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TSR臺灣安全研究週報 20071015

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中共十七大

胡錦濤準備迎接第二任期 Edward Cody
隨著十七大在北京召開,64歲的胡錦濤預期將獲支持繼續其黨總書記及國家主席的第二五年任期。在第一任期內,胡技巧的權力運作鞏固了其在黨內的最高地位並強化其權威。但並無跡象顯示胡錦濤將運用其小心積累的權力來實現外界早先對其大膽政治改革的期望華盛頓郵報,961014

中國新領導奉行實用主義
李克強的崛起同時也指明中國的顯著改變。與胡錦濤相似,李克強屬於新一代的中國領導人,實際、富有經濟經驗,並日益具備財金與法學背景,與過去工程師與軍人出身的領導階層大相逕庭美聯社,961014

中國新領導安排可能限制國家主席權力 Joseph Kahn
在激烈的討價還價之後,中國共產黨通過新的領導序列,未能讓胡錦濤取得其支持者所希望足以讓其在最後五年任期放手一搏的絕對性權力紐約時報,961013

十七大前夕會議聚焦領導人人事
中國共產黨高層進行十七大前的最後一次閉門會議,將決定遭解職的前上海書記陳良宇的命運,並確定下一代的領導班子路透社,96109

中國準備好迎接共產黨閉門權力競賽
在預期將指定下一代領導人並處理貪污等重要議題的關鍵共產黨十七次黨代表大會召開前夕,中國正加緊逮捕社運人士並鎮壓網路上的異議份子USA Today96108

 

聯合國公投

謝長廷支持聯合國公投
民進黨總統候選人謝長廷全力支持一項已經惹惱中國的爭議性公投,顯示其競選綱領似乎轉變。謝長廷在消失兩後的首次公開露面中,稱聯合國公投為台灣絕不能失敗的「歷史性任務」海峽時報,961013

南太平洋友邦支持台灣加入聯合國
台灣六個南太平洋友邦的元首發表聯合聲明,表示支持台灣參與主要國際組知的權利,包括聯合國及衛組織中央社,961013

陳總統堅持推動聯合國公投
陳水扁總統在其國慶演說中,重申他對以台灣之名加入聯合國的公投的支持Taiwan News961011

「以台灣之名」申請加入聯合國 容安瀾Alan D. Romberg
聯合國公投議題在今年早夏便已經引發些許爭議,現在則不僅在選舉競選過程中,更在三邊關係中,佔據中心位置China Leadership Monitor22號,96年秋

 

軍事平衡與解放軍

分析家指台灣在軍事上失去優勢
如果1995-96年的台海危機重演,北京將具有更好的軍事準備。台灣觀察家依據兩個因素來佐證其分析:北京正計畫目標較小但更能達成的對台軍事策略,同時,解放軍的實力在近幾年急遽提高海峽時報,961012

台灣在國慶閱兵中展示飛彈
台灣在一項罕見的閱兵中展示軍事力量,公開兩種自製飛彈以提醒中國該島可以防衛自己。但台灣的首款巡弋飛彈,雄風2E,具稱因其射程可達中國,而在美國的壓力下取消展示法新社,961011

台灣展示軍事力量
台灣在16年來首度的國慶日閱兵上推出其頂尖武器;此舉意在激怒中國,並在激烈的選舉來臨之前鼓動民族熱情路透社,961010

國防部表示將不會展示雄風2E飛彈
國防部部長李天羽承認雄風2E飛彈的存在,但表示該型飛彈將不會在雙十國慶閱兵上展示台北時報,96109

中國與台灣展示軍事力量 David Lague
在對手台灣舉行十六年來首度的國慶閱兵之際,中國國營媒體報導,該國已經在其領土嚴密部署性能接近先進國家的空防雷達系統國際前鋒論壇報,961010

中國提拔具對台作戰經驗的將領 David Lague
在下舉行、預計將採用遏止台獨新策略的關鍵十七大前夕,中國提拔具有計畫對台作戰經驗的資深將領出任要職國際前鋒論壇報,96109

 

美中交往

布希在不可能的地方找到希望:中國 Steven Lee Myers
美國總統布希面對國內的挑戰、伊拉克的泥,及逐漸接近尾聲的任期,卻在一個不可能的地方找到外交支撐:中國。北韓上週在北京所宣布廢止其核子設施的協議,明白顯示布希政府的外交政策,不論是好是壞,是多麼依賴中國的協助國際前鋒論壇報,96107

 

兩岸議題

台灣對於電玩選手遭恫嚇搞到憤怒
外交部對於參加西雅圖世界電玩大賽在頒獎時伸張開中華民國國旗而遭中國選手威脅的台灣選手,表達支持Taiwan News961010

 

台灣國議題

馬謝在國家優先事項上交鋒
陳水扁總統、民進黨總統候選人謝長廷、及國民黨參選人馬英九在台灣加入聯合國公投與發展經濟上,嚴詞交鋒Taiwan News961014

高院展開馬英九特別費案審查
國民黨總統候選人馬英九的特別費案審理週五在高等法院展開。馬英九告訴記者,「我堅信自己的清白並對司法有很高的期望,特別是在一審獲判無罪之後」法新社,961013

陳總統回任民進黨主席
陳水扁總統同意回任民進黨主席,誓言捍衛台灣的主權並帶領該黨迎向選舉勝利法新社,961012

謝長廷在部落格上解釋缺席原因
即便在個人網站上透過錄影方式解釋,民進黨總統參選人謝長廷在競選活動中的缺席引來執政及反對黨的疑惑。謝長廷自九月廿八日民進黨21週年黨慶之後便取消一切競選活動台北時報,961010

陳總統尋求民進黨團結
陳水扁總統呼籲民進黨黨員及支持者在他能決定接下黨主席一職之前,捐棄成見,團結在該黨的核心價值之下英文中國郵報,96108

 

邁向堅強、穩健而正面的台灣 蕭萬長
在面對中共對我不斷進逼的軍事威脅之時,台灣理應維持強大的國防力量。我所屬的國民黨曾經抵抗共產黨侵略超過了半個世紀。在此同時,台灣在處理兩岸關係上應該採取一個穩健且謹慎的態度。穩健的兩岸關係合乎亞太區域所有國家的利益美台商會,96105

 

中國崛起及其國內議題

即便爭議不斷,中國出口繼續攀升
即便許多產品遭到召回以及外國政府對其貨品加強檢驗,中國出口成長仍繼續加速。中國表示其出口在前九月達到8780億美元,較去年同期成長27%紐約時報,961012

報告指貪污威脅中國前景
根據卡內基國際和平基金會(Carnegie Endowment for International Peace項新的報告指出,貪污每年對中國造成的耗費比教育預算還多,是該國政治穩定最嚴重的威脅之美聯社,961012

快速成長的中國費盡節制能源消耗及污染
紅色中國表示希望能走向綠色。但該國似乎仍致力於成長。當中國共產黨領導人們在十月中舉行十七大時,一般預料不會有政治上的意外發展。然而,某些中國觀察家們仍希望北京能利用黨代表大會的機會,展現對於追求綠色經濟成長的重視Investors Business Daily961011

 

 

 

 

 











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