retaliation, and portrayed the Koizumi plan as a step toward Japan’s remilitarization.  Even the coalition partners of the LDP quickly stated that rear-end support should not include provision and transportation of arms and ammunitions.  Former Ambassador to the U.S. Takakazu Kuriyama in a newspaper interview criticized this decision as “unacceptable to the international community.”  Kuriyama further stated, “The same logic of not allowing arms and munitions can be applied to food and oil.  Everything should be allowed.  We are still ambivalent because we have not identified Japan’s pacifism.”  In order to secure more support in the Diet, the Koizumi government limited sea transportation of arms and munitions in the anti-terrorism legislation. 

A more obvious political compromise was the role of the Diet.  The first government draft presented to the LDP’s Defense panel was to require approval by the Diet before dispatching the SDF.  In the final draft, however, this was changed to allow for a report to the Diet after the SDF is dispatched.  Democratic leader, Yukio Hatoyama, requested the condition of prior Diet approval for “stronger civilian control” in return for support of his party.  This point was apparently reserved for political maneuvering to save face for the opposition parties.  It was indicated that the government would offer a compromise bill which would in normal cases require prior approval, but in emergency allow approval granted in the afterwards.   However, Komeito strongly opposed to offer a compromise to the Democratic Party.  As a result, the government’s final proposal only required reporting of the basic plan and Diet approval within 20 days after the implementation of the plan.

On the rightist front, Ichiro Ozawa of the Liberal Party refused to cooperate with the Koizumi government.  Ozawa did not even show up to the September 20th meeting of party leaders that Koizumi called upon to ask for their cooperation.  On the same day, Ozawa’s party announced their position paper which heavily criticized Koizumi’s plan as “ad hoc, spur-of-the-moment half-measures.”  The Liberal Party maintains the position that the use of armed forces must be approved by the United Nations as in the case of the Gulf War in order for Japan to send its troop to participate in an international dispute.  Ozawa also criticized Koizumi for avoiding discussions of collective self-defense and constitutional reinterpretation.  But despite these voices of opposition, Koizumi and his government are ready to pass the new plan through the Diet.

After the cabinet approval of October 5, the three legislative bills were introduced to the Diet, and political negotiations continued even after the passage in the lower house on October 18.  On October 29, the upper house passed the anti-terrorism bill with majority support by the three-coalition parties of the LDP, Komeito and the Conservative Party.  The revision of the SDF Law which would authorize the SDF to protect the U.S. bases was supported by the three parties plus the Democratic Party which wanted show their support to America’s fight against terrorism.  The Japan Coast Guard Law was revised with the support of the four parties plus the Liberal Party and the Communist Party.  These two opposition parties did not support the SDF participation, but did support reinforcement of the police activities on ground and in the sea.

New Developments

The newly created Anti-terrorism Law was a major step for further contribution in security cooperation with the United States.  First, the range of where Japan can be active was significantly expanded.  The 1999 Regional Crisis Law strictly limited the area to Japan’s territory and the high seas (and its airspace) surrounding Japan.  The new law includes the territory of foreign countries if permission is given from their government.  More concretely, the basic plan describes the activity areas as territories and sea areas between the Indian Ocean and Japan or Australia. 

Second, the new law increased the possible measures that SDF can take.  Under the earlier Regional Crisis Law, many possible services were not clear if they would be excluded from combat-related activities.  In an extreme case, some argued medical assistance for combatants should be considered combat-related as those receiving treatment would go back to the battle.  After the debate within the government and the Diet, the government concluded that medical assistance as well as transportation of weapon and ammunitions to the rear-end areas should not be regarded as combat-related.  The new law also clearly allows the SDF to initiate search and rescue activities upon the request of the U.S. or other forces.  Further, assistance to refugees was newly added in this law.   The SDF can provide humanitarian assistance to refugees in Japan, Pakistan and non-combat areas between the Indian Ocean and Japan.

Figure 1. Measures taken under the Anti-terrorism Law

 

1. Cooperation and Support Activities

    1) Provision of water, fuel, food, other materials and service

    2) Transportation of personnel and materials

    3) Repair and maintenance

    4) Medical services

    5) Communications

    6) Airport and seaport services

    7) Base support

    But excludes

    1) the supply and ground transportation in foreign territories

            of weapons and ammunitions Sea transportation is allowed.

    2) the supply of fuel or maintenance of aircraft preparing

            to take off on military sorties

2. Search and Rescue Activities

      1) finding combatants in distress during other activities

      2) upon request of U.S. or others

 

3. Assistance to Affected People

    Humanitarian assistance in Japan, Pakistan, and non-combat areas between Indian Ocean and Japan

Third, restriction on use of weapons were significantly eased.  The 1993 PKO Law only allowed the use for the defense of lives and bodies of SDF members and other members in the same mission.  Members were not allowed to use weapons to protect their property.   Under the law, they had to stand by and watch their weapons, ammunitions and vehicles being stolen without taking action.  In the 1999 Regional Crisis Law, protection of their property was allowed, but the protection of lives was limited within the same mission.  In other words, SDF could not protect with arms refugees or medical patients in their camps.   The new law extended protection to those under SDF’s control. 

