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TSR臺灣安全研究週報 （2007年7月16日）

閱讀全文，請點選標題或至臺灣安全研究網頁 taiwansecurity.org

 

公投議題 

臺灣的聯合國公投可能激怒盟友 Ting-I Tsai
當華府在六月中公開反對臺灣舉行以「臺灣」名義加入聯合國的公投時，台北立即批評華盛頓，表示它無權介入臺灣「國內事務」。但對華府甚至其他國家而言，這個議題超越臺灣內部事務的範疇，因為此舉可能引發台海無端的緊張—亞洲時報在綫，96年7月14日

政策轉彎，臺灣將舉行聯合國公投
在政策急轉之後，政府將就以「臺灣」名義加入聯合國進行公投。此項決定在民進黨閉門會議後，由訴願委員會決議—法新社，96年7月13日

美國對臺灣堅持公投感到沮喪
美國顯然對長期盟友臺灣堅持舉行可能引發中國憤怒的爭議性公投感到挫折。美國眾議院國際關係委員會主席藍托斯，稱此舉為不切實際，並表示美國政府與國會皆不表支持—法新社，96年7月11日

 

美國政策與美中交往

臺灣與下一位美國總統 John Copper
雖然美國總統候選人們尚未在「臺灣議題」上提出看法，我們仍可約略看出端倪。他們過去談過臺灣，所以我們可以猜測這些人若當選將如何處理臺灣議題。就像一般所假設，共和黨候選人一般較民主黨對臺灣更友善—台北時報，96年7月15日

美國對台支持下降 Richard Halloran
美國對遠在天邊的台北的支持正在下降，使得華府拒絕協助臺灣抵禦中國的可能性上升。這趨勢可由美國總統布希微妙的立場變化窺知一二—台北時報，96年7月15日

吳釗燮呼籲美國反制中國軍事建立
駐美代表吳釗燮呼籲華府反制中國在亞洲的軍事發展。「臺灣經濟繁榮，但同時受到威脅」吳釗燮表示。「美國可以反制中國對台軍事威脅以維持台海『現狀』」—台北時報，96年7月11日

報導指陸軍可能採購30架阿帕契
陸軍正尋求購買30架總值20億美元的攻擊直昇機。聯合報報導，陸軍計畫花費730億美元購買美製阿帕契直昇機—法新社，96年7月10日

 

兩岸議題

馬英九公布兩岸直航計畫
國民黨總統候選人馬英九提出其兩岸直航的規劃，將以六個國際及國內機場做為臺灣的直航航點—英文中國郵報，96年7月12日

臺灣外交官獲得極少承認
台灣是美國主要貿易伙伴，並與美國同為自由民主國家。然而台灣在美國外交官員的工作卻被美國國內在1979年所制訂的規定所限制。許多國會議員鼓吹解除這些限制，但布希政府則擔心因此激怒中國—美聯社，96年7月13日

中國、台灣在拉丁美洲爭奪外交支持
激烈對抗的中國與臺灣在拉丁美洲所進行的爭奪持續升溫，來自兩國的官員不斷在該區域穿梭。拉丁美洲已經成為雙方的主要戰場，互相指控對方進行「金錢外交」—法新社，96年7月11日

臺灣採取旋風行動維持邦交國
副總統呂秀蓮像巴拉圭承諾更多援助，以反制中國在該區域的外交攻勢。在台灣與哥斯大黎加斷交一個月後，呂秀蓮的拉丁美洲之行顯示臺灣不願在維繫邦交上冒任何風險—路透社，96年7月11日

中國外交收穫是臺灣外交損失 Edward Cody
隨著中國日益整合進世界經濟與政治體系—同時日益失去其冷戰敵人的烙印—兩岸外交戰對於台灣外交官員而言日益艱困。承認中國的國家已經上升至169個，而承認臺灣的國家減至24個—華盛頓郵報，96年7月9日

臺灣對香港回歸模式不感興趣 Peter Enav
臺灣人喜歡到香港旅遊及購物，但鮮少人對香港回歸中國的模式感到興趣—美聯社，96年7月3日

 

臺灣國內政治

謝長廷宣稱無辜
民進黨總統候選人謝長廷昨天表示，他對於自己在玉皇宮案中的清白有信心—中央社，96年7月14日

馬謝在台灣史上針鋒相對
兩個主要總統候選人在其面對面交鋒中，凸顯了對臺灣殖民史及外來政權截然不同的看法—Taiwan News，96年7月10日

「本土主義」將在總統大選重現
臺灣政壇長久以來的「本土主義」之爭即將再度上演。「本土主義」的幽靈在面臨明年三月總統大選的競選過程中再度興起。民進黨候選人謝長廷在一項虛擬記者會上強調本土議題的重要性—英文中國郵報，96年7月9日

 

中國崛起及其國內議題

雕刻礦工慘況，他翻動中國 Howard French
與張建華《礦難系列》雕塑的邂逅讓人難以輕易忘懷，因為要看到這些作品並不容易。官方數字表示，4794名礦工在去年死於工作相關的事故—平均每天超過十三個人，而許多人認為，官方數字低估了實際死亡人數—紐約時報，96年7月14日

中國在減少能源消耗上面臨艱困挑戰
中國表示其在去年的能源減量工作上稍微超過預期目標，但承認仍須極大的努力才能達成其野心勃勃的減量計畫—海峽時報，96年7月13日

中國貿易順差創紀錄
即便近來美國國會威脅將就中美間的貿易失衡對中國採取懲罰性措施，中國的貿易順差在六月仍創下269億美元的紀錄—華盛頓郵報，96年7月11日

中國「柔性權力」在亞洲贏得盟友
中國在相當廣泛的外交及經濟議題上所採取的友善立場，已經在此區域為其贏得所謂的「柔性權力」及「笑臉攻勢」稱號。許多分析家表示，與其說東帝汶本身對中國有多重要，不如說這是中國對其東南亞鄰國所採取的積極招徠的自然延伸—國際前鋒論壇報，96年7月11日

中國學會遵守國際遊戲規則
中國已經透過慘痛經驗，體會到遵守國際遊戲規則符合其利益。中國在1996年對台灣試射飛彈而犯下嚴重錯誤，損傷其國際形象。「但北京已經學到教訓而不再重蹈覆轍」王賡武教授表示—海峽時報，96年7月9日

中國可能需要新方法來規範其脫韁的經濟 Joseph Kahn
中國出口商在去年銷售近一兆美元的商品至全球各地。膺品及劣質產品只佔其中極小的部分。然而一系列產品安全的醜事反映出中國經濟底下一個持續不受控制的暗流，在廣泛媒體報導、新法規及加強執法等情況下仍無法消除—國際前鋒論壇報，96年7月8日

 

日本政策及區域議題

澳洲國防部長表示與日本防衛協議並非針對中國
澳洲國防部長納爾遜（Brendan Nelson）表示，澳洲不會將中國視為威脅，同時澳洲最近與日本簽署的防衛合作協議不應被視為是「圍堵」中國—彭博社，96年7月10日

 

 

 

 

 

 











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