Public Opinion

The Japanese public showed ambivalence to approve American military retaliation.  According to a Yomiuri Shimbun poll (conducted on September 24-25), 44% of the Japanese approved U.S. military action, and 27% opposed it.  In a poll by Asahi Shimbun (September 28-29), the approval rate was slightly lower than disapproval (42% and 45% respectively).  Later, Kyodo News Service announced their polls (September 29-30) with approval rate for US military action as high as 66% with 23% opposing.  On the other hand, there is a general consensus that Japan needs to cooperate with the U.S. in the case of military actions against terrorism.  According to the Yomiuri poll, 87% of the Japanese supported such cooperation.  Only 12% expressed their opposition (In the Asahi poll, 62% supported while 25% opposed). 

But opinion were split on the degree and the measures of cooperation.  In the same Kyodo poll, only 24.7% supported Japan to cooperate “actively” while 62.4 responded “to some extent.”  Another poll conducted by Nippon Television on September 14-16 shows a split on Japan’s cooperation measures when requested by the United States.  Only 8.0% supported Japan’s use of armed force, while 48.3% responded that it should be limited to rear-end support, 30.9% believed that financial contribution alone should be enough, and 5.5% refused any cooperation. 

September 11th significantly influenced on Japan’s public opinion on security issues.  In the October 20-21 poll by Yomiuri Shinbun, 42.9% of respondents regarded international terrorism as the most important security issue, the highest score among other policy issues (environment as the close second with 42.8% and relations with Asian nations as third with 38.4%).  In spite of the danger of terrorist attacks due to its security ties with the United States, the ratio of those who believe that security ties with America is beneficial increased to 66% compared with 57%.  Increasingly people began to support a more active role for Japan as 44% of the Japanese responded that Japan should expand its Peace Keeping Operation activities to participate in U.N. Peace Keeping Forces, which had been temporarily frozen – 26% were opposed.  Two years ago, the support rate was reverse.  In the July 1999 Yomiuri poll, support for PKF was 26% compared with opposition at 42%.  The change of public opinion enabled the smooth passage on December 7 of the revised PKO Law to allow PKF and to ease the restriction on use of weapons to the international standard.

Implications for Taiwan

The public support for Japan’s participation in regional security and the experience of actual participation in the Indian Ocean has significant implications on the issue of the Taiwan Strait.  First, Japan’s recent cooperation with the United States made the bilateral security relations stronger, scraping away the bad image of unwilling ally who would not take a risk.   The lessons learned from the Gulf War makes many policy makers in the Japanese government aware that another failure could deteriorate American public (and congressional) support for the security arrangement.  Many policy makers and experts in Washington were impressed with the promptness and the degree of Japan’s cooperation, and see Japan as a more reliable ally.  The reinforced alliance would discourage Peking’s usual attempt to create a gap between Tokyo and Washington.

Second, over the event Prime Minister Koizumi and President George W. Bush established strong personal ties.  Good chemistry exchanged between the two is as strong as Nakasone-Reagan and Kaifu-Bush Sr. relationship.   This would enable close and quick communications between the two national leaders in the case of emergency. 

Third, this set precedence for SDF’s participation in regional security in the time of emergency.  The fact that the public supported the dispatch of SDF to the Indian Ocean make it easier for the future administrations to cooperate with the United States in the Far East.  

Especially, the escort of U.S. aircraft carriesr and nuclear submarines by SDF vessels off Yokosuka and Sasebo could have significant implication to the situation in the Taiwan Strait.  The operation was conducted under the Defense Agency Establishment Law which allows Japan’s forces to conduct security-related research activities.  Without any new legislation, SDFs would be able to escort U.S. vessels to Taiwan Strait.  Even if Japan limits the escort activities within its territorial water, Tokyo can dispatch Aegis and other vessels or P-3Cs to protect U.S. aircraft carriers and nuclear submarines along Okinawan islands.   This would greatly deter Peking’s military ambition over the Strait.

But the fact remains that Japan would not act independently, and that its action would be limited within the framework of U.S.-Japan security relations.  Unless Washington decides to take action, these developments are meaningless to the situation in Taiwan Strait.  Many Taiwanese after September 11th expressed concern over U.S. efforts to gain support from Peking for anti-terrorist action.   As some even warned Washington not to use Taiwan as a negotiation tool, especially regarding arms sales to Taiwan, Secretary of State Colin Powel had to publicly announce that Chinese support would not affect their relations with Taipei. 

Immediately after September 11th, Washington received Chinese support to pass the UN Resolution 1368, adopted by the Security Council on September 12 to condemn terrorist actions.  It continued to seek Chinese backing to assist a U.S.-led coalition to fight against terrorism.  In the earlier stage of the fight, U.S. forces wanted Chinese intelligence on the Afghanistan front.  U.S. diplomatic efforts to include China in the anti-terrorism coalition was very active until the October APEC meeting in Shanghai, where President Bush successfully received support from nations in the Asia-Pacific region. 

However, since the APEC meeting American attitude toward China has been different for several reasons.  First, although China did not strongly criticize U.S. war in Afghanistan, it repeatedly emphasized the importance of the U.N.’s roles in the campaign.  Chinese intent was obvious: As the only Asian permanent member of the Security Council with veto power, they could exert more influence.  On the other hand, Washington did not seek Chinese support for another resolution to have military action approved by the U.N. Security Council.  U.S. Congress instead quickly legislated a resolution to give authority to the president to fight against a non-state actor based on American domestic laws.  The Chinese claim was no less than a nuisance to the U.S. government.

Second, over the event, U.S.-Russia relations significantly improved.  President Bush has established personal ties with Russian President Putin.  Russia has been very cooperative and supportive of the American campaign in Afghanistan.  Once, Russia and China enjoyed their “Strategic Partnership” which was proudly declared in the late 1990s.  In July 2001, the two countries signed a Treaty for Good Neighborliness, Friendship and Cooperation which partly aims at joint actions to offset a perceived U.S. hegemonism.   As Russia became close to U.S. government, however, China no longer can use this “Russia card.”

Third, there is a forthcoming conflict over missile defense.  The defense plan is still the top priority issue for Defense Secretary Rumsfeld just next to the current campaign in Afghanistan.  In his first several months at the Pentagon, Rumsfeld worked to streamline the Defense organ in order to save money for missile defense.  On December 13, President Bush announced U.S. withdrawal from the 1972 Anti-Ballistic Missile Treaty to pursue further test on missile defense and future deployment.  While Russia might start negotiating for a new framework, such an American move would be seen by China as hostile development against them.

Fourth, another conflict is expected over natural gas in the Caspian region.  Over the last decade, China’s oil consumption doubled.  In 2000, with their daily consumption level of 4.8 million barrels, China almost caught up with Japan (5.5 million barrels).  As China became a net importer of oil, one of the main reasons for China’s naval expansion became to secure supply of energy source.  China needs to diversify its energy source, and is desperately seeking a secure, in-land supply.  A natural gas pipeline from the Caspian region would be the perfect answer to their problem.  However, American companies holds the title of most of the existing wells in the region.  The control over areas surrounding Afghanistan is likely to be a major battle field between China and the United States. 

In short, international relations in Asia after the Afghanistan campaign will not be so favorable for Peking.  U.S.-China relations did not show much improvement.  On contrary, there are new sources for future conflicts in the region.  Over the Taiwan Strait, China would not be able to expect as strong a level of support from Russia as before.  U.S.-Japan security ties have become stronger than ever.  Japan would not hesitate to side with the United States if Washington take any action to intervene in cross-Strait relations.   Japan’s response to the September 11th terrorist attack was a major step for Japan’s involvement in the security environment in Asia as a whole, and including possible future situations surrounding Taiwan.

 

CHRONOLOGY OF EVENTS

Sept 11                45 minutes after WTC attack, Koizumi forms liaison office

Sept.12                National Security Council held by identifying as emergency

Sept.19             Koizumi announces his seven-point package

Sept 21                50 ships of JMSDF and JCG guards Kittyhawk off Yokosuka

Sept.25                Koizumi meets with President Bush

Oct.  1   JMSDF ships guards the dispatch of nuclear submarine Bremerton

Oct   6                 C-130s depart for Pakistan to offer humanitarian aid

Oct  18                Anti-terrorism legislation passes in the lower house.

Oct.  29 Anti-terrorism legislation passes in the upper house.

Nov.  9 Two destroyers and a supply ship depart for the Indian Ocean based

  on the currently effective JDA Establishment law.

Nov. 16               The Basic Plan based on the new law approved by the cabinet.

Nov. 20               The Implementation Plan based on the BP approved by Koizumi.

                             (approved by the lower house on 11/27, the upper house on 11/30)

Nov. 25               One destroyer and another supply ship depart for the Indian Ocean,

  and one minesweeper tender departs for Karachi

Nov. 29               C-130s transport supplies between U.S. bases in Japan

Dec.  2                 JMSDF ships begins provision of fuel to U.S. vessels

Dec.  7                 Revision of PKO Law enacted

 

Dr. Tomohito Shinoda is an associate professor in the International University of Japan. The paper was presented in the Japan-Taiwan Research Forum, Keio University and Taiwan Security Research Center, Taipei, Jan. 22, 2002